Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid predictions for this La Liga clash. San Mames will host an intriguing La Liga clash on Saturday evening as Athletic Bilbao welcome Atletico Madrid, with both teams still searching for their best form this season. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips

Athletic Bilbao
Atletico Madrid

La Liga | Aug 31, 2024 at 6pm UK at San Mames Barria

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Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Can Athletic Bilbao Halt Atletico Madrid’s Unbeaten Start?
  • Athletic Bilbao have only scored three goals in their opening three La Liga matches, averaging one goal per game.
  • Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their first three La Liga games, but they have been held to two draws, showing inconsistency in their early-season form.
  • Athletic Bilbao secured 16 wins in their 19 home games last season, highlighting their formidable record at San Mamés.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Jean-Philippe Mateta to Score Anytime @ 24/5
Reasoning
Jean-Philippe Mateta is a strong candidate to score against Leicester, given his recent form and Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities, averaging six shots conceded per game. Mateta's physicality should exploit their weaknesses.
Odds subject to change
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As Athletic Bilbao prepare to host Atletico Madrid at San Mamés on Saturday evening, both sides find themselves in search of consistency in the early stages of the La Liga season. Athletic are coming off a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Valencia, a win that was desperately needed following a lacklustre start to their campaign. Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, are yet to taste defeat, but two draws from their first three matches suggest that Diego Simeone’s side still have work to do if they are to be genuine title contenders this season.

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Given the current form and circumstances surrounding both teams, the best bet for this match would be to back Athletic Bilbao to either win or draw. This double chance prediction is grounded in several key factors that make it a sensible choice for punters.

Firstly, Athletic Bilbao’s home form is traditionally strong, and despite a mixed start to this season, they remain a formidable force at San Mamés. Last season, they secured 16 wins from 19 home games, a record that underlines their resilience on home turf. Their recent victory against Valencia, although not the most convincing, showed that they can grind out results when necessary.

Furthermore, Atletico Madrid, despite being unbeaten, have not been particularly convincing away from home. Their goalless draw against Espanyol midweek highlighted their struggles in breaking down organised defences, and this could play into Athletic’s hands. Atletico’s attack, led by newcomers Julian Alvarez and Alexander Sorloth, has yet to fully gel, and with the likes of Antoine Griezmann playing a deeper role, they might find it difficult to penetrate a well-drilled Bilbao defence.

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BRENTFORD, ARSENAL & ANDERLECHT ALL TO WIN
15/2 (was 7/1)
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BRIGHTON AND ARSENAL TO WIN AND ALL 4 TEAMS TO SCORE
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Moreover, Athletic Bilbao have already faced one of Spain’s elite in Barcelona, and although they lost that match, they were competitive throughout and will have taken confidence from their ability to compete against top-tier opposition. With Atletico’s attack still finding its rhythm, Bilbao’s chances of at least securing a draw increase significantly.

According to BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa: “Athletic Bilbao’s home advantage and Atletico Madrid’s early-season teething problems make a draw or a Bilbao win a very appealing prospect. This double chance bet provides excellent value considering the circumstances.” The double chance bet offers a balance of risk and reward, considering both teams’ recent performances.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/6
Reasoning
Considering the under 2.5 goals market is a solid bet for this match. Both Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid have favoured low-scoring games this season, with strong defensive setups and cautious approaches. Given their current form, a tight, low-scoring encounter is likely.
Odds subject to change
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For those looking for another solid bet, considering the under 2.5 goals market could be a wise choice. Athletic Bilbao’s matches so far this season have generally been tight affairs, with their defence holding firm and their attack not exactly free-flowing. Only one of their three matches has seen more than two goals, and that came against a Barcelona side that is known for their attacking prowess.

Atletico Madrid have also shown a preference for low-scoring games, particularly away from home where they tend to adopt a more conservative approach under Diego Simeone. With both teams likely to prioritise defensive solidity, this match could well be decided by a single goal, or perhaps none at all. The cautious nature of both sides makes it unlikely that this will be a high-scoring encounter, which aligns with Atletico’s general strategy in tough away fixtures.

This prediction is further backed by the fact that Atletico have kept two clean sheets in their first three games. Simeone’s sides are often built on defensive discipline, and with both teams averaging less than two goals per game so far this season, the under 2.5 goals market offers a strong likelihood of success.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.