Sassuolo vs Napoli Predictions

Sassuolo vs Napoli predictions ahead of this Serie A affair. Sassuolo hosts Napoli in a crucial Serie A clash at Mapei Stadium, with both teams facing challenges in their 2023-24 campaigns. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.


Serie A | Gameweek 21 – Feb 28, 2024 at 5pm UK at MAPEI Stadium – Citta del Tricolore

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Sassuolo vs Napoli Predictions

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Redemption at the Mapei: A Test of Resolve and Tactics

Key Stats
– Napoli have an aggregate score of 14-1 in their last four meetings with Sassuolo.
– Sassuolo have only secured one clean sheet this entire Serie A campaign.
– Victor Osimhen has scored in both of his appearances under Francesco Calzona, signalling a return to form.

In the picturesque setting of the Mapei Stadium, a fixture looms that encapsulates the trials and tribulations of Serie A’s gruelling campaign. Sassuolo, a team desperately clawing for survival, faces off against a Napoli side whose season has veered off the expected path of champions, now embroiled in a fight for European qualification.

A Tale of Two Troubled Campaigns

Sassuolo’s season has been marred by inconsistency and disappointment, culminating in the sacking of Alessio Dionisi following a heart-wrenching defeat to Empoli. With Emiliano Bigica stepping in, the Neroverdi’s immediate future hangs in the balance, teetering on the edge of relegation. Their dire need for points is palpable, but a dismal home record and a history of struggles against Napoli paint a daunting picture.


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Conversely, Napoli’s defence of the Scudetto has unravelled, leaving them adrift of their lofty ambitions. Francesco Calzona, now at the helm, has seen glimpses of promise dissolve into draws, leaving the Partenopei in dire need of a resurgence. Despite their recent form, history and a knack for overcoming bottom-table teams offer a glimmer of hope.

The Strategic Battlefield

Sassuolo’s tactical woes have been evident, with a defence leaking goals and an attack that, despite moments of brilliance, often falls short. The absence of Domenico Berardi’s influence is keenly felt, leaving Andrea Pinamonti to shoulder much of the scoring burden. The expected lineup suggests a blend of youth and experience, with Jeremy Toljan’s potential return offering defensive solidity and Samu Castillejo battling for a spot on the flank.

Napoli’s expected lineup, bolstered by the return of Giovanni Di Lorenzo, hints at a balance of defensive rigour and attacking flair. Osimhen, rejuvenated by his recent goals, presents the focal point of Napoli’s attack, supported by the creative forces of Matteo Politano and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. This combination, potent on paper, must translate their theoretical advantage into tangible results on the pitch.

Gameplay Dynamics and Key Battles

The match is set to be a tactical chess match, with both sides seeking to exploit each other’s weaknesses. Sassuolo’s midfield, led by Matheus Henrique, faces the daunting task of containing Napoli’s dynamic trio, where Anguissa’s physical presence and Zielinski’s creativity could tip the scales. The flanks will be battlegrounds, with Kvaratskhelia’s duels against Sassuolo’s right-back a potential game-changer.

Highly opinionated, one could argue that Sassuolo’s defensive fragility and Napoli’s attacking prowess will define the encounter. However, Sassuolo’s desperation and Napoli’s inconsistency could level the playing field, making for an unpredictable contest.

Suggested Improvements and Managerial Critique

Sassuolo’s Bigica must instill a sense of belief and tactical discipline, especially in defence, to stem the tide of goals conceded. For Napoli, Calzona faces the challenge of harnessing his team’s attacking talent while shoring up a defence that has shown vulnerability at critical moments.

Critically, Calzona’s tenure, albeit in its infancy, has been marked by an inability to close out games, a flaw that must be addressed with urgency. His tactical acumen and adaptability are under scrutiny, and this fixture presents a prime opportunity for redemption.

Predictions and Insights

Market Prediction: Both Teams to Score

Considering Sassuolo’s attacking potential and Napoli’s defensive lapses, a both teams to score bet offers value. Sassuolo, despite their position, have found the net consistently, while Napoli’s offensive quality is undeniable. The rationale lies in the combination of Sassuolo’s desperation for goals and Napoli’s tendency to concede, making this a compelling choice.

Correct Score Prediction: Sassuolo 1-3 Napoli

A prediction of a 1-3 victory for Napoli reflects both teams’ current forms and historical encounters. Sassuolo’s struggle for points and Napoli’s superiority in head-to-head clashes suggest the visitors have the edge. This scoreline accounts for Sassuolo’s fighting spirit but ultimately acknowledges Napoli’s superior quality.

Goalscorer Prediction: Victor Osimhen to Score

Osimhen, finding his stride under Calzona, is primed to be a decisive factor. His physicality, pace, and finishing ability make him the likeliest candidate to find the back of the net. This prediction banks on his recent form and Sassuolo’s defensive vulnerabilities, positioning him as a key protagonist in this fixture.

Corner Prediction: Napoli to Earn More Corners, Total Corners Over 9.5

Napoli’s attacking approach, coupled with Sassuolo’s defensive posture, is likely to result in a higher number of corners for the visitors. Predicting over 9.5 total corners for the game takes into account both teams’ playing styles, with Napoli’s width and Sassuolo’s counter-attacks contributing to this tally.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!