Genoa vs Monza Predictions

Genoa vs Monza Predictions for this Serie A affair. Genoa hosts Monza in a Serie A match on Saturday evening, with both teams vying for a top-half finish. Who will prevail? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.


Serie A | Gameweek 28 -Mar 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

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Genoa vs Monza Predictions

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Mid-Table Tacticians: A Strategic Encounter at Marassi

Key Stats

– Genoa and Monza are among the best defensive units in Serie A’s bottom half, conceding the fewest goals.

– Fewer than three goals have been scored in the majority of both teams’ recent fixtures, underlining their tactical discipline.

– Albert Gudmundsson stands out as Genoa’s leading scorer, creator, and dribbler, highlighting his crucial role in their attacking dynamics.

In a fascinating encounter poised to light up Serie A’s mid-table battle, Genoa welcome Monza to the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on a crisp Saturday evening. This clash promises to be a pivotal moment in their respective quests for a top-half finish. With both teams showcasing resilience and tactical acumen, this fixture is set to be a chess match on grass, where strategy, grit, and momentary brilliance could tilt the scale.

Team Analysis

Genoa, under the stewardship of Alberto Gilardino, have shown commendable tenacity, especially in their recent narrow defeat against league leaders Inter Milan. Despite a setback, their performance was a testament to their defensive organisation and ability to cause problems for even the most formidable opponents. With 33 points, their best start since 2014, the Grifone are poised to break into the top half, backed by a historical home dominance over Monza, winning 20 and drawing six of the previous encounters at Marassi.


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On the other side, Monza, under Raffaele Palladino, have equally impressed, matching the champions Napoli and third-placed Milan in points over the past six matchdays. Their recent loss to Roma was a blip in what has been a solid campaign, showcasing their growth and potential to upset the traditional hierarchy in Serie A. Notably, their defensive solidity in away games, with two consecutive clean sheets, underlines a strategic discipline that will be crucial against Genoa.

Key Players and Expected Lineups

Genoa will miss Johan Vasquez due to suspension, with Alessandro Vogliacco expected to fill in. The team’s attacking hopes will largely rest on Albert Gudmundsson and Mateo Retegui, with the former being the team’s leading scorer and creative force.

Expected Genoa lineup: Martinez; De Winter, Bani, Vogliacco; Sabelli, Frendrup, Badelj, Messias, Martin; Gudmundsson, Retegui

Monza, welcoming back Armando Izzo, will look to Andrea Colpani and Milan Đurić to lead their offensive line, aiming to exploit Genoa’s defensive gaps. The return of Izzo adds experience and steel to the backline, critical for thwarting Genoa’s attacks.

Expected Monza lineup: Di Gregorio; Birindelli, Mari, Izzo, A. Carboni; Pessina, Gagliardini; V. Carboni, Colpani, Mota; Djuric

Gameplay and Strategic Outlook

The battle will likely hinge on midfield dominance, with both teams aiming to control the tempo and create openings through patient build-up play. Genoa’s propensity for a compact defensive setup will clash with Monza’s fluid attacking movements. Key duels, particularly between Genoa’s Gudmundsson and Monza’s Izzo, could decisively influence the game’s outcome.

Both teams exhibit a balanced approach, blending solid defence with opportunistic attack. However, their recent forms suggest a tight encounter, with minimal margins for error. The tactical nous of Gilardino and Palladino, both advocating disciplined structures, will be under scrutiny as they seek to outmanoeuvre each other.

Improvements and Tactical Critiques

Genoa could benefit from enhancing their clinical edge in front of goal, having shown the capacity to create chances against top opposition. Monza, on the other hand, must find consistency in their performances, particularly in bouncing back from setbacks, as evidenced in their defeat to Roma.

Critically, Palladino’s approach has been cautious, perhaps too much so in key fixtures, which has occasionally stifled Monza’s attacking flair. A more adventurous approach, without compromising defensive stability, could unlock their full potential.


Win-Draw-Win Market: Draw
Despite the historical advantage Genoa holds, this encounter is poised to be closely contested. Both teams boast similar defensive and offensive records this season, suggesting a deadlock is likely. The tactical battle between Gilardino and Palladino, coupled with both teams’ recent form, indicates a draw could be the most probable outcome.

Correct Score Prediction: Genoa 1-1 Monza
Given the defensive solidity of both sides and their somewhat conservative approach in critical matches, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely. Expect a tactical duel with each team finding the net once as they cancel each other out.

Goalscorer Prediction: Albert Gudmundsson (Genoa)
Gudmundsson’s impact for Genoa this season has been profound, leading the team in goals, chances created, and successful dribbles. His knack for finding space and converting half-chances makes him a prime candidate to score in this fixture.

First Half Result: Draw
Both teams have shown a tendency to start cautiously in significant fixtures, focusing on maintaining structure and probing for weaknesses without overcommitting. This approach suggests the first half could end level, setting the stage for a more open second period.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!