Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona predictions for Wednesday’s Copa del Rey second-leg. With Barcelona holding a slight edge and Atletico formidable at home, both sides may cancel each other out in a tense second leg, making a draw the likeliest result at the Metropolitano. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

Coppa Italia | Apr 2, 2025 at 8pm UK at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Predictions

Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Can Atletico’s Fortress Hold or Will Barca Break It Again?
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  • Barcelona’s Attack Has Been Relentless
    • The Catalan side have scored three or more goals in six of their last seven matches across all competitions, with 139 goals scored in 45 games this season.
  • Atletico Are Leaking Goals at the Worst Time
    • Simeone’s men have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five games, conceding a worrying 13 goals in that span.
  • Away Days Have Been Kind to Barcelona
    • The visitors have won each of their last three matches at the Metropolitano and are riding a six-game winning streak on their travels.

Best Bet for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona

Liverpool to Win & Over 3.5 Goals
33/40 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Backing Liverpool to Win & Over 3.5 Goals makes sense because the Reds are an offensive juggernaut at home, Salah is due a goal, and West Ham are leaky. It’s the ideal storm for a goal-fest.

With nerves jangling and stakes sky-high, Atletico Madrid and Barcelona are set to renew their hostilities at the Metropolitano in what promises to be an electrifying second leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final. After an utterly chaotic 4-4 draw in the reverse fixture, it’s not so much a tactical masterclass we’re expecting here, but more a bare-knuckle brawl dressed up in elite football shirts.

For Atletico, this might be their final shot at a trophy this season. Their Champions League dream was dashed cruelly, their La Liga ambitions now hanging by a thread, and the Copa del Rey stands as the only realistic chance of ending a difficult campaign on a high. Diego Simeone’s men have looked a bit like a pub team defending a five-a-side lead in recent weeks—capable of scoring, yes, but alarmingly generous at the back.

Barcelona, in stark contrast, are operating like a well-oiled machine. Since losing to Atleti back in December, they’ve gone unbeaten in 20 matches. With confidence flowing like cheap cava at a Catalan wedding and the goals coming from every angle, they arrive in Madrid with a swagger and, let’s be honest, a bit of a smirk. A 4-1 demolition of Girona at the weekend didn’t just secure three points—it sent a message.

No doubt, there’ll be drama. And probably more goals than a Sunday league match played on a frozen pitch by hungover dads. This one’s got all the ingredients.

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Best Bet for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: Barcelona to Win & Over 2.5 Goals

Here at BettingTips4You, we stick to just one carefully chosen tip per match—no noise, no fluff, just quality over quantity. For this fiery second leg in Madrid, the top selection is Barcelona to win and over 2.5 goals.

Now, we know what you’re thinking: after a 4-4 in the first leg, can it really be that open again? Well, not only can it, it probably will. Atletico haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last five games and have managed just one win in their previous six matches. Their defence recently has had more holes than a Sunday crossword—especially evident when they blew a two-goal lead against Barca in La Liga only weeks ago.

On the other side, Barcelona have been dishing out thrashings like they’re running a goal charity. Six wins on the spin, three or more goals in each of their last four outings, and a total of 139 goals in 45 matches this season—yes, 139! Whether it’s Lewandowski bagging braces or own goals helping them along, the Blaugrana just keep scoring. Even their defenders look like they fancy a goal or two every game.

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With Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann offering a dangerous counterpunch, Atleti will almost certainly get their moments. But ultimately, their leaky defence is likely to cost them dearly once again. Expect them to fight—possibly even score first—but to fade under the weight of Barcelona’s relentless attack.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa puts it:

“When you’re leaking goals and facing a team scoring for fun, the result usually writes itself. Barca don’t just win these days—they overwhelm. Expect fireworks, but expect them to end in Catalan colours.”

It won’t be smooth sailing, because it never is at the Metropolitano, but Barcelona’s momentum and ruthless edge should see them prevail in a match that again sails over the goals line.


Correct Score Prediction: Atletico Madrid 1-3 Barcelona

This might sound harsh on Atleti, especially at home, but their form simply doesn’t back up any argument for a clean sheet, or even a result. A 3-1 away win for Barcelona captures the likely storyline: a competitive first half, followed by an away side that turns the screw once fatigue—and perhaps frustration—kicks in.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.