US Open Day 12 Betting Tips: Best two bets for Men’s Semi-Finals

Free tennis tips, best bets and analysis for Day 12 of the US Open at Flushing Meadows in New York on Friday. Coco Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka face off in the US Open women’s final Saturday, following Friday’s men’s semi-finals featuring Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, and underdog Ben Shelton. Find below the best two best bets of the semifinals at Flashing Meadows, provided by our tennis guru, John Pentin.

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US Open Day 12 Tips – Men’s Semi-Finals


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change


US Open Men’s Semifinals: The Rise of New Stars and a Legendary Showdown

Key Stats
– Djokovic is aiming for his historic 24th Grand Slam title.
– Alcaraz, at 20, is the youngest top seed in US Open history with two major titles under his belt.
– Shelton, a rising American star, has clocked a serve at 149mph in this tournament.

The anticipation for the US Open men’s semifinals is palpable, as fans and pundits alike eagerly await the potential face-off between tennis titans Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz in the finals. Since the beginning of the competition, both these luminaries have been the focal points for bookmakers, marking them as the ones to potentially outshine the rest.

While the enticement of a Djokovic-Alcaraz final is enticing, the looming question remains: will the semi-finals serve as a hindrance for these favourites? Certainly, players like the 2021 US Open victor, Daniil Medvedev, and the audacious American Ben Shelton, are eager to upset the apple cart.

Ben Shelton’s Unexpected Ascent There’s a rising star on the horizon in the form of Ben Shelton. The 20-year-old’s journey to the semifinals was unanticipated by many. Having bagged the 2022 NCAA singles title for the University of Florida, this left-hander grabbed global attention with his quarterfinal debut at the Australian Open. While he’s faced some professional turbulence since January, his undeniable talent and recent performance confirm his position as the future beacon of American tennis.

However, as Shelton stands on the brink of a US Open final, the imposing shadow of Djokovic looms large. The Serbian stalwart, after clinching the first two grand slams of 2023, now has his sights set on a record-equalling 24th title. A veteran of the game, Djokovic’s track record against newcomers like Shelton is formidable, often delivering masterclasses that leave his adversaries in awe. But Shelton’s X-factor and his evident prowess might just surprise everyone, especially with the home crowd rooting for him.

The Clash of Champions: Medvedev vs Alcaraz In another thrilling semi-final matchup, we see a face-off between the last two US Open champions. The young sensation Alcaraz, holder of two major titles at the tender age of 20, is a testament to the changing dynamics of the sport. His proficiency, coupled with his impressive record against Medvedev this year, suggests he’s the one with the upper hand. Yet, writing off Medvedev would be naïve. The Russian has showcased impeccable form in this US Open and won’t be an easy opponent.

Predictions for Day 12 of the US Open

1. First Set Tie-Break Between Shelton and Djokovic: Ben Shelton, a revelation in this year’s US Open, is poised to serve up something extraordinary as he meets Novak Djokovic in the semi-finals. One can’t help but be reminded of previous encounters where Djokovic faced immense servers in the initial rounds of their clashes. For instance, Djokovic’s initial matches against the likes of Ivo Karlovic, Andy Roddick, and Milos Raonic often saw the first set stretched to a tie-break. Shelton, who boasts a staggering serve speed, touching 149mph earlier in the tournament, might be the new entrant to this list of powerful servers.

Shelton’s service game can be a critical factor in determining the course of the match, especially in its initial phase. With Djokovic having never encountered Shelton’s thunderous serves, there’s every chance that the Serb could take some time to gauge and adjust to them. Consequently, considering Djokovic’s historical precedent with powerful servers and Shelton’s potential to throw down massive serves, a tie-break in the first set becomes a tantalising prospect, providing punters with an appealing prediction to back.

2. Carlos Alcaraz to Conquer in Straight Sets: The stage is set for a hardcourt spectacle as two US Open champions lock horns. Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion, faces 2021 winner Daniil Medvedev. The Spaniard prodigy’s recent performances make a compelling case for him emerging victorious, possibly in straight sets. Having outplayed Medvedev twice this year already, once on the grass of Wimbledon and then on the slow courts of Indian Wells, Alcaraz’s dominance over the Russian is palpable.

When one juxtaposes the tournament stats of the two, a significant chasm becomes evident. Medvedev’s vulnerability is conspicuous, winning only 42% of points behind his second serve. In stark contrast, Alcaraz stands tall with a commendable 63% rate. Medvedev’s proclivity to miss his first serve, having done so 40% of the time in this tournament, provides Alcaraz with ample opportunities to unleash his groundstroke prowess. The Spaniard’s phenomenal physical fitness and his adeptness at thriving in challenging weather conditions, which had previously seen stalwarts like Djokovic falter, further tilt the scales in his favour.

In summation, considering Medvedev’s evident discomfort against Alcaraz’s playstyle, coupled with the Spanish sensation’s impeccable form and physical superiority, it wouldn’t be audacious to back Alcaraz to clinch the match in straight sets.


£10 Returns £220

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at