Snooker betting tips: The Tour Championship outright predictions, preview and best bets

Our snooker expert previews the The Tour Championship outright market and advises a best bet. Read on to find a detailed outright preview and top betting recommendations and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Snooker betting tips: The Tour Championship Outright Predictions

Can Selby’s Precision Dismantle the Field Again?

• Mark Selby averaged over 84 points per frame in his last-16 win against Si Jiahui, with six breaks over 50.
• In his last five events, Selby has compiled more than 25 breaks over 50, including multiple centuries.
• Selby defeated world champion Kyren Wilson 3-0 earlier this season, scoring 265 points to Wilson’s 12.

Our Tips

As the snooker calendar narrows toward its pinnacle at the Crucible, all eyes turn to Manchester where the Tour Championship readies itself for another engrossing chapter. This event, relatively new in the pantheon of snooker’s elite contests, has fast carved out its identity. Its single-table, multi-session format mimics the intensity and rhythm of the World Championship, offering players a compelling dress rehearsal before April’s blue-riband event.

With just the top twelve performers from the current season eligible, this competition serves up a condensed field of only in-form players. That ensures high-quality encounters from the outset, with even the first-round fixtures featuring battles reminiscent of finals. The draw bears a striking resemblance to the Players Championship held just a week prior, owing to the absence of any intervening events, and that continuity sets the stage for rematches across the board.

Several first-round pairings, including Mark Selby versus Si Jiahui and Shaun Murphy against Barry Hawkins, are repeats from last week’s event. With Judd Trump, Kyren Wilson, Neil Robertson, and John Higgins having already secured their spots in the quarter-finals, the pressure lies squarely on the remaining eight contenders to force their way into the final eight. And if the results mirror recent trends, a similar quarter-final lineup to last week is not beyond imagination.

Still, the very nature of the Tour Championship—extended formats, longer matches and tactical depth—opens the door for experienced tacticians and mentally robust cueists to assert themselves over multiple sessions. While the Players Championship showcased flair and momentum, this week is about consistency, stamina, and seizing moments under pressure.

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Best Bet: Mark Selby to Win

Backing Mark Selby to lift the Tour Championship trophy appears to be an astute move given his form, tactical acumen, and record in extended frame formats. With the Manchester event unfolding as a best-of-19 contest throughout, the nature of this competition suits Selby’s relentless approach to matchplay. He has demonstrated, across various tournaments this season, an enviable capacity to grind opponents down with precision and discipline.

Selby has faced a demanding path through this snooker season, consistently navigating tight contests and prevailing through both tactical battles and break-building fireworks. His recent quarter-final outing at the Players Championship saw him register breaks of 139, 88 and 50 in a 6-3 defeat to Robertson, underscoring his capacity to score heavily even when under pressure. Earlier, in the last-16, he had disposed of Si Jiahui with an array of powerful contributions—132, 128, 99, 78, and 75 among them—resulting in an average frame score exceeding 84 points.

The Englishman’s campaign has also been decorated with silverware, having captured the Welsh Open title where he defeated Maguire with a barrage of centuries and high-70 breaks. Across multiple ranking events, Selby has produced towering performances against formidable opposition, with his tactical mettle and scoring consistency positioning him as a formidable opponent in any drawn-out clash.

Where others may falter under the mental toll of two-session marathons, Selby often finds another gear. His meticulous safety play, formidable resilience, and elite-level break-building give him the tools to excel under this week’s demands. With a potential meeting against Neil Robertson looming, a player he narrowly lost to in the previous tournament, there’s every incentive for redemption. Given his current rhythm and capacity for clinical performance across longer formats, he shapes as the standout candidate to dominate this tournament from start to finish.

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