AC Milan vs Inter Milan Predictions

AC Milan vs Inter Milan predictions ahead of Tuesday’s Milan Champions League derby at San Siro. Will either of the Milanese giants make a step forward in this first leg of their Euro-derby? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Wednesday, 10th May at 8:00 pm In:

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Predictions




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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Inter’s Offensive Prowess, AC Milan’s Defensive Duties, A Tightly Contested Derby

Key Stats
– Lautaro Martinez has an impressive 1.5 shots on target per game in Serie A and 1.9 shots per game in the Champions League.
– Theo Hernandez averages 1.5 tackles per game in Serie A, making him also an essential defensive asset for AC Milan.  
– AC Milan and Inter Milan have met twice before in European competitions, with AC Milan winning on both occasions.

The stage is set for a thrilling Champions League semi-final as AC Milan and Inter Milan face off in the iconic San Siro, a shared home ground that neutralizes any home advantage. Both teams, despite struggling domestically, have reached the last four of Europe’s elite competition, heightening the anticipation for this mouthwatering Milan derby.

Inter Milan, in better form with five consecutive victories across all competitions, appears well-positioned for a first leg success.

Inter’s Offensive Prowess

The standout player for Inter, Lautaro Martinez, has played a crucial role in his team’s success this season. The Argentine forward’s impressive stats, including 1.5 shots on target per game in Serie A and 1.9 shots per game in the Champions League, make him a player to watch in the upcoming Milan derby. His goal-scoring prowess and ability to create chances for his teammates could be a game-changer. Given his track record and AC Milan’s vulnerable defense, it’s highly plausible that Martinez will achieve at least one shot on target during the match, making this bet a very interesting one for this clash at 13/2 with William Hill.

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AC Milan’s Defensive Duties

On the other hand, AC Milan’s Theo Hernandez will have a significant role not only offensively but also defensively. Averaging 1.5 tackles per game this season, Hernandez is expected to play a crucial role in halting Inter’s attacking force. As the defensive linchpin for AC Milan, his performance could prove decisive in the semi-final encounter.

A Tightly Contested Derby

With a lot at stake in the Champions League semi-final, the match is predicted to be a cagey, closely fought affair. While both teams have produced high-scoring encounters in recent meetings, the importance of the match might result in a more cautious approach, with goals coming at a premium.

Previous European Meetings

Historically, AC Milan have held the upper hand in European meetings, winning both encounters in the 2002/03 semi-finals and 2004/05 quarter-finals. However, Inter Milan have claimed victories in their recent domestic clashes, winning 3-2 in the first derby, 3-0 in the Italian Super Cup in January, and 1-0 in February.

The Impact of Leao’s Absence on the Milan Derby

Rafael Leao’s injury has raised concerns among AC Milan fans as they approach the highly anticipated Champions League semi-final against Inter Milan. Leao suffered a muscle injury in the right thigh adductor in the match against Lazio, and his availability for the upcoming derby remains uncertain.

While Leao’s recent statements on social media and during a chat on “The Residency” app have provided some reassurance that his injury is not severe and that he is optimistic about returning soon, the exact timeline of his recovery remains unclear. It’s highly likely that Leao will miss the first leg against Inter due to the limited time available for recovery.

AC Milan will be heavily impacted by Leao’s absence, as the Portuguese forward has been instrumental in their Champions League campaign. His creativity, speed, and goalscoring ability have been critical factors in their progress to the semi-final. Without Leao, AC Milan will need to find alternative solutions to penetrate Inter’s sturdy defense.

Despite the uncertainty surrounding Leao’s return, the Portuguese forward has spoken highly of the team atmosphere at AC Milan, describing it as the “best he has ever experienced.” This positive environment could play a vital role in motivating the team and helping them overcome the challenge posed by Inter Milan in the upcoming clash.

As for the second leg, there is a possibility that Leao could be fit enough to participate. However, this remains uncertain, and the team will need to prepare for the possibility of facing their fierce rivals without one of their key players. AC Milan will need to rely on the depth and quality of their squad to compensate for Leao’s absence and give themselves the best chance of progressing to the Champions League final.

Underdogs Ready to Fight

Despite their status as underdogs, AC Milan has proven they can rise to the occasion. Led by Stefano Pioli, they have displayed resilience and determination, as evidenced by their triumph over Napoli in the previous round. Simone Inzaghi’s Inter Milan, meanwhile, have been on an impressive run, with five wins in a row in all competitions and only one goal conceded in that period.

I believe a 2-0 victory for Inter Milan looks a plausible result, taking into consideration the better form of the Nerazzurri and the absence of Leao. The high-stakes match, however, is expected to be a close contest, with defensive efforts playing a significant role in the outcome.




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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!