Tennis Betting Tips: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz predictions, preview and best bets for Wimbledon final on Sunday July 13

Sunday at SW19 offers a compelling conclusion to Wimbledon 2025, with one match on the day’s schedule—yet that single fixture is monumental. Centre Court will host the men’s singles final between the two most dominant players in the sport today: Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

Tennis betting tips: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz Wimbledon final Sunday July 13 Predictions

Who Will Crack the Code on Centre Court?

• Carlos Alcaraz has won all five of his previous Grand Slam finals and is unbeaten in five-set matches against Jannik Sinner.
• Jannik Sinner has held serve in 95% of his Wimbledon 2025 games, losing his delivery only four times.
• Eight of their 14 head-to-head encounters have gone the distance, including all three of their Grand Slam five-setters.

Our Tips

Sunday’s Showdown: A Grand Slam Finale for the Ages

Set for a 4:00 p.m. BST start, this is a match that needs no hyperbole. These two have not only split the last six Grand Slam titles between them, but they’ve also contested some of the most memorable battles in recent tennis history—including a titanic five-set final in Paris just five weeks ago.

Alcaraz, currently ranked second in the world, is chasing a third consecutive Wimbledon title. He has not lost a match at SW19 since his 2022 defeat to Sinner, making this an opportunity for revenge on both sides. The Spaniard arrives with 24 straight match wins and a flawless record in Grand Slam finals, having never tasted defeat on tennis’s biggest stages.

Sinner, meanwhile, has been the model of consistency throughout the tournament. With a serve that’s been near untouchable—holding in 95% of his service games—he’s carved through the draw with minimum fuss. Only Grigor Dimitrov posed a meaningful threat, and even that challenge faded when the Bulgarian was forced to retire after going two sets up. In the semi-final, Sinner dealt clinically with Novak Djokovic, dispatching the seven-time champion in straight sets to reach his first Wimbledon final.

While bookmakers marginally favour Alcaraz, Sinner’s form has closed the gap. The Italian has excelled on grass this year, using his heavy groundstrokes and clean ball-striking to impose himself early in rallies. Yet he’s up against an opponent who thrives under pressure, whose combination of drop shots, court coverage and offensive flair is unrivalled.

The head-to-head leans heavily in favour of Alcaraz, who has won their last five meetings and leads the rivalry 9-4. Nevertheless, the nuances of surface and momentum suggest a tight encounter lies ahead. Sunday’s match promises not just drama but a technical and tactical war—one that could easily swing on a few pivotal points.

Best Bet for Wimbledon Final: Carlos Alcaraz to Win 3-2

At BettingTips4You, we believe in precision over abundance. That’s why we provide only one carefully analysed prediction per event. Our focus on one standout tip ensures clarity for readers and transparency for evaluating performance. For today’s Wimbledon final, our top selection is: Carlos Alcaraz to win in five sets (3-2).

This match has all the markings of another epic, and the evidence points towards a decider being needed to separate these elite athletes. Alcaraz’s combination of superior variety and proven five-set resilience makes him our pick—just as long as the Italian pushes him as hard as expected.

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Why Carlos Alcaraz in Five Sets?

In recent months, no rivalry has defined the men’s game more vividly than Alcaraz vs. Sinner. Their clash in the French Open final was a modern classic, lasting nearly five and a half hours and seeing Alcaraz recover from two sets down to snatch victory. That kind of comeback encapsulates the Spaniard’s competitive edge. On grass, where his game seems even more complete, he becomes harder still to break down.

Yet, while the second seed brings an enviable skillset to the court—possibly the finest drop shot in the game, an elite net presence, and phenomenal shot-making—it’s also clear he doesn’t win all his matches in straight sets. In fact, at this very tournament, he has dropped a set in four of his six outings. Against Fritz in the semis, he looked majestic, but the American still managed to take a set and came close to forcing a decider. That performance, widely hailed as one of the best grass-court displays in recent memory, showcased Alcaraz’s ceiling. But it also highlighted that, even when playing near his best, he remains vulnerable over sets.

On the other hand, Sinner has held serve with incredible consistency—95% hold rate, and broken only four times all tournament. He’s outperformed Alcaraz in key serve stats: 82% of first-serve points won to the Spaniard’s 79%, and 64% on second serves compared to 54%. He’s also been marginally more efficient in converting break points, breaking in 32% of return games versus Alcaraz’s 27%. These figures suggest the Italian won’t be brushed aside; if anything, he’ll likely make early inroads and potentially take the lead.

Where Alcaraz shines is in the depth and unpredictability of his game. While Sinner’s forehand is a bludgeoning weapon and his backhand holds up well under pressure, he can become rhythmically rigid. Alcaraz thrives on disrupting that rhythm. His drop shots, which pulled Fritz forward repeatedly, are likely to target Sinner’s movement—an area he’s improved but still not mastered at the same level.

And then there’s the psychological edge. Alcaraz leads their recent battles, winning all three finals they’ve contested in the last year. Most crucially, he’s unbeaten in five-set matches against Sinner. Whether it’s at the French Open or the US Open, when matches go the distance, the Spaniard has always prevailed. That composure in the highest-pressure moments is why he enters Sunday’s final as a slight favourite.

What’s also noteworthy is that their matches tend to go long. Eight of their 14 meetings have required a deciding set, and with both players serving strongly on quick grass courts, chances for breaks may be limited. A tiebreak or two seems probable, increasing the likelihood of a match stretching to the full five sets.

While the margins are fine, they favour Alcaraz. His current 24-match win streak, his proven Grand Slam pedigree (5-0 in finals), and his ability to turn adversity into opportunity all point to another five-set triumph.

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