Tennis Betting Tips: ATP Tour predictions, preview and best bets for Miami Open

The Miami Open is one of the standout events on the ATP Tour calendar, forming a crucial part of the so-called ‘Sunshine Double’ alongside Indian Wells. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.

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Tennis betting tips: ATP Tour Predictions

Can a New Champion Emerge at the Miami Open 2025?
  • Ben Shelton boasts an impressive 87% service games won percentage, making him one of the most difficult players to break.
  • Shelton’s first-serve success rate stands at 76%, giving him a strong foundation to control his matches.
  • The last American to win the Miami Open was John Isner in 2018, and Shelton has the power and home advantage to follow in his footsteps.

Our Tips

Ben Shelton to Win the Miami Open
22/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Ben Shelton’s game is perfectly suited to the Miami conditions, with his dominant serve and powerful groundstrokes making him a serious contender. His ability to win crucial points under pressure, combined with the advantage of playing in front of a home crowd, makes him an excellent value pick at 22/1. With no clear frontrunner in the draw, Shelton has a genuine opportunity to claim his first Masters 1000 title.

The Miami Open is one of the standout events on the ATP Tour calendar, forming a crucial part of the so-called ‘Sunshine Double’ alongside Indian Wells. While both tournaments take place on hard courts in the United States, they present very different challenges to the players. Indian Wells, staged in the California desert, features slow and high-bouncing courts due to the dry air. In contrast, the Miami Open takes place in Florida’s humid conditions, where the Laykold courts play faster but the heavier air causes the ball to fluff up and slow down over time.

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This change in playing conditions makes the Miami Open a difficult event to predict, as players must quickly adjust their game from one extreme to another. This year’s edition promises to be particularly open, with last year’s champion Jannik Sinner absent due to suspension. Additionally, several of the ATP Tour’s elite players have been struggling for consistency, making it difficult to pinpoint a dominant favourite.

Carlos Alcaraz, a previous winner in Miami, remains a major threat, yet his recent defeat to Jack Draper at Indian Wells raises questions about his form. Meanwhile, Novak Djokovic returns to this event for the first time since 2019, adding another layer of intrigue. Daniil Medvedev, the 2023 winner, will also be keen to seize the opportunity in a tournament that has often suited his style of play. However, with a lack of a clear frontrunner, the stage may be set for an emerging star to make a deep run in Florida.

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Best Bet: Ben Shelton to Win the Miami Open

Given the circumstances surrounding this year’s Miami Open, Ben Shelton looks to be an excellent value bet at 22/1 to claim the title. The American has all the tools required to thrive in Miami, and with a home crowd behind him, this could be his breakthrough moment on the Masters 1000 stage.

Shelton’s left-handed serve is one of the most effective weapons on the tour, consistently allowing him to dictate points from the outset. His career first-serve win rate stands at an impressive 76%, while his service games won percentage is an equally strong 87%. These numbers underline just how difficult he is to break, particularly on quicker hard courts. Moreover, his aggressive style of play means he is able to pressure opponents in their service games, and his 38% break-point conversion rate suggests he can capitalise on opportunities when they arise.

His recent performances indicate he is in strong form, having reached the semi-finals of the Australian Open earlier this year. His ability to handle high-pressure situations was evident in that tournament, where he demonstrated resilience and the capacity to deliver in big moments. At Indian Wells, he looked sharp before running into an in-form Jack Draper, but the transition to Miami’s faster courts should suit his game far better.

Another key advantage for Shelton is the home support he will receive throughout the tournament. Historically, American players have performed well in Miami, with John Isner being the last to lift the trophy in 2018. With the crowd behind him, Shelton will be highly motivated to put together a deep run, and with no clear favourite in the field, he has a genuine chance to claim his first Masters 1000 title.

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