Tennis Betting Tips: Australian Open day two predictions, preview and best bets

The Australian Open continues on Monday 12th January with lots of games of the first round. Our expert has found the best value bet for Monday’s 12th January matches in Melbourne. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

Tennis betting tips: Australian Open Day Two Predictions

Will the All-Italian Duel Serve Up a Five-Set Thriller?

• Matteo Arnaldi has won 14% more points on his second serve than Musetti across their early-season performances, highlighting his consistency under pressure.
• Musetti has saved only 59% of the break points he has faced in his career, a vulnerability Arnaldi could capitalise on.
• On hard courts, Musetti has only won 23% of return games, while Arnaldi’s recent hard-court form suggests he could outperform his compatriot in this area.

Our Tips

Day Two’s Schedule: A Mix of Anticipation and Big Names

The Australian Open’s second day promises high-quality tennis, with several marquee match-ups across Melbourne Park. Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic will begin their campaigns, both aiming to justify their billing as top contenders for the men’s title. While both face opponents who have shown form in the opening weeks of 2025, the expectation is that the two stars will navigate these early hurdles without significant trouble. Fans, however, are already looking ahead to the possibility of a mouth-watering quarter-final meeting between the two heavyweights.

Elsewhere, the night session on Rod Laver Arena will rekindle memories of last year’s first-round thriller between Caroline Garcia and Naomi Osaka. Garcia edged Osaka in a tight contest twelve months ago, but the Japanese star is tipped to cruise through this time despite lingering concerns over an abdominal injury sustained in Auckland. All eyes will be on how the former champion’s fitness holds up during her return to Grand Slam action.

One of the most intriguing matches of the day, however, pits two Italians against each other. Lorenzo Musetti faces Matteo Arnaldi in a clash that promises to test both players’ skillsets and mental toughness. With contrasting styles and a history of competitive encounters, this match has all the ingredients to steal the spotlight.

Best Bet for the Day: Over 38.5 Games in Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti

This all-Italian encounter between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti has the potential to be a closely fought and lengthy contest, making over 38.5 games a strong prediction. Arnaldi, coming off an impressive start to the season, has showcased his growing confidence and consistency on hard courts. The Sanremo native’s powerful forehand, which combines force with versatility, allows him to dictate play from the baseline, making him a dangerous opponent. His recent performance against Alexei Popyrin, a player many rate as a dark horse in Melbourne, underlines his readiness. Arnaldi’s 6-3, 6-2 victory highlighted not only his power but also his ability to stay mentally composed under pressure.

Meanwhile, Musetti’s reputation as a player with elegant shot-making and a spectacular one-handed backhand is well-earned. However, his struggles on hard courts remain a concern. Although he has achieved success on clay and grass, including a Wimbledon semi-final and an Olympic bronze medal, the faster surfaces tend to expose weaknesses in his game, particularly when rushed into making decisions. This surface dynamic favours Arnaldi, who has the weapons to exploit Musetti’s vulnerabilities, particularly on his backhand wing.

Given their history, with Musetti having won both of their previous meetings on clay, this contest is likely to differ due to the change in surface. Hard courts tend to favour more aggressive players like Arnaldi, but Musetti’s ability to fight through rollercoaster matches cannot be dismissed. With both players bringing contrasting strengths, this match is likely to go the distance, and a lengthy battle feels inevitable.

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