Friday, 5 September delivers a thrilling evening at Flushing Meadows, where the men’s semi-finals headline under the Arthur Ashe lights. The stage could hardly be grander: Novak Djokovic, the 24-time Grand Slam champion, faces Carlos Alcaraz, the Spanish prodigy already established among the sport’s elite.
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Tennis betting tips: Novak Djokovic v Carlos Alcaraz US Open Semi Final Predictions for Friday September 5
Can Djokovic’s experience withstand Alcaraz’s energy in New York?
- Djokovic lead the head-to-head 5-3, including three victories on hard courts.
- Alcaraz has not lost a set at this year’s US Open, conceding serve only once in five matches.
- Djokovic needed four sets to defeat Taylor Fritz in the quarter-finals, showing his vulnerability in extended contests.
Our Tips
Carlos Alcaraz To Win The 1st Set & Win The Match | |
9/4 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Alcaraz’s tournament serving has been exemplary, with only two breaks conceded, and his forehand has dictated pivotal points. Sinner’s minor mid-tournament wobble and occasional set drops suggest early vulnerability. Securing set one allows Alcaraz to apply scoreboard pressure and broaden patterns. The 9/4 enhances a data-backed edge. | |
The Serbian has come through his half of the draw with a blend of guile and perseverance. He eased past Learner Tien in round one, then overcame mid-match tests from Zachary Svajda and Cameron Norrie before dismissing Jan-Lennard Struff in straight sets. His toughest battle arrived in the quarter-final, when he required four sets to quell Taylor Fritz in three hours and 24 minutes. That win confirmed him as the oldest men’s semi-finalist in the Open Era and underlined his ability to find solutions under pressure.
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Alcaraz, meanwhile, has been clinical. The Spaniard defeated Reilly Opelka, Luciano Darderi, Arthur Rinderknech and Jiri Lehecka without conceding a set, combining clean baseline control with an aggressive return game. He has now extended his winning tally for 2025 to 59, carrying momentum from five titles this year. Notably, he has faced only one break of serve across his five matches, highlighting both focus and efficiency.
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With one man embodying longevity and the other brimming with youthful power, the match promises intensity and tactical intrigue. Fans at Arthur Ashe can expect shifting momentum, extended rallies and the sense that every set could swing the balance.
Best Bet for the Day
At bettingtips4you, we believe in clarity. That means one selection per event, not several competing options. This way, our readers know exactly where we stand, and our results can be measured transparently.
Our Best Bet for today is: Carlos Alcaraz to win 3-2.
Why Back This Prediction
Backing Alcaraz to win in five sets aligns with the way both players have moved through the draw and the dynamics of their rivalry. Djokovic has dropped sets against Svajda, Norrie and Fritz, suggesting that at this stage of his career, he often shares momentum before reasserting control. Alcaraz, by contrast, has surged through without conceding a set, but this will be his first meeting in New York against an opponent of Djokovic’s calibre.
Head-to-head numbers favour Djokovic 5-3, including victories in Australia earlier this year and at the Paris Olympics in 2024. Yet the Spaniard’s form since Miami has been extraordinary: seven straight finals, five titles, and only two defeats in six months. His freshness, combined with his ability to accelerate in long exchanges, makes him well suited to the physical demands of a five-set encounter.
The tactical battle also leans towards length. Djokovic will look to target the Alcaraz backhand and exploit second serves, as he did with success in Melbourne. Alcaraz, however, can change the shape of rallies with explosive forehands and speed around the court. Over five sets, the younger legs are expected to prevail, but not without the veteran first securing his share of the contest. That mix of endurance and momentum swings points to 3-2 as the most logical outcome.
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