Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan predictions ahead of Wednesday’s high-profile Champions League group stage affair at Signal Iduna Park. Both sides failed to win their opening matches and they will try to make amends in what is likely to be a very open affair. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Wednesday, 4th October at 8:00 pm In:

Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan Predictions

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A European Resurgence at Signal Iduna Park?

In the upcoming Champions League Group F fixture, Borussia Dortmund and AC Milan square off, both vying for their inaugural group stage victory. Having endured a bittersweet start, they’ll both be desperate for success at Signal Iduna Park.

Recapping European Campaigns So Far

The Dortmund lads, under the guidance of Edin Terzic, experienced a sobering defeat against PSG, ending their matchday one, 2-0. Despite the historical dominance of PSG at Parc des Princes, Dortmund’s hopes were extinguished by a Kylian Mbappe penalty and a goal from their former wing-back, Achraf Hakimi.

Milan, on the other hand, had their attacking prowess neutralised by Newcastle United. Despite creating a whopping 25 chances, they couldn’t convert and had to settle for a goalless draw.

Recent Domestic Exploits

Interestingly, both teams have managed to dust off their European disappointments and return to domestic success. Dortmund have bounced back with consecutive Bundesliga wins against Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim. Ramy Bensebaini’s antics and consequent red card were the only dark spots in their recent performances, with notable efforts from Niclas Fullkrug, Marco Reus, and Julian Ryerson. This leaves them positioned fourth in the Bundesliga.

Milan, not to be left behind, have kept the Serie A fans entertained, winning their last three games. A combination of Rafael Leao’s assists and goals by Noah Okafor and Christian Pulisic ensured a win over Lazio.

Historical Perspective

The upcoming game will rekindle memories from the 2002-03 group stage, when Milan narrowly defeated Dortmund in Germany. However, Dortmund later returned the favour at San Siro. Both teams have evolved since, and Wednesday promises a fresh chapter in their European rivalry.

Team News and Expected Lineups

Dortmund are likely to feature Ramy Bensebaini, while doubts linger over Marcel Sabitzer’s availability. Emre Can and Salih Ozcan are expected in midfield, with Marco Reus posing a constant threat upfront.

AC Milan’s lineup might miss Ruben Loftus-Cheek, who recently suffered an injury, and Yunus Musah might step in to fill the void. Christian Pulisic’s recent form suggests he could start against his former club.

Analysing Team Strengths

Dortmund’s stats reveal a team with a formidable attack, averaging 2 goals per match. Marco Reus and Donyell Malen are the top scorers, both having netted three. Their ability to maintain ball possession, at 59.7%, suggests a strong midfield dominance.

AC Milan, meanwhile, has an average of 2.1 goals per match, with Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leão being their top contributors. Their possession stats, at 56.3%, suggest a balanced approach to the game.

Predictions

1. Match Outcome Prediction: Both Teams to Score With both teams showing promise and intent upfront in their respective domestic leagues, there’s a strong argument that neither side will keep a clean sheet. Borussia Dortmund’s defensive record showcases vulnerabilities, having managed only one clean sheet from their last six games. AC Milan, on the other hand, have been prolific offensively in Serie A but struggled to convert in their Champions League opener against Newcastle, suggesting they will be hungrier than ever to find the net. Moreover, with their last Champions League engagement ending goalless, the Rossoneri will be eager to avoid repeating that outcome.
2. Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 in favour of Borussia Dortmund The Signal Iduna Park is a fortress for Dortmund, where they’ve been historically strong in continental games, conceding just once in their last five Champions League matches at home. Meanwhile, Milan have shown some defensive cracks, conceding in multiple games this season. Taking both teams’ recent forms and the fortress that Signal Iduna Park represents, a 2-1 victory for Dortmund seems a plausible outcome, with Milan also getting on the scoresheet due to their attacking prowess.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Marco Reus to Score As Dortmund’s top performer in the Bundesliga this season with an impressive rating, Marco Reus has been instrumental for his team. He’s also the joint top scorer for his side in the domestic league, which further emphasises his goal-scoring capabilities. Considering his form and the fact that he is often Dortmund’s go-to man in big matches, it would not be a surprise to see him find the back of the net against Milan.
4. Corner Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5 When analysing the data, it’s evident that both teams are not shy in pushing forward and taking their chances. Dortmund average 4.8 corners per game, while Milan averages slightly less with 3.9. When combined, that’s an average of 8.7 corners when these two teams play, and given the magnitude of this fixture, it’s likely both teams will be even more aggressive in their offensive endeavours. Thus, predicting a total of over 9.5 corners for this game seems justified, especially considering the attacking nature of both teams and the likelihood of both trying to assert dominance from the outset.

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