The Australian Open continues on Thursday 23rd January with the women’s semi-finals matches. Our expert has found the best value bet for today’s Australian Open matches in Melbourne so don’t miss out. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
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Tennis betting tips: Australian Open Day 12 Predictions for Women’s Semi-finals
Can Badosa Push Sabalenka to the Brink in a Grand Slam Semi-Final?
- Aryna Sabalenka has covered a -4.5 game handicap in only one of her nine Grand Slam semi-finals.
- Paula Badosa has won two of her three hard-court meetings against Sabalenka.
- Badosa has dropped just one set in the tournament so far, showcasing her impressive form.
Our Best Bet
Over 39.5 Total Games | |
20/23 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning The Grand Slam final between Sinner and Zverev promises a lengthy battle, with over 39.5 games likely. Expect tiebreaks, extended rallies, and potentially four or five sets. | |
The twelfth day of the Australian Open promises high drama, as the women’s semi-finals take centre stage in Melbourne. With just four players remaining in the draw, the pressure to perform is immense. Among the matchups, one stands out as a particularly fascinating encounter: Aryna Sabalenka, the tournament’s top seed, faces off against Paula Badosa, a player who has rediscovered her best form. Both competitors bring unique strengths to this stage, and their contrasting styles make for an intriguing showdown.
Sabalenka’s path to the semi-finals has been far from smooth. While she boasts an aggressive baseline game and powerful serving, cracks in her game have been evident. In her quarter-final match, she was pushed to three sets by Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, a reminder that she is not invulnerable. Meanwhile, Badosa has shown considerable poise and control throughout the tournament. After defeating Coco Gauff in straight sets in the quarter-finals, Badosa’s confidence appears to be at an all-time high. Despite being ranked outside the top 50 just last year, the Spaniard’s performances have marked her as a dangerous outsider.
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As these two close friends prepare to face each other, the semi-final stage is likely to amplify their emotions and test their composure. Sabalenka leads the head-to-head series, but Badosa has proven her ability to trouble the Belarusian in previous hard-court encounters. The anticipation for this match is high, and it has all the ingredients for a tightly contested affair.
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Best Bet for the Day: Aryna Sabalenka to Win 2-1
This prediction is grounded in Sabalenka’s ability to ultimately overpower her opponents when the stakes are at their highest, but not without significant resistance from Badosa. Sabalenka’s sheer power, especially on her serve and forehand, has been the cornerstone of her game. However, Badosa’s recent form and tactical acumen are likely to prevent this match from being a straightforward affair for the Belarusian.
Badosa has already demonstrated her ability to play at an elite level, particularly during her commanding win over Gauff. Her forehand, a key weapon, has been striking with precision and depth, qualities that will be necessary to disrupt Sabalenka’s rhythm. Moreover, her ability to absorb pressure and counterpunch effectively means she is capable of taking a set, as she has done against Sabalenka on multiple occasions in the past.
Still, Sabalenka’s superior Grand Slam experience and mental toughness in decisive moments are likely to tilt the match in her favour. Badosa’s lack of experience at this stage of a major could show, particularly as the pressure intensifies in the latter stages of the match. Sabalenka’s record of reaching back-to-back Australian Open finals further underscores her capacity to thrive in Melbourne. A 2-1 scoreline seems plausible, as Badosa has shown she has the tools to make this competitive but may ultimately fall short against the world-class power of her opponent.
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