The sixth day of the Canadian Open in Toronto sees the third round reach its crescendo, with several fascinating contests set to light up the hard courts. With players now settling into the rhythm of North America’s fast-paced summer swing, the pressure intensifies. Among the ties headlining the day are intriguing matchups that promise tight margins and fiercely contested rallies. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
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Tennis betting tips: ATP Toronto Last-32 Friday August 1 Predictions
Can Sonego Make the Most of Toronto’s Fast Courts?
- Sonego won 79% of his first serve points against Bu Yunchaokete, showcasing his potency on fast courts.
- Rublev has only one win over a top-100 opponent since the French Open, indicating recent struggles at higher levels.
- The head-to-head between the two stands at 2-2, but all of Rublev’s wins came indoors—never outdoors.
Our Tips
Lorenzo Sonego To Win 1st Set 6-3 Or 6-4 | |
7/2 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Sonego’s strong form, aggressive play, and comfort on Toronto’s surface contrast Rublev’s struggles, making the Italian likely to claim the first set by a single break.
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Ben Shelton continues his strong form as he faces Brandon Nakashima again, looking to extend his dominance in their head-to-head series. Arthur Fils, having made a smooth transition to hard courts, takes on Jiri Lehecka in what could be a tactical battle from the baseline. Elsewhere, Alex de Minaur meets compatriot Christopher O’Connell for the first time on the tour level, both of whom arrive in form and prepared for a lengthy test of endurance and accuracy.
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However, the standout fixture might well be between Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego. The Russian brings solid credentials but remains inconsistent on this surface of late, while the Italian is quietly gaining momentum. With both players carrying contrasting form lines and styles, this one looks especially unpredictable.
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Best Bet for the Day: Lorenzo Sonego to Win 1st Set 6-3 or 6-4
Here at BettingTips4You, we focus on precision over volume. Our philosophy is to spotlight just one carefully analysed prediction per event. This means our readers are presented with a clear and confident choice, making it far easier to track performance and understand the reasoning behind each tip. Today’s Best Bet focuses on the third-round clash between Lorenzo Sonego and Andrey Rublev.
Tip: Sonego to Win 1st Set 6-3 or 6-4
Why Back This Selection?
Lorenzo Sonego arrives in Toronto with renewed purpose, having dismantled Bu Yunchaokete in just 16 games during the second round. The Italian’s performance was authoritative, underlined by his 79% success rate on first serve and his ability to convert four break points while restricting his opponent to just four winners in the entire match. This aggressive style suits the pace of the Toronto courts, which have drawn consistent criticism from Rublev himself.
Rublev’s win over Hugo Gaston appeared solid on paper—delivering four breaks and capturing 77% of first-serve points—but the Russian’s post-match comments told a different story. He labelled the surface “crazy” and admitted that he was finding it “super hard to control the ball,” which doesn’t bode well for maintaining rhythm under pressure.
While Rublev has beaten Sonego in both of their indoor hard court encounters, this outdoor setting is markedly different. Their head-to-head record is evenly split, and Sonego’s two wins have come when he’s been allowed to dictate pace early. The last time they met, just one break of serve separated them. With Rublev admitting he’s been unsettled by both surface speed and weather conditions, there’s a window for the Italian to strike fast.
Sonego’s sharper current form also lends weight to this prediction. He’s won four of his last six matches, compared to Rublev’s three, and crucially his performances on faster surfaces have been noticeably cleaner. The Italian’s aggressive mindset, when combined with the Russian’s discomfort in the conditions, creates a scenario where a strong start for Sonego becomes not only plausible, but likely. The margins here suggest a first-set win by a single break—either 6-3 or 6-4—is well within reach.
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