Tennis Betting Tips: Miami Open quarter-finals predictions, preview and best bets

The Miami Open continues to gather momentum as we enter the business end of the tournament, with Wednesday delivering a compelling slate of action. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

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Tennis betting tips: Miami Open quarter-finals Predictions

A Busy Wednesday in the Tennis World as Miami Quarter-Finals Take Centre Stage
  • Djokovic has never lost a quarter-final match at the Miami Open.
  • Korda has earned four consecutive wins over top-10 opponents ahead of this match.
  • Djokovic has won all three of his matches in Miami 2025 without dropping a single set.

Our Tips

Novak Djokovic -3.5 to Win
3/4 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Djokovic’s superior head-to-head record, powerful form on hard courts, and excellent first serve percentage make the -3.5 games handicap an appealing pick. Dimitrov's inconsistent serving and patchy results this year leave him vulnerable against the Serbian’s baseline pressure and returning prowess. Expect a straightforward win for Djokovic in this clash.

The Miami Open continues to gather momentum as we enter the business end of the tournament, with Wednesday delivering a compelling slate of action. All eyes are fixed on the quarter-finals, where the remaining contenders battle for a place in the final four of one of the ATP Tour’s most prestigious Masters 1000 events. The sun-baked courts of Miami Gardens, though interrupted by rain earlier in the week, are expected to deliver high drama and high stakes as the tournament reaches its crescendo.

In what promises to be the headline act of the day, home favourite Sebastian Korda squares off against six-time champion Novak Djokovic. It’s a rematch of their 2023 Adelaide final, a three-set thriller that saw the Serbian recover from match point down to clinch victory. This time, the setting is different, but the intensity and narrative remain.

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Korda has fought hard to reach this stage, showing grit in overcoming Gael Monfils after a turbulent battle that included a medical timeout and delays due to weather. The American is no stranger to adversity and has already taken out high-profile opponents in this tournament, including Stefanos Tsitsipas. However, physical concerns remain as he carries the burden of previous injuries and mid-match treatments into this clash.

Across the net, Djokovic has been nothing short of clinical. Returning to Miami for the first time since 2019, the Serbian has brushed aside every challenger without conceding a set. His latest triumph – a 6-2, 6-2 dismantling of Lorenzo Musetti – reaffirmed his sharpness, especially after a stuttering start that sparked a brutal shift in intensity.

With Francisco Cerundolo or Grigor Dimitrov awaiting the winner in the semi-finals, both men understand the importance of seizing this opportunity. Yet, only one can progress – and Djokovic’s hunger for a 100th ATP title might just tip the balance.

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Best Bet for Wednesday: Novak Djokovic to Win 2-1

Rationale:
While Novak Djokovic has glided through the draw so far, the challenge posed by Sebastian Korda may prove trickier than his previous encounters in Miami. The American’s power, shot-making variety and fearless approach, especially against top-ten players, have been well-documented this week. After a convincing win over Tsitsipas and a hard-fought three-setter against Monfils, Korda enters this contest with both confidence and local crowd support. However, physical limitations cannot be overlooked. The 24-year-old’s recurring injury concerns saw him seek medical attention during his last match and even led to a withdrawal from doubles competition.

Djokovic, by contrast, appears to be regaining rhythm after an inconsistent start to the season. He’s won 10 of his 14 matches in 2025 and looked particularly dominant against Musetti. But even within that dominant display, signs of vulnerability were visible in the early games. The Serb tends to elevate his level when tested, and Korda has the firepower to steal a set, just as he did in Adelaide.

A repeat of their three-set encounter from 2023 feels likely, especially with Korda’s recent record against top-tier opponents and Djokovic still settling fully into his rhythm. Expect the American to push the fourth seed, but not to the finish line.

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With more than 10 years of business expertise, Graham Hartshorn is a recognized authority on sports betting. He is the betting coordinator for @BTips4You, where he provides content for football fans.  Graham  is a reliable source for sports betting advice and analysis because of his enthusiasm for the business and his successful track record over the years.