Tennis Betting Tips: ATP Los Cabos predictions, preview and best bets for Mifel Open

This week, the ATP Tour trades the grass courts of Europe for the blazing sun and hard courts of Mexico, as the Mifel Tennis Open begins its 2025 edition in Los Cabos. Read on to find the best tips and predictions for the Queen’s Club in addition to the latest betting offers.

Tennis betting tips: ATP Los Cabos Predictions

Can Experience and Power Outweigh Motivation in the Los Cabos Heat?

• Rublev has won 83% of his service games throughout his career
• He converts 39% of break point chances against opponents
• Across all matches, he claims 52% of total points played

Our Tips

The event, part of the ATP 250 series, serves as the first hard-court tournament in the lead-up to the US Open and opens up an important phase for players seeking to gather form, points, and momentum ahead of the final Grand Slam of the season.

Running from 14 to 19 July, the competition offers a distinctive blend of relaxed coastal surroundings and high-stakes tennis. Held at the Cabo Sports Complex, it marks one of Latin America’s premier tennis showcases, with world-class facilities and a festive atmosphere attracting a steady flow of fans and players alike. However, while the setting is pristine, the field is arguably one of the least competitive of the year. Outside of a few high-ranked names, the draw is packed with lower-ranked players—several of whom barely feature inside the ATP Top 100.

Andrey Rublev leads the line as the tournament’s top seed and makes his debut in Los Cabos as the standout name in an otherwise thin roster. Fellow top-20 player Lorenzo Musetti has opted in, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who has enjoyed a string of solid results this season, arrives as the second seed. Third seed Denis Shapovalov and fourth-ranked Quentin Halys round out the top seeds, although consistency has not been a strong point for many of them across 2025.

The absence of depth in the draw creates a rare opportunity for a player of Rublev’s calibre to assert dominance. Notably, Rublev has arrived in Baja California with a 21-15 record on the year and comes into the week on the back of strong showings at both Roland Garros and Wimbledon. While questions about motivation can be asked of top-tier players at this stage of the calendar, the layout of the draw and surface conditions are firmly in his favour.

Best Bet: Andrey Rublev to Win the Tournament

At BettingTips4You, we cut through the noise to offer one well-reasoned selection per event—focusing on accuracy over abundance. For this week’s ATP 250 in Los Cabos, our top prediction is for Andrey Rublev to lift the title.

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There are few tournaments on the ATP calendar where Rublev could find a clearer route to success than here in Los Cabos. Making his first appearance at this event, the Russian enters as the highest-ranked player and does so carrying solid form from recent tournaments. He reached the second week of both the French Open and Wimbledon, and made a final appearance in Hamburg, indicating that his confidence is climbing as the summer progresses.

From a statistical standpoint, Rublev brings a package few in this draw can match. He’s won 83% of his service games throughout his career and takes 66% of all points behind his delivery. Even under pressure, he performs with assurance, saving 63% of break points faced. On return, he excels in breaking opponents down—winning nearly 40% of break opportunities and converting at a strong clip of 39%. In total, he wins over half the points he plays (52%), a benchmark that demonstrates his ability to control both the serve and return dynamics.

The level of competition in this event appears to be significantly below what Rublev usually contends with on tour. With world number 90 Adam Walton seeded and 183rd-ranked James McCabe directly into the main draw, the lack of depth becomes stark. While some outside shots such as Kovacevic might fancy their chances due to familiarity with hard courts, few—if any—can match Rublev’s firepower, experience or level of execution on a consistent basis.

Motivation might be a concern in smaller events, but for Rublev, this week offers a valuable opportunity to build rhythm and bank ranking points ahead of a packed US hard-court schedule. Given his seeding, recent output, and the relative weakness of the field, he is undoubtedly the player best positioned to walk away with the Los Cabos trophy.

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