Tennis Betting Tips: Today’s Wimbledon predictions, preview and best bets for Men’s semi-final on Friday July 11

It’s a pivotal day at the All England Club as we edge ever closer to crowning new Wimbledon champions in both the men’s and women’s singles draws. The semi-final line-ups have delivered an appealing mix of expected giants and hungry challengers. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

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Tennis betting tips: Wimbledon Men’s semi-final Friday July 11 Predictions

Wimbledon Friday: Can Anyone Stop the Top Seeds?
  • Sinner has conceded just one break of serve in the entire tournament outside his match with Dimitrov
  • Fritz has won only 42% of second-serve points in his two previous losses to Alcaraz
  • Alcaraz has won 23 consecutive matches, but dropped at least one set in 11 of those contests

Our Tips

Jannik Sinner & Carlos Alcaraz Both To Win 1st Set & Win The Match
13/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Sinner and Alcaraz have demonstrated dominance in their service games and head-to-head superiority over their opponents. Both are in strong form and well-positioned to strike first and maintain control. With value at 13/10, backing both to win the opening set and the match is our best bet for today.

Centre Court will host the two men’s semi-finals, each with their own compelling narrative and plenty at stake.

First up, Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic resume what has quickly become one of the fiercest rivalries in recent Grand Slam history. Sinner arrives as the top seed, brimming with confidence and backed by a string of commanding performances. Djokovic, meanwhile, is chasing history once again. At 38, he’s bidding to reach an 11th Wimbledon final, but faces a huge task against a man who has had his number in recent meetings.

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Later, the defending champion Carlos Alcaraz takes on American Taylor Fritz in what is expected to be a battle of firepower and finesse. Alcaraz, already with two Wimbledon titles under his belt, enters as the overwhelming favourite but is unlikely to have things all his own way. Fritz has grown in stature during this campaign, navigating a tricky draw and proving he has the tools to disrupt.

It’s a day loaded with tension, contrasting styles, and legacy-defining potential — exactly what Wimbledon’s final stages are all about.

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Best Bet for Today: Jannik Sinner & Carlos Alcaraz Both To Win 1st Set & Win The Match

Here at BettingTips4You, we take a distinct approach. Rather than inundate our readers with a barrage of conflicting picks, we focus solely on identifying the most valuable opportunity on any given day. Our strategy is about precision, not volume — clarity instead of confusion. By providing just one carefully considered selection, we simplify the decision-making process for our audience and ensure our performance can be evaluated transparently.

Today’s standout betting angle lies in backing Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz to each claim the opening set and go on to win their respective matches. At 13/10, the value reflects both form and match dynamics.

Both men have demonstrated their capacity to strike early, asserting control from the outset. Sinner has dropped just one set en route to this semi-final and has looked especially dominant on serve, while Alcaraz found top gear in dismantling Cameron Norrie, suggesting his rhythm is peaking just in time. Their opponents — Djokovic and Fritz — have shown vulnerability, particularly in early exchanges, making this market a compelling proposition.


Sinner has looked every bit the world number one this fortnight, breezing through his draw apart from a minor scare against Dimitrov, where fortune favoured him after the Bulgarian was forced to retire. What followed was a straight-sets masterclass against Ben Shelton, where his serve was near impenetrable. Against Djokovic, Sinner carries a psychological edge, having won five of their last six meetings. Even more telling, Djokovic has struggled to make any significant dent in the Italian’s serve during those clashes, with just one break in their last three encounters. On grass, where service dominance is even more critical, this points heavily in Sinner’s favour to establish early control.

Alcaraz, meanwhile, arrives off the back of a dominant quarter-final, where he overwhelmed Norrie without losing a set. While his earlier rounds were less convincing — having dropped sets to the likes of Struff and Rublev — his progression has mirrored a building crescendo. The Spaniard’s 23-match winning streak isn’t simply a statistical curiosity; it’s reflective of a player who finds solutions under pressure and adapts with remarkable composure. Fritz has indeed served well, especially on first delivery (winning 82% of points), but his second serve remains a potential Achilles heel — something Alcaraz has exposed ruthlessly in previous meetings.

Fritz’s path to the semi-final has not been smooth. Despite navigating a difficult draw, he has required extended sets and tiebreaks to advance, with no straight-sets win to his name except against Jordan Thompson, who retired mid-match. Physically, the American may find it difficult to sustain the high-octane level required to trouble Alcaraz over four or five sets. Conversely, Alcaraz has grown stronger as the tournament has worn on and now looks close to his sharpest.

With both Sinner and Alcaraz clearly superior in baseline exchanges, holding recent head-to-head dominance, and boasting strong serving form, backing each to take the initiative from the first ball and carry it through to victory looks a wise play.


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