Alaves vs Celta Vigo Predictions

Alaves vs Celta Vigo predictions for their meeting in La Liga. Alavés aim for consecutive La Liga wins as they host Celta Vigo at Mendizorrotza Stadium on Monday night. Read on for all our free betting tips and predictions.

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HERACLES VS AZ ALKMAAR
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Celta Vigo
Alaves

La Liga | Jan 27, 2025 at 8pm UK at Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Celta Vigo Predictions

Will Alaves and Celta’s Defensive Woes Lead to a Goal-Fest in Basque Country?

  • Alaves’ Defensive Woes at Home: The hosts have managed just one clean sheet in their last six league matches at Mendizorrotza Stadium.
  • Celta’s Away-Day Struggles: Celta Vigo have lost seven of their nine away matches this season, conceding in all but one of those games.
  • Prolific Kike Garcia: The Alaves striker is coming off a stunning hat-trick performance against Real Betis, showcasing his clinical finishing ability.

Best Bet for Alaves vs Celta Vigo

AZ Alkmaar to win and under 3.5 goals in the match
6/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
AZ are simply the better side at the moment, with a rock-solid defence and a well-structured attack. Heracles will fight hard, but their defensive frailties and injury concerns mean they are likely to come up short. Expect a professional performance from the visitors, who should win without the game turning into a goal-fest.

Monday night’s showdown at Mendizorrotza Stadium sees two sides desperately trying to find consistency in a La Liga season that has brought more frustrations than celebrations. Alaves, fresh off a morale-boosting 3-1 victory away at Real Betis, will be aiming to string together consecutive league wins for just the second time this campaign. On the other hand, Celta Vigo arrive in Basque Country with little cause for optimism, having suffered three consecutive defeats, conceding a worrying six goals in the process.

The stakes could hardly be higher, with Alaves sitting precariously in 17th place, just one point clear of the drop zone, while Celta, despite being four places above their hosts in 13th, are only five points safe themselves. Both sides face mounting pressure, and this match could serve as a turning point—or yet another missed opportunity.

The hosts have struggled for consistency at home this season, boasting a mixed record of three wins, three draws, and three losses from their nine outings in front of their own fans. Meanwhile, Celta’s woes on the road have been glaring, with just one win in nine away matches—a 1-0 victory over Las Palmas—and only one clean sheet to their name. All the ingredients are there for a tense, high-stakes encounter where defensive frailties could prove decisive.

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Best Bet for Alaves vs Celta Vigo: Over 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You, we believe in delivering one standout prediction per match, ensuring clarity and accountability for our readers. After analysing all available data, we’ve selected Over 2.5 Goals as our Best Bet for this fixture. This tip stands out due to the attacking tendencies of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities, which create the perfect recipe for a goal-filled encounter.


Why Over 2.5 Goals is the Smartest Choice

Breaking down the dynamics of this match, it becomes evident why backing at least three goals to be scored is a highly attractive option. Alaves, buoyed by their recent victory over Real Betis, have demonstrated a surprising capacity for finding the net. Their tally of 24 goals this season is the highest among teams in the bottom six, a testament to their attacking intent.

Kike Garcia’s scintillating hat-trick against Betis was a reminder of the danger he poses, and the forward will likely spearhead Alaves’ efforts once more. Yet, their defensive record leaves much to be desired, with 32 goals conceded and just two clean sheets in their last 18 matches across all competitions. The hosts’ ability to score is clear, but their inability to prevent goals at the other end makes high-scoring games a common occurrence.

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Celta Vigo, for their part, are no strangers to goal-heavy encounters. Their own record mirrors that of Alaves, with 32 goals conceded and 29 scored, highlighting both their attacking capability and defensive frailty. Their recent run of four consecutive games where both teams have scored is indicative of their open style of play. Borja Iglesias leads their attack, and alongside Pablo Duran, Celta possess the tools to trouble the Alaves backline. However, Claudio Giraldez’s side have been alarmingly porous at the back, particularly away from home, where their last nine fixtures have yielded six games with at least three goals scored.

What adds further weight to this prediction is the desperation both teams bring into this clash. With the stakes so high and defensive discipline lacking, the game could quickly descend into a chaotic affair where both sides prioritise attack over caution. As BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa summarises, “When two teams with defensive vulnerabilities and attacking ambition collide, goals are inevitable. Both Alaves and Celta Vigo fit this bill perfectly.”

Given their recent form and the circumstances surrounding the match, a high-scoring contest seems almost inevitable, and Over 2.5 Goals is the standout pick to back.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.