Tennis Betting Tips: Today’s French Open predictions, preview and best bets for Day Five on Thursday May 29

The fifth day of the 2025 French Open promises another spellbinding schedule as the clay courts of Roland Garros welcome a host of elite matchups and rising stars. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

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Tennis betting tips: French Open Day Five Thursday May 29 Predictions

Can Experience Overcome Youth in a Night of Roland Garros Theatre?
  • Gael Monfils has won more five-set matches at Roland Garros than any other Frenchman in the Open Era.
  • Jack Draper has a 10-3 record on clay in 2025, contributing to a season tally of 23-6 overall.
  • Draper won 74% of first-serve points and 76% on second serve against Bellucci, but served seven double faults in the process.

Our Tips

Carlos Alcaraz -11.5 Games Handicap vs Damir Dzumhur
11/8 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Alcaraz has shown near-flawless clay court control, dropping just one set while breezing through his opening rounds. Dzumhur’s baseline consistency won’t be enough to counter Alcaraz’s explosive athleticism and depth. Backing the Spaniard to clear an 11.5-game line offers excellent value considering the gulf in class between the two.

Following the shock exits of some key names on Wednesday, the tournament continues to offer surprises and drama in equal measure. Notably, the departures of Casper Ruud and Emma Raducanu have opened up the draws, injecting new opportunities for those still standing.

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Today’s action brings a compelling mix of youth, experience, and title contenders. Novak Djokovic resumes his campaign with a second-round clash against Frenchman Corentin Moutet, looking to build on a commanding straight-sets victory in round one. Meanwhile, world number one Jannik Sinner meets Richard Gasquet, who is contesting his final tournament before retirement. British interests are strongly represented, with Cameron Norrie taking on Argentina’s Federico Gomez, and Jack Draper continuing his journey with a daunting test against local legend Gael Monfils.

The women’s competition remains just as intriguing. Coco Gauff squares off against junior sensation Tereza Valentova, while other names like Paula Badosa, Elena Gabriela Ruse, and Katie Boulter also step onto the red dirt with progression on their minds.

With numerous matches offering lopsided odds on the favourites, savvy punters may be tempted by alternative markets, with value to be found beyond outright winners.

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Best Bet for Thursday: Gael Monfils +5.5 Games to Beat Jack Draper

Backing Gael Monfils with a +5.5 games handicap offers shrewd value in a match where emotional intensity, experience, and the unpredictable nature of a night-time Philippe-Chatrier session may all play a role. While Jack Draper has enjoyed a strong start to his 2025 campaign, the flamboyant Frenchman has shown time and again that writing him off on home soil is a perilous game.

Why This Bet Holds Value

Despite entering as the underdog, Monfils demonstrated remarkable grit and physical endurance in his five-set epic against Hugo Dellien. From two sets down, he defied not only scoreboard pressure but physical strain, having crashed into the hoardings early on. The fact he recovered to dominate the latter stages 6-1, 7-6(4), 6-1 speaks volumes of his tenacity and the electricity he draws from the Parisian crowd.

Draper, for his part, was authoritative after a slow start against Bellucci, showcasing a 74% first serve win rate and 76% success on second serves. However, those figures were recorded on a quieter Court Suzanne Lenglen, far removed from the charged atmosphere that awaits him tonight. His serving brilliance may come under pressure from Monfils’ athletic retrieval and variety.

Physically, the French veteran’s movement in set five of his opener was as sharp as it’s been in recent memory. If he can replicate that level for extended stretches, the +5.5 line could well be protected even in defeat. Draper, though the fitter and more consistent performer of the two in recent months, has shown occasional lapses, evidenced by seven double faults in round one.

Monfils’ 3/6 form in his last six matches may not scream consistency, but when fully engaged and supported by the home crowd, he is rarely dispatched with ease. Draper’s 4/6 record, while solid, does include a loss to Carlos Alcaraz and a gritty three-setter against Ruud—matches that underline his potential, but not invincibility.

All told, the margin of six games looks generous for a player who thrives on drama and has made a career out of upsetting rhythm and expectations under the Roland Garros lights.

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