Real Madrid vs Alaves Predictions

Real Madrid vs Alaves predictions for this game in Spain’s La Liga. Real Madrid seeks ninth consecutive La Liga win at home against in-form Alaves on Tuesday. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Real Madrid

La Liga | Gameweek 36 – May 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

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Real Madrid vs Alaves Predictions

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Champions Real Madrid Seek to Extend Winning Streak Against Spirited Alaves

Key Stats

– Real Madrid have notched up eight consecutive victories in La Liga, showcasing their dominance.

– Alaves have only managed to score an average of 0.7 goals per away game this season.

– Real Madrid have kept clean sheets in 19 of their La Liga matches, underscoring their defensive strength.

Real Madrid and Alaves are set to clash at the Santiago Bernabeu in what promises to be a captivating fixture in La Liga. Real Madrid, fresh off clinching the league title, face an Alaves side that has shown resilience and unpredictability, especially after their promotion from the Segunda Division.

Overview and Team Formations

Real Madrid’s Dominant Setup: Real Madrid, managed by Carlo Ancelotti, have been in formidable form, boasting a record of 28 wins in 35 matches. Ancelotti’s strategy of rotating the squad has proven effective, keeping key players fresh while maintaining their competitive edge. The likely lineup of Courtois; Carvajal, Rudiger, Nacho, Mendy; Valverde, Camavinga, Kroos; Bellingham; Diaz, Vinicius reflects a blend of experience and dynamic youth, ready to uphold their strong home record.


Alaves’ Challenge: Alaves, under Luis Garcia Plaza, have been a surprise package this season, securing crucial points against top teams. They have been particularly impressive in recent matches, drawing inspiration from their memorable 2020 victory at the Bernabeu. Their expected lineup of Sivera; Tenaglia, Abqar, Marin, J Lopez; Benavidez, Guevara; Vicente, Guridi, Simeone; Kike Garcia suggests a setup focused on solid defending and quick counter-attacks.

Tactical Battles and Key Duels

The midfield clash between Real’s Kroos and Alaves’ Guevara will be crucial. Kroos’ ability to dictate play with precise passing contrasts with Guevara’s dynamic ball recovery and distribution, making it a pivotal area that could determine the control of the game. Additionally, the speed and agility of Vinicius Junior against the defensive acumen of Alaves’ Marin could be where the game breaks open.

Gameplay Dynamics

Real Madrid’s approach will likely be aggressive from the start, utilising their home advantage and superior squad depth to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities. Alaves, while defensive, will look for moments to exploit through counters, especially leveraging Kike Garcia’s aerial threat and Guridi’s creativity.

Strategic Pros and Cons

Real Madrid: Pros: High-scoring capability and robust defence. Cons: Potential complacency post-title win could see a dip in their usual intensity.

Alaves: Pros: Strong recent form and counter-attacking threat. Cons: Struggles against top-tier teams and a weaker away record could hinder their prospects.

Managerial Insight

Ancelotti’s rotation policy and focus on keeping players fresh for the Champions League final may introduce unpredictability in Real’s game plan, which Alaves could exploit. However, his ability to manage big-game pressures is well-documented. On the other side, Luis Garcia Plaza’s underdog approach and late-game tactics have garnered points, but facing a champion side like Real at the Bernabeu will be a formidable challenge.


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  • Best Bet: Real Madrid to Win and Over 2.5 Goals Real Madrid’s scoring prowess, especially at home, combined with Alaves’ need to push forward, suggests a high-scoring game. Real’s average of over two goals per game and their defensive solidity make them favourites to win with a scoreline reflecting multiple goals.
  • Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves Given Real Madrid’s offensive statistics and Alaves’ recent form, a 3-1 victory for Real seems plausible. Alaves have shown they can score against strong opponents, but Real’s firepower will likely overpower them.
  • Goalscorer Prediction: Vinicius Junior to Score Vinicius, with his pace and finishing ability, is expected to be a constant threat against an Alaves side that might struggle to contain him on the break.
  • First Half Result: Real Madrid to Lead at Half-Time Real Madrid’s tendency to start strong, particularly at home, and their tactical setup geared towards early dominance suggest they will take an early lead and maintain it into the half-time break.
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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.