The Miami Open schedule heats up with a string of engaging third-round encounters that promise high-calibre tennis and compelling subplots. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
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Tennis betting tips: Miami Open Day 3 matches Predictions
Can Cerundolo’s Grit Tip the Balance in a Tight Miami Clash?
- Every match between Cerundolo and Paul has gone to a deciding set
- Cerundolo has won four of their six previous clashes
- Paul has never progressed beyond the fourth round in Miami across six appearances
Our Tips
Novak Djokovic -3.5 to Win | |
3/4 - odds when tipped |  |
Reasoning Djokovic’s superior head-to-head record, powerful form on hard courts, and excellent first serve percentage make the -3.5 games handicap an appealing pick. Dimitrov's inconsistent serving and patchy results this year leave him vulnerable against the Serbian’s baseline pressure and returning prowess. Expect a straightforward win for Djokovic in this clash. | |
The Miami Open schedule heats up with a string of engaging third-round encounters that promise high-calibre tennis and compelling subplots. Among the day’s standout fixtures, the match between Francisco Cerundolo and Tommy Paul takes centre stage, with both players eyeing a place in the last 16. The winner here will meet whoever emerges victorious from the tie between Casper Ruud and Alejandro Tabilo—adding extra weight to this already significant match.
This year’s edition has already thrown up its share of talking points, and the two men squaring off today carry form and ambition into their clash. Paul, seeded 12th, comes into the contest with solid momentum and a live ranking that currently places him 13th in the world. His path to this point included a hard-earned victory over Alexander Bublik, and he will be seeking to maintain that upward curve in performance.
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Cerundolo, however, has his own reasons for confidence. The Argentine has not only made consistent progress at ATP events recently, including quarter-final appearances in four consecutive tournaments, but he has also shown resilience and tactical clarity on court. He brushed aside Alexandre Muller in straight sets in the previous round, showcasing a composed and clinical display. As these players prepare to face off once again, it’s worth noting that the rivalry has tilted slightly in Cerundolo’s favour over their six meetings so far.
With both athletes showing sparks of form and the backdrop of a potentially deep run in Miami, this matchup has all the ingredients of a tightly contested battle.
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Best Bet for the Day: Cerundolo to Win in Three Sets
Backing Francisco Cerundolo to come through in three sets appears to be the value option today. There’s solid logic behind expecting another decider between these two, and this particular outcome strikes a balance between form, matchup dynamics, and tournament context.
All six of their previous encounters have gone the distance, a trend which suggests a psychological and tactical parity that often pushes them into extended matches. While Paul has claimed their sole hardcourt meeting, Cerundolo has dominated overall with four wins from six, and he’s in excellent shape coming into this one. His recent performances, including four victories in his last five matches and a straightforward win over Muller, show he’s adapting well to the conditions in Miami.
In contrast, Paul’s form is strong but not without cracks. While the American has racked up a respectable 13-4 record this season and has reached semi-finals at both Adelaide and Dallas, his Miami record leaves something to be desired. In six previous attempts, he’s never advanced past the fourth round and holds a modest 6-5 record at this event.
With Cerundolo’s recent match rhythm, consistent results, and psychological edge in this particular head-to-head, a three-set win for the Argentine offers value—especially when accounting for their history of closely contested encounters.
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