Tennis Betting Tips: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovaa predictions, preview and best bets for Women’s US Open final on Saturday September 6

Saturday night in Flushing Meadows promises to bring the women’s game into sharp focus, as the US Open final provides a compelling clash between Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova. Tennis fans tuning in from the UK will have the action live on Sky Sports Tennis from 9pm, with Sky Sports+ streaming available for those preferring to follow digitally. While all eyes will be on this final, the day itself has already been rich with drama across the tournament, the Flushing crowd treated to a fortnight where unpredictability has reigned and narratives have swung wildly.

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Tennis betting tips: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovaa Women’s US Open Final Predictions for Saturday September 6

Can Sabalenka’s Experience Overcome Anisimova’s Rising Momentum in New York?
  • Anisimova leads Sabalenka 6-3 in their head-to-head record, including their Wimbledon semi-final win this summer.
  • Sabalenka holds a superior season record at 55-10 compared with Anisimova’s 39-15.
  • Both semi-finals required comebacks, with Sabalenka overturning a one-set deficit against Pegula and Anisimova recovering from losing the opener to Osaka.

Our Tips

Casper Ruud & Jakub Mensik Both To Win 2-0
6/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Straight-set wins bypass the volatility of a match tiebreak. Ruud’s measured baseline game is built to defuse Opelka if the court plays medium. Mensik brings fresh confidence from Delray Beach and a serve built for indoors, while Michelsen juggles debut pressure and double duty. The 6/1 pairs both edges attractively.

For Sabalenka, the tournament has once again underlined her relentless drive to remain at the summit of the women’s game. She began her New York campaign with a tight opening set against Rebeka Masarova before accelerating to a straight-sets win, followed by a more composed second round performance against Polina Kudermetova. Her third-round victory over Leylah Fernandez required focus in another tiebreak, while Cristina Bucsa offered resistance before being dispatched in two sets.

The quarter-final against Marketa Vondrousova never materialised due to her opponent’s withdrawal, leaving the semi-final as the real test of Sabalenka’s staying power. Facing Jessica Pegula, she fell behind but summoned her trademark resilience to overturn the deficit, securing her passage to yet another major final with a three-set win.

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Anisimova’s path has been equally eventful, if not more so. Opening with routine wins over Kimberly Birrell and Maya Joint, she was forced into a third set against Jaqueline Cristian before rediscovering her rhythm in a dominant victory over Beatriz Haddad Maia. Her defining moment came in the quarter-final, where she avenged her painful Wimbledon humiliation by toppling world number one Iga Swiatek in straight sets, a result that sent a clear signal about her capacity to recover from adversity.

She followed it with a gripping semi-final against Naomi Osaka that stretched to nearly three hours, her nerves visible early but her determination ultimately prevailing. A tense contest of tiebreaks ended with Anisimova delivering in the deciding set to book her second consecutive Slam final.

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Head-to-head records between the finalists tilt in favour of the American, who has beaten Sabalenka six times in nine meetings. Significantly, their most recent encounter came at Wimbledon this summer, when Anisimova held her nerve in a three-set thriller. Sabalenka has responded with wins of her own in Paris and Australia, and remains the more seasoned player when it comes to navigating this stage, but the weight of history cannot be dismissed.

Both arrive with contrasting momentum. Sabalenka, top seed and world number one, has compiled a season record of 55-10, far outstripping her opponent’s 39-15 tally. Her consistency has carried her to yet another Slam final, but she has been vulnerable in recent showpiece matches, losing the Australian and French Open finals earlier this year. Anisimova, by contrast, continues to surprise and defy expectations, particularly with her ability to rebound after the Wimbledon nightmare. Her game has been firing, with 50 winners against Osaka underlining the quality of her ball-striking.

The setting could hardly be more dramatic: Sabalenka, the established figure, seeking to defend her crown in her sixth straight hard-court Slam final, against Anisimova, the local hope eager to lift her first major in front of home supporters. The ingredients are there for a contest that could swing either way, depending on who best controls the tension of the moment.


Best Bet for the Day

Here at BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on providing a single clear prediction rather than scattering multiple options. This approach ensures that our readers are given one carefully considered tip, allowing them to focus fully without confusion and enabling straightforward tracking of performance over time. For tonight’s US Open women’s final, our recommended selection is:

Aryna Sabalenka To Lose The 1st Set & Win The Match at 7/1


Why This is the Best Bet

Backing Sabalenka to drop the opening set yet still emerge victorious represents excellent value given the dynamics we’ve seen throughout this year’s tournament and the characteristics of both players. Sabalenka has consistently shown a tendency to start slowly before rediscovering her composure and increasing intensity as the match progresses. This was evident most recently in the semi-final against Pegula, where she conceded the opener but turned the tide with her power game and improved accuracy in the latter stages.

Anisimova, meanwhile, has demonstrated that she often bursts out of the blocks with fearless striking, particularly when the weight of expectation is at its lowest in the early passages of a contest. Against Osaka she delivered first-set fireworks before faltering temporarily, and her win over Swiatek highlighted her ability to capitalise on an opponent still finding rhythm. With the home crowd on her side, she is more than capable of striking early again, making the first set a dangerous period for Sabalenka.

However, sustaining that level across a best-of-three sets final is another matter. Sabalenka’s experience in six consecutive hard-court Slam finals cannot be overstated. She has lived through the pressures of this stage repeatedly, whereas Anisimova’s last final experience ended in complete collapse at Wimbledon. The American’s nerves are a genuine factor, and while she may ride adrenaline to an early lead, maintaining clarity under the stress of potentially winning her first major is far more challenging. Sabalenka, by contrast, has both the physical weapons and mental resolve to recover from early setbacks, as demonstrated throughout her New York campaign.

Statistically, the matchup also supports this bet. Anisimova’s strength on second-serve returns often allows her to put immediate pressure on opponents, but over time Sabalenka tends to adapt. In their Wimbledon clash, the American’s aggression on return gave her the edge, but the slower hard courts of New York should give Sabalenka slightly more time to adjust. The Belarusian has also produced her strongest tennis in the middle phases of matches, with her superior conditioning enabling her to hit through fatigue when others begin to falter.

At odds of 7/1, the risk-reward ratio is highly appealing. It acknowledges the very real possibility of Anisimova capitalising on early energy and crowd support but also recognises that Sabalenka’s track record of comebacks and her ability to manage the physical and emotional grind of a final make her the likelier long-term winner. It’s a selection that balances probability with significant value, and in a contest where the margins are fine, it represents the standout play for bettors.

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