Tennis Betting Tips: Today’s ATP Toronto predictions, preview and best bets for Day One on Monday July 28

The opening day of the ATP Masters 1000 event in Toronto gets underway with a compelling mix of first-round ties that are likely to test form, resilience and match fitness. As the tournament unfolds on the medium-fast Har-Tru courts newly adopted for this edition, players will need to adapt quickly to the surface to survive the early rounds. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

Tennis betting tips: ATP Toronto Day 1 Monday July 28 Predictions

Will a Strong Start Be Enough to Decide the Outcome in Toronto?

• Moutet has played six matches in the past eight days, including a semi-final run in Washington.
• Brooksby has dropped just one set in each of his last two wins on tour, both coming in straight-sets victories.
• BettingTips4You Expert Rating suggests Moutet’s current edge is largely influenced by short-term results rather than sustainable performance.

Our Tips

While the top seeds won’t feature until later in the week, today’s fixtures are crucial in determining who can gain early momentum and potentially mount a deep run.

Among the day’s matches, Juncheng Shang’s return from injury against James Duckworth raises questions about match sharpness, while Pierre-Hugues Herbert takes on Tomás Martín Etcheverry in a clash that contrasts styles and surface preferences. Veteran Vasek Pospisil makes his final appearance on home soil against fellow 35-year-old Facundo Bagnis in what promises to be an emotionally charged encounter. Meanwhile, Roberto Carballes Baena aims to capitalise on a scheduling and physical disadvantage for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, who is coming off a recent match in Europe and a persistent thigh issue.

Elsewhere, Sebastian Ofner faces the towering Reilly Opelka, whose serve could wreak havoc in these quick conditions. Emilio Nava and Zizou Bergs also lock horns in one of the day’s most evenly matched contests. However, it’s the duel between Corentin Moutet and Jenson Brooksby that grabs the spotlight — not only due to their contrasting fortunes in recent weeks but also because of what it might reveal about both players’ confidence and adaptability.

Best Bet for the Day: Jenson Brooksby to Win 2-0 vs Corentin Moutet

At BettingTips4You, we prioritise delivering one refined selection per event. Our philosophy is rooted in providing carefully considered tips rather than overwhelming our readers with multiple choices. This allows for greater clarity, reduces confusion, and ensures we can transparently assess the accuracy and success of each prediction. For today’s action in Toronto, our featured pick is Jenson Brooksby to win in straight sets against Corentin Moutet.

While Moutet arrives in Toronto fresh from a semi-final run in Washington, his surge may have come at a physical and mental cost. A sequence of five victories in six days, including triumphs over seeded opposition such as Daniil Medvedev and Alexandre Muller, speaks to his form but also suggests fatigue may now become a factor. The effort required to reach the last four in such a high-intensity event cannot be understated, and with barely any recovery time, he now faces a quick turnaround on a similar hardcourt surface.

Brooksby, on the other hand, comes into this clash with something to prove. Despite a disappointing run on hard courts this year — including a recent defeat to Nishioka in Washington — his overall level of play has not been as poor as the record suggests. When analysing his results more closely, Brooksby has shown competitiveness even in losses, and his strong return game can be particularly useful against opponents who play with variety and touch, as Moutet tends to do.

There’s also a strategic edge here for Brooksby. Moutet’s game thrives when he’s the disruptor, dragging opponents into extended exchanges and mixing tempo. However, Brooksby’s flat hitting and ability to redirect pace make him a difficult opponent to outmanoeuvre in this fashion. With Moutet likely carrying physical wear from Washington and Brooksby eager to reset his season, the conditions appear to favour the American. A straight-sets win for Brooksby not only reflects the tactical match-up but also the likelihood of Moutet’s recent workload catching up with him early.

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