Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan predictions, betting tips and match previews for their international friendly meeting. Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan play for pride in this friendly, with no competitive action until the next Nations League. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
Friendly | Jun 11, 2024 at 3pm UK at Haladás Stadion
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Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan Predictions
Azerbaijan to Leverage Their Strengths in Final Summer Fixture Against Kazakhstan
Key Stats
– Azerbaijan have conceded 17 goals in their last eight qualification matches.
– Kazakhstan has scored 16 goals in their last 11 fixtures but conceded the same number.
– Emin Mahmudov has scored three goals for Azerbaijan in their qualification campaign.
Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan face off in Hungary for a friendly match with nothing but pride at stake. Both teams will look to end their summer campaigns on a high note after recent disappointing results. This analysis will delve into their current form, expected lineups, and strategic approaches, providing a thorough examination and well-supported predictions for the game.
Current Form and Statistics
Kazakhstan’s Form
Kazakhstan enters this match following a 2-1 defeat to Armenia, a game that saw them score a late consolation goal. Their performance in the European Championship qualifying has been less than impressive, having conceded 17 goals across 11 matches while scoring 16. Their defensive vulnerabilities were on full display against Armenia, with errors and lapses in concentration proving costly. However, they have shown occasional sparks in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
Azerbaijan’s Form
Azerbaijan comes into this fixture after a 3-1 loss to Albania. Their qualification campaign was similarly underwhelming, conceding 17 goals in eight matches and scoring only seven. They have struggled both defensively and offensively, managing just 0.9 goals per game. Their recent form reflects these struggles, with only two clean sheets and a tendency to concede an average of 2.1 goals per game.
Team News and Expected Lineups
Kazakhstan’s Expected Lineup
- Goalkeeper: Shatskiy
- Defence: Malyi, Marochkin, Alip, Yerlanov
- Midfield: Kuat, Tagybergen, Orazov, Samorodov
- Attack: Aymbetov, Astanov
Maksim Samorodov is likely to retain his spot on the wing after starting against Armenia. Defensive solidity will be crucial, with Sergey Maliy and Aleksandr Marochkin tasked with marshaling the backline. Islambek Kuat and Askhat Tagybergen will aim to control the midfield and provide support to the forwards.
Azerbaijan’s Expected Lineup
- Goalkeeper: Mahammadaliyev
- Defence: Mammadov, Mustafazada, Huseynov, Bayramov
- Midfield: Kokcu, Diniyev, Mahmudov, Ozobic
- Attack: Dadashov, Sheydayev
Emin Mahmudov, the creative force in Azerbaijan’s midfield, will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. Rahil Mammadov and Badavi Huseynov will anchor the defence, while Ramil Sheydayev and Renat Dadashov will lead the line upfront, looking to break down Kazakhstan’s defence.
Tactical Analysis
Kazakhstan’s Tactical Approach
Kazakhstan’s strategy is likely to revolve around a solid defensive structure and quick transitions. With an average possession of 44.9%, they prefer to soak up pressure and exploit counter-attacking opportunities. Their defensive issues, highlighted by 17 goals conceded, need addressing if they are to keep Azerbaijan at bay. In attack, they will rely on the creativity of players like Samorodov and the finishing prowess of Aymbetov.
Azerbaijan’s Tactical Approach
Azerbaijan will aim to control the midfield and dictate the tempo of the game. They hold an average possession of 47.5% and generate 6.5 shots per game. Defensively, their main challenge will be maintaining concentration and avoiding costly errors. Mahmudov’s playmaking abilities and the attacking duo of Sheydayev and Dadashov will be key to breaking down Kazakhstan’s defence.
Key Duels and Areas of Interest
Midfield Battle
The midfield contest between Askhat Tagybergen and Emin Mahmudov will be crucial. Tagybergen’s defensive capabilities and ability to break up play will be essential in stifling Mahmudov’s creative influence. Mahmudov, on the other hand, will look to orchestrate Azerbaijan’s attacks and provide key passes to the forwards.
Defensive Solidity
Sergey Maliy and Badavi Huseynov will need to be at their best to contain the opposing forwards. Maliy’s experience and leadership will be vital for Kazakhstan, while Huseynov’s defensive acumen will be crucial for Azerbaijan in maintaining their shape and preventing scoring opportunities.
Gameplay Predictions
Based on their recent performances, Azerbaijan are expected to dominate possession and create more chances. Kazakhstan will likely focus on a disciplined defensive approach, aiming to hit on the counter. The game may hinge on which team can better capitalise on their chances and maintain defensive solidity.
Improvements and Criticisms
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan must address their defensive frailties, which have been exposed in recent matches. They need greater organisation and communication at the back to prevent conceding easy goals. Offensively, they must be more clinical, converting the few opportunities they create.
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan needs to improve their defensive discipline and reduce errors. Their attacking play can lack cutting edge, requiring more creativity and precision in the final third. They must also work on maintaining possession and controlling the game’s tempo more effectively.
Managerial Analysis
Kazakhstan’s Manager
The manager of Kazakhstan has struggled to instill consistency and defensive resilience in his team. Tactical adjustments are necessary to tighten the defence and improve transitions from defence to attack. The manager’s ability to motivate and organise his squad will be critical.
Azerbaijan’s Manager
Azerbaijan’s manager has shown some promise but faces challenges in solidifying the team’s defence and enhancing their offensive output. Tactical flexibility and effective utilisation of key players like Mahmudov will be vital in turning around their fortunes.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Best Bet: Azerbaijan to Win to Nil
Given Azerbaijan’s stronger overall squad and Kazakhstan’s defensive vulnerabilities, an Azerbaijan victory to nil seems a prudent prediction. Azerbaijan’s average of 0.9 goals per game and Kazakhstan’s defensive issues suggest a low-scoring match.
Correct Score Prediction: Kazakhstan 0-2 Azerbaijan
Considering Azerbaijan’s superior form and Kazakhstan’s defensive struggles, a 2-0 win for Azerbaijan is likely. Azerbaijan should control the game and score, while Kazakhstan’s attacking threats appear limited.
Goalscorer Prediction: Emin Mahmudov to Score
Emin Mahmudov, Azerbaijan’s creative force with a proven scoring record, is a strong candidate to find the net. His ability to strike from distance and position himself in goal-scoring opportunities makes him a likely scorer.
First Half Result: Azerbaijan Leading at Half Time
Azerbaijan’s attacking intent and Kazakhstan’s defensive lapses suggest that Azerbaijan will take the lead by half-time. They are likely to start strong and capitalise on early opportunities to gain an advantage.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target Over 6.5 for Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan’s average of 2.3 shots on target per game indicates they will challenge Kazakhstan’s goalkeeper frequently. Given Kazakhstan’s defensive issues, Azerbaijan should comfortably exceed 6.5 shots on target, making this market appealing.
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