Golf Betting Tips: Scottish Open Predictions, Preview and Best Bets

This week marks the return of the Genesis Scottish Open, hosted at The Renaissance Club in North Berwick. A regular feature on the calendar, this year’s edition sees the tournament co-sanctioned by both the DP World Tour and the PGA Tour for the third time. With a prize fund of $9 million and fifteen of the world’s top-25 golfers in attendance, the competition is set to be fierce. Read on to find a complete analysis and two best bets, one of which is reserved to our Premium members.

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Scottish Open Betting

The Scottish Open Betting Tips | Thursday 11th July to Sunday 14th July 2024


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Tournament Overview

The Renaissance Club, situated 20 miles east of Edinburgh, has been the venue for the Genesis Scottish Open since 2019 and will remain so until at least 2026. This links course, though relatively new compared to its historic neighbours such as Muirfield, offers a distinctive set of challenges. Its heavily contoured greens and the frequently changing coastal winds present a formidable test for even the most skilled golfers. Unlike traditional links courses, which are characterised by extensive sand dunes, The Renaissance Club features fewer dunes and some areas of vegetation, adding another layer of complexity to its layout.

The Genesis Scottish Open attracts a prestigious field, with players relishing the chance to compete on a course that combines modern design with classic links elements. The prize fund of $9 million adds further allure, drawing many of the world’s top golfers to East Lothian. The course’s proximity to other legendary golf courses in the area only enhances its appeal, making it a favourite stop on both the DP World Tour and the PGA Tour.

Course Characteristics

Encompassing 300 acres along the south bank of the Firth of Forth, The Renaissance Club opened its doors in April 2008. The course’s design has evolved over the years, with land acquisitions allowing for significant changes to its routing. This evolution has helped The Renaissance Club carve out a unique identity among Scotland’s storied golf courses.

As a links course, its primary defences are the intricate and undulating greens, which are among the most challenging on tour, and the ever-present coastal winds that can vary dramatically throughout the day. Unlike many other courses, The Renaissance Club lacks large water hazards, instead featuring occasional ditches that can catch an errant shot.

The fairways at The Renaissance Club are generally firm, promoting a style of play that demands precision and strategic thinking. Golfers must carefully navigate their way around the course, taking into account the firm, fast conditions that are typical of links golf. The large, undulating greens require deft touch and solid putting to score well. Players who can adapt to the changing winds and maintain accuracy in their approach shots will find themselves well-positioned to succeed.

The course’s length and layout place a premium on accurate iron play. Golfers must be adept at hitting greens in regulation, as the tricky putting surfaces can quickly turn a solid round into a struggle. The absence of significant water hazards might seem to offer some respite, but the presence of strategically placed bunkers and the occasional ditch ensures that players remain vigilant throughout their round.


Unique Challenges

The Renaissance Club stands out due to its blend of traditional links characteristics and modern design elements. The course’s proximity to the coast means that wind can play a significant role in the tournament, adding an element of unpredictability that tests the mettle of the players. The greens, with their severe undulations, require not just accuracy but also a deep understanding of the contours to avoid three-putts and maximise scoring opportunities.

Furthermore, the vegetation present on the course adds another layer of complexity. While traditional links courses are often sparse in terms of greenery, the trees and shrubs at The Renaissance Club can come into play, especially if the wind is up. This blend of open fairways and vegetated areas forces players to think strategically and adapt their game plan as conditions change.

Strategic Planning and Adaptation

Success at The Renaissance Club hinges on a player’s ability to adapt to its unique demands. The firm fairways encourage a bump-and-run approach, which can be particularly effective in windy conditions. However, this requires precise control over distance and trajectory, as even small misjudgements can result in difficult recovery shots.

The greens, with their complex slopes and breaks, are another significant challenge. Players need to be adept with their putters, understanding the nuances of the surfaces to avoid costly mistakes. The fluctuating coastal winds mean that club selection can vary greatly from one hole to the next, adding to the strategic considerations that players must keep in mind.

In conclusion, The Renaissance Club offers a comprehensive test of golfing skill, blending the best elements of traditional links courses with modern design features. Its contoured greens, firm fairways, and variable coastal winds demand precision, strategic thinking, and adaptability. As the host of the Genesis Scottish Open, it provides a fitting stage for a tournament that attracts some of the world’s best golfers, all eager to prove their mettle on this challenging and distinctive course.

Key Players and Form

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The defending champion Rory McIlroy, priced at 15/2, heads a formidable field at this year’s Genesis Scottish Open. Despite an underwhelming conclusion at the US Open, McIlroy’s exceptional track record at The Renaissance Club, highlighted by his exhilarating victory last year, positions him as a strong contender once again. McIlroy’s familiarity with the course and his ability to bounce back from setbacks make him a key player to watch.

American stars Xander Schauffele (8/1) and Collin Morikawa (12/1) are also among the favourites. Schauffele, who clinched his first major title at the PGA Championship in May, has a victorious history at The Renaissance Club, adding to his credentials this week. His consistent performance across various tournaments underscores his adaptability and skill, essential for navigating the challenges of this course. Morikawa, although not having the most stellar record at this venue, has demonstrated his prowess on links courses with a notable win at the 2021 Open Championship at Royal St George’s. His precision and strategic play make him a formidable opponent in these conditions.

Local favourite Robert MacIntyre, with odds of 50/1, enters the tournament with high expectations. Fresh off his maiden PGA Tour victory last month and a commendable second-place finish here in 2023, MacIntyre’s confidence will be bolstered by the home crowd and his familiarity with the course. The Scottish golfer’s performance will be closely monitored as he seeks to leverage his recent form and local knowledge to his advantage.

Course Specialists

Several players have consistently performed well at The Renaissance Club, marking them as potential threats. Tommy Fleetwood (20/1) and Tom Kim (28/1) both have impressive records here. Fleetwood, who secured a win in the Middle East earlier this year, has been a regular contender on links courses, with his sharp iron play and reliable putting making him a strong candidate. His ability to handle windy conditions and undulating greens will be crucial.

Tom Kim, who narrowly missed out on a victory against world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler in a recent play-off, is another player to watch. His resilience and skill under pressure, coupled with his strong performances at links-style venues, indicate that he could be a significant factor in this tournament.

Belgium’s Thomas Detry (70/1) is an intriguing prospect. Currently sitting at 30th in the FedEx Cup standings, Detry has showcased his talent on the PGA Tour this year. His best result, a tie-for-second at the Houston Open, along with solid finishes at The Renaissance Club in the past, including a tie-for-second and a top-10, suggest he has the potential to surprise.

Tournament Analysis

The Renaissance Club presents a demanding challenge that requires a blend of strong iron play and exceptional putting. The firm fairways and large, undulating greens demand accuracy and strategic thinking. Players who excel in these areas are likely to find success here.

Key Skills for Success

Iron Play: Accurate approach shots are vital due to the course’s expansive and contoured greens. Players need to place their shots precisely to avoid difficult putts and potential three-putts. The ability to hit greens in regulation will be a significant advantage.

Putting: The heavily undulating greens at The Renaissance Club are notoriously challenging. Excellent putting skills are essential to navigate these tricky surfaces and convert birdie opportunities. Players who can read the greens well and execute consistently will have a distinct edge.

Adaptability: The variable coastal winds add an unpredictable element to the game. Players must be able to adjust their strategies and club selections swiftly to account for changing wind conditions. Adaptability and mental resilience are crucial for maintaining performance under these fluctuating circumstances.

Course Management: Strategic play is necessary to navigate the course effectively. Avoiding the ditches and positioning shots to capitalise on favourable angles into the greens can make a significant difference. Smart course management will be essential for minimising mistakes and maximising scoring opportunities.

Analysis of Key Players

Rory McIlroy: McIlroy’s dramatic win at last year’s Scottish Open showcased his ability to handle pressure and execute under challenging conditions. Despite his recent disappointment at the US Open, his history of rebounding strongly after setbacks makes him a formidable contender. McIlroy’s powerful driving and precise iron play, combined with his knowledge of The Renaissance Club’s intricacies, position him well for another strong showing.

Xander Schauffele: Schauffele’s versatility and consistent form make him a perennial threat. His previous victory at The Renaissance Club demonstrates his capability to handle the course’s demands. With his strong tee-to-green game and ability to perform in major championships, Schauffele is well-equipped to contend for the title.

Collin Morikawa: Morikawa’s impeccable ball-striking and strategic acumen are well-suited to the challenges of The Renaissance Club. His success at the 2021 Open Championship highlights his ability to excel on links courses. If Morikawa can maintain his accuracy and manage the greens effectively, he will be a serious contender.

Robert MacIntyre: The home crowd favourite, MacIntyre’s familiarity with the course and recent form make him a compelling pick. His first PGA Tour victory last month and previous runner-up finish at this event indicate his growing confidence and capability. MacIntyre’s strong iron play and putting will be crucial in navigating the course’s challenges.

Tommy Fleetwood: Fleetwood’s consistent performances on links courses and strong start to the year position him as a key player. His ability to handle windy conditions and challenging greens will be vital. Fleetwood’s strategic approach and solid putting make him a serious threat at The Renaissance Club.

Tom Kim: Despite his youth, Kim has shown remarkable resilience and skill. His recent close call against Scottie Scheffler and strong performances on links courses suggest he has the potential to contend. Kim’s adaptability and precision will be critical on this challenging course.

Thomas Detry: Detry’s strong finishes at The Renaissance Club and solid form on the PGA Tour make him a dark horse. His ability to perform under pressure and navigate the course’s unique challenges will be key. Detry’s driving and approach play will be crucial to his success.

The Scottish Open Predictions

Free Tip: Back Matt Fitzpatrick To Win

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Matt Fitzpatrick, a notable runner-up in the 2021 Genesis Scottish Open, is poised to deliver a strong performance once again. Fitzpatrick’s recent form has been impressive, particularly his top-five finish at the Memorial Tournament, indicating he is hitting his stride at a crucial time. This momentum is crucial as players prepare for the unique challenges posed by The Renaissance Club.

Fitzpatrick’s track record at The Renaissance Club is commendable, with his precise iron play and exceptional putting skills proving well-suited to the course’s demands. His victory at the Dunhill Links Championship, another event played on a links course, further underscores his ability to excel in these conditions. The combination of firm fairways and undulating greens at The Renaissance Club requires players to be adept with their approach shots and proficient on the greens, both areas where Fitzpatrick excels.

Moreover, Fitzpatrick’s ability to handle the variable coastal winds and maintain accuracy makes him a formidable contender. His strategic approach to course management, coupled with his resilience and adaptability, positions him well to tackle the unpredictable elements that The Renaissance Club can present. Fitzpatrick’s comprehensive skill set and recent form make him a solid bet for this week’s tournament.

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Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at