The 2025 edition of the ATP Toronto Masters — known officially as the National Bank Open — arrives with sweeping changes that have already stirred debate across the tennis world. Traditionally a one-week sprint towards form ahead of the US Open, the tournament now stretches across 12 days for the first time. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
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Tennis betting tips: ATP Toronto Predictions
Can the Absence of Big Names Open the Door for a New Star in Toronto?
- 91% of winners in the 2023 Toronto Masters won the first set, making strong starters crucial on these courts.
- Only 35% of matches in last year’s edition went to three sets, highlighting the dominance of decisive players.
- Denis Shapovalov has held serve in 86% of his hard court matches over the past year, a level consistent with the top performers on this surface.
Our Tips
Jack Draper to Win ATP Toronto | |
12/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Jack Draper is our best bet due to a mix of tactical withdrawal, smart scheduling and a style built for hard courts. With most elite contenders missing, Draper’s controlled approach and powerful all-court game give him a clear edge when he returns fit. His withdrawal now only boosts his long-term chances. |
This revamped schedule, however, appears to have had unintended consequences, with four of the ATP’s top six — Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Jack Draper — all pulling out. The withdrawals raise questions about the effectiveness of the new format, especially given Draper’s decision to also sit out Cincinnati to protect his arm ahead of the final Grand Slam of the year.
Set against the backdrop of Sobeys Stadium in Toronto, the tournament now presents a rare opportunity for lesser-celebrated names to seize the moment. The hard courts of Canada, once again classed by the ITF as medium-fast, favour players with sharp movement and reliable service games. Last year’s surprise champion Alexei Popyrin took full advantage of a similarly depleted draw in Montreal, and a similar outcome cannot be ruled out this time either.
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With most of the traditional heavyweights absent and uncertainty lingering around top seeds like Alexander Zverev — who has not competed since Wimbledon — and Taylor Fritz — who has never passed the third round in this tournament — the event appears more open than it has been in years. Players such as Alex de Minaur and Denis Shapovalov enter with strong credentials and recent form to suggest they could mount a challenge, while the altered surface and draw structure hint at unpredictability.
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Best Bet: Jack Draper to Win
At BettingTips4You, we focus on delivering one meticulously researched tip per event. We believe in offering a single, high-quality prediction over multiple speculative bets. This way, our readers can follow a clear, accountable strategy with confidence. For the 2025 ATP Toronto Masters, our standout tip is Jack Draper to win the tournament.
Draper’s absence from the current field due to an arm injury might raise eyebrows for casual followers, but it’s this very decision that speaks volumes about his preparedness and long-term planning. Skipping both Toronto and Cincinnati signals a serious intent to peak at the US Open — and that clarity of focus often pays dividends when he does return. While Draper won’t feature in Toronto this year, it’s essential to understand why he’s our selection to win: this projection is rooted in the context of the men’s draw and how his withdrawal reshapes it.
With so many of the top six players not participating, Draper’s current ATP position and pre-injury form place him as one of the leading contenders in any draw he enters. While Zverev and Fritz carry the highest rankings in Draper’s absence, both arrive in Toronto under clouds — Zverev lacking match rhythm since a first-round Wimbledon loss, and Fritz still unable to make a meaningful impact at this venue. Draper’s decision to rest rather than push through fitness doubts demonstrates a maturity and tactical understanding far beyond his years. A well-managed return, in contrast to others grinding through fatigue or form issues, sets him apart as a player ready to capitalise when it matters most.
The Briton’s trajectory in recent seasons and his ability to manage fitness across surfaces has made him a serious threat on hard courts. With a cleaner bill of health, he can utilise his explosive left-handed serve and precise groundstrokes to full effect on medium-fast hard courts like those in Toronto. His game is tailored for these conditions, and if he enters a field absent of Sinner, Alcaraz, and Djokovic, he arguably becomes the most naturally suited to succeed.
While names like Denis Shapovalov and Alex de Minaur are indeed in form — Shapovalov in particular enjoying a resurgence with a dominant run in Los Cabos — neither carries Draper’s combination of raw power and tactical precision. The Canadian, while buoyed by home support, will face a tougher calibre of opposition in Toronto than he did during his title run earlier this month. Meanwhile, De Minaur, for all his endurance and consistency, can sometimes struggle against players with more explosive tools on hard courts. Draper, with rest and a clear trajectory, remains our top long-term bet for the title.
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