The ATP Tour shifts its focus to Florida for the Delray Beach Open, a tournament that has consistently rewarded players with dominant serves. Played on Plexipave courts, which provide a balanced pace, this event has long been a hunting ground for those who rely on a strong delivery to dictate matches. Read on to find the best tips and predictions in addition to the latest betting offers.
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Tennis betting tips: ATP Delray Beach Open Predictions
Will a Big Server Dominate in Delray Beach Once Again?
- Reilly Opelka has won 90% of his service games in his career, making him one of the most difficult players to break.
- The American claims 79% of points behind his first serve, ensuring he maintains control in his service games.
- His 68% break-point save rate allows him to hold firm in crucial moments, making him particularly dangerous on fast courts.
Our Tips
Lorenzo Musetti to Win | |
9/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Alexander Zverev is the favourite in Rio, but Lorenzo Musetti’s tactical clay-court game makes him a strong outsider if fully fit, especially given Zverev’s potential focus concerns. |
Over the years, big hitters have thrived here, with previous champions including the likes of Taylor Fritz, Hubert Hurkacz, and Reilly Opelka.
Fritz enters the tournament as the top seed and is aiming to secure his third consecutive title at this venue. However, his form leading up to the event has been less than convincing. A third-round exit at the Australian Open, followed by a last-16 defeat in Dallas, suggests he is not at his sharpest. Despite this, his price has shortened due to the withdrawal of Tommy Paul, leaving him as the clear favourite.
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The absence of Paul has reshaped the bottom half of the draw, with Marcos Giron stepping into his position. This shift has opened up opportunities for other contenders to make deep runs. With the main draw now set, the focus will be on players who can take advantage of the conditions, and history suggests that those with a powerful serve are best positioned to do so.
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Best Bet: Reilly Opelka to Win
Backing Reilly Opelka to claim the title at Delray Beach presents a strong case given his playing style and past success in similar conditions. The American’s serve is one of the most formidable weapons on the ATP Tour, making him a major threat on courts that favour big servers. With a 90% career success rate in service games, he is exceptionally difficult to break, which is a crucial factor in a tournament where holding serve is often the key to victory.
Opelka’s ability to dominate behind his first serve is another significant advantage. Winning 79% of points on his first delivery, he consistently puts pressure on opponents by limiting their opportunities to break. Additionally, his 68% break-point save rate underlines his resilience in crucial moments, allowing him to stay in matches even when facing pressure.
While his return game is not his strongest asset, Opelka’s style of play means he does not need to break serve frequently to be effective. His ability to capitalise on the limited break opportunities he creates—converting 31% of them—gives him just enough of an edge to turn tight sets in his favour. On a surface that suits his strengths, he has the tools to go all the way.
With Fritz struggling for consistency and other contenders lacking the same firepower on serve, Opelka’s ability to hold his own in tiebreak situations could prove decisive. His previous title win in Delray Beach further reinforces the idea that this is a tournament where he can succeed. Given the conditions and his style of play, he stands out as the best value pick to lift the trophy.
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