Atalanta vs Como Predictions

Atalanta vs Como predictions for their Serie A affair. Following their midweek Champions League action, Atalanta BC will welcome newly promoted Como to Gewiss Stadium on Tuesday evening as they return to Serie A competition. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

Serie A | Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta vs Como Predictions

Can Atalanta’s Firepower Overwhelm Como’s Resilience on Monday Night?

• Atalanta’s Aerial Superiority
  • Atalanta have proven to be a significant threat in the air, scoring four headed goals this season—the highest in Serie A. Their prowess from crosses and set-pieces could exploit a Como defence that wins just 43.5% of their aerial duels, potentially leading to crucial goals.
• Mateo Retegui’s Scoring Streak
  • Mateo Retegui has been in scintillating form, netting four goals in as many league appearances. Averaging a goal per game, his sharp finishing adds a lethal edge to Atalanta’s attack, posing a significant challenge to a Como defence that has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match.
• Como’s Defensive Vulnerabilities
  • Como have struggled at the back, failing to keep a single clean sheet and conceding seven goals in four games. With two errors leading directly to shots, their defensive lapses could be costly against an Atalanta side that averages 5.8 shots on target per game.

Our Tips

Following their spirited display against Arsenal in the Champions League, Atalanta return to domestic action as they host newly promoted Como at the Gewiss Stadium on Tuesday evening. The Bergamaschi are eager to build on their recent successes at home, including a thrilling 3-2 victory over Fiorentina, as they face a Como side still searching for their first win of the Serie A season.

Como, under the stewardship of Cesc Fabregas, have found life challenging upon their return to the top flight after a 21-year absence. Having squandered a two-goal lead to draw against Bologna in their previous match, the Lariani are desperate to turn their fortunes around. However, they face a stern test against an Atalanta team that has been formidable on home soil.

Best Bet: Atalanta to Win and Both Teams to Score

Atalanta have been a force going forward this season, netting eight goals in their opening four league matches, which equates to an average of two goals per game. Their offensive prowess is underscored by their league-high Expected Goals (xG) tally of 7.89, and they lead Serie A in headed goals with four to their name. The attacking trio of Mateo Retegui, Ademola Lookman, and Charles De Ketelaere has been particularly effective, with Retegui scoring four times already.

Despite their attacking strengths, Atalanta’s defence has shown signs of vulnerability. They have conceded eight goals in four matches, an average of two per game, and have kept just one clean sheet in Serie A so far. This defensive frailty suggests that while they are likely to outscore opponents, they may struggle to keep them from scoring altogether.

Como, although winless, have demonstrated they can find the back of the net. Patrick Cutrone has been a bright spark for them, scoring twice this season. In their last outing, they managed to score two goals against Bologna before ultimately drawing the match. Their ability to capitalise on defensive lapses could see them grab a goal against Atalanta.

Considering Atalanta’s impressive home form—they have suffered just two defeats in their last ten matches at the Gewiss Stadium—they are strong favourites to secure all three points. However, their defensive inconsistencies make it plausible for Como to get on the scoresheet as well.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote: “Atalanta’s attacking flair is undeniable, but their defensive lapses cannot be ignored. We can expect goals from both sides, but ultimately, Atalanta’s quality should see them through,” says Luca Pratesi.

Backing Atalanta to win with both teams scoring offers a favourable balance between risk and reward, given the statistical trends and current form of both teams.

Correct Score Prediction: Atalanta 3-1 Como

A 3-1 victory for Atalanta aligns with the expectation that both teams will score, but the hosts will dominate the proceedings. Atalanta are averaging 15 shots per game and create 3.8 big chances on average, showcasing their ability to generate scoring opportunities. Their attacking efficiency, combined with Como’s defensive struggles, supports the prediction of Atalanta scoring multiple goals.

Como have conceded seven goals in four matches and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Their defence has been prone to errors, and they have made two mistakes leading directly to shots on goal. While they may manage to breach Atalanta’s less-than-sturdy defence, it’s unlikely they can outscore or even match the hosts’ firepower.

Therefore, a 3-1 scoreline reflects both teams’ tendencies: Atalanta’s potent attack and occasional defensive slips, and Como’s ability to score but general inability to prevent goals.

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