Tennis Betting Tips: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions, preview and best bets for Wimbledon semi-final on Friday July 11

As Wimbledon enters its business end, anticipation surrounds today’s semi-final clash between two of the tournament’s standout performers. Centre Court will play host to the first men’s semi-final, with Carlos Alcaraz facing off against Taylor Fritz in a high-stakes encounter. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

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Tennis betting tips: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz Wimbledon semi-final Friday July 11 Predictions

Could This Be a Serving Duel to Remember on Centre Court?
  • Fritz has won more grass-court matches this year (13) than any other player in the draw.
  • Alcaraz hit 89% of first-serve points in his straight-sets win over Norrie.
  • Fritz edges Alcaraz in tournament serving stats: 85% to 77% on first-serve points and 69% to 53% on second-serve points.

Our Tips

Carlos Alcaraz to Win 3-2
11/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Alcaraz’s dominance in five-set matches, combined with Sinner’s exceptional serving form, suggests a tightly contested final. Given their history of epic battles, including June’s Paris classic, we expect another marathon. Alcaraz’s tactical versatility and mental edge in crunch moments make him the likelier victor in a five-set thriller.

Both players arrive with momentum, belief and a place in the final firmly in their sights.

Carlos Alcaraz, still only 22, continues to elevate his already illustrious career. After picking up a dominant win against Cameron Norrie in the quarter-finals, the Spaniard extended his unbeaten run to 23 matches, reinforcing his status as a genuine force on all surfaces. Wimbledon has become a fortress for him; the two-time defending champion has compiled a 19-match win streak at SW19 and is now targeting a third straight final at the All England Club.

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For Taylor Fritz, this marks uncharted territory in Wimbledon terms. Although the American has reached a Slam semi-final once before, this is his first time in the final four at Wimbledon. However, his grass-court credentials are not in doubt, with titles in Stuttgart and Eastbourne in the lead-up, and a string of hard-fought victories en route to today’s match. From surviving five-set battles against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Gabriel Diallo to overcoming Karen Khachanov in four, Fritz has shown grit and serving excellence throughout the fortnight.

The question now is whether the fifth seed can find the formula to trouble a player as complete and composed as Alcaraz. What is clear is that both competitors are serving at a high level — and that could well shape the outcome of this absorbing contest.

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Best Bet for Today: Taylor Fritz Over 9 Aces & Carlos Alcaraz Over 14 Aces

At BettingTips4You, our philosophy is built around focus and precision. Rather than clutter your decision-making with multiple options, we believe in highlighting just one premium selection for each contest — the best value we can identify. This strategy allows readers to follow with confidence and makes performance assessment clear and transparent.

For today’s blockbuster on Centre Court, our top selection is Taylor Fritz to serve more than 9 aces and Carlos Alcaraz to fire at least 15 aces, with this combined bet priced at 5/1. Given both players’ form and serving stats across the tournament, this market offers compelling value.


Fritz’s journey to the semi-final has been fuelled by the potency of his first serve. Even in gruelling five-set encounters, the American has maintained a high level on serve, conceding just one break against Davidovich Fokina and zero in that demanding first-round clash with Mpetshi Perricard. He also demonstrated big-match temperament by closing out Khachanov in a tense fourth-set tiebreak, further underlining the reliability of his delivery under pressure. With grass amplifying the rewards of big serving, Fritz should comfortably pass double digits in the ace column.

Alcaraz, meanwhile, is not far behind in terms of firepower. While often recognised for his variety and all-court athleticism, the Spaniard has developed a hugely effective serve — a fact showcased in the win over Norrie where he won 89% of points behind his first delivery and faced just five break points. Although he was broken several times earlier in the tournament, his serving rhythm has sharpened as the rounds have progressed. Given Fritz’s solid return game and the likelihood of some extended sets, Alcaraz could easily rack up a significant ace count. His previous Grand Slam outings have shown that when he finds his groove, he can serve opponents off the court for spells.

With both men possessing powerful serves and playing under conditions that favour quick points, this ace-based selection captures the rhythm and pattern likely to define this semi-final.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.