PDC World Darts Championship Final Predictions and Betting Tips: Luke Littler v Luke Humphries Best Bets

The 2024 World Darts Championship final takes place on Wednesday night, January 3, with Luke Littler and Luke Humphries contending for the World Darts Championship title. Check out Herrin Kendrick’s predictions for the big match directly from Alexander Palace. You will find the best bets and analysis in addition to selected bookmaker offers, so you can get the most value. 

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PDC World Darts Championship Final Tips

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Darting Drama Culminates: A Look Ahead to the PDC World Darts Championship Final

After an exhilarating 15-day stretch of breathtaking darting action, the stage is set for an epic showdown at the 2024 Paddy Power World Darts Championship final. The darting world is abuzz as two talents, both named Luke, prepare to clash in a highly anticipated final. Sixteen-year-old Luke Littler, a darting prodigy, and Luke Humphries, the newly minted world number one, are on the cusp of darting glory.

The Rise of Luke Littler

Littler’s ascent in the darting world has been nothing short of meteoric. At just 16, his performances have not just been impressive; they’ve been a declaration of his immense talent and potential. His journey through the tournament has been marked by a series of stellar displays, overshadowing six opponents with relative ease and showcasing a remarkable aptitude for high-pressure situations. His quarter-final triumph over Rob Cross, the rejuvenated 2018 world champion, was a masterclass. Boasting an average of 106.5, 16 maximums, and a 47% checkout success rate, Littler has shown a blend of precision and composure well beyond his years.

Luke Humphries’ Road to the Final

On the other side of the oche stands Luke Humphries, a player who has shaped 2023 into the year of his life. His recent triumphs at the World Grand Prix, Grand Slam of Darts, and Players Championship Finals have seen him build a formidable 18-game winning streak. Despite some nail-biting moments in the earlier rounds, Humphries has found his best form when it matters the most, exemplified by his staggering 108.74 average against Scott Williams in the semi-finals.

The Battle of the Lukes

This final is not just a contest of skill but also a battle for the affection of the Alexandra Palace crowd. While Humphries may have the edge in experience and recent form, the majority of fans are likely to be rooting for Littler, enchanted by the possibility of witnessing one of the sport’s greatest achievements. The final, expected to be a rapid-fire exchange, promises to be a long-drawn-out affair, with both players bringing their A-game.

Statistical Breakdown

Both finalists have posted incredible numbers throughout the tournament. With each having thrown 50 maximums, the over 34.5 180s line is not as daunting as it appears. Moreover, both players have shown a knack for high checkouts, with Humphries nailing a 170 in the semi-finals.

Predictions for the PDC World Darts Championship Final

1. Length of the Contest: A Marathon Match

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The final of the 2024 Paddy Power World Darts Championship between Luke Littler and Luke Humphries is expected to be a marathon rather than a sprint. Both players have demonstrated formidable form and resilience in their path to the final, suggesting that neither will yield easily.

• Littler’s Stamina: Despite his youth, Littler has shown extraordinary stamina and the ability to maintain high performance levels over extended matches. His playing style, marked by consistency and precision, indicates he can sustain long rallies without faltering.
• Humphries’ Endurance: On the other hand, Humphries, riding on an 18-game winning streak, has proven his mettle in enduring and overcoming challenges in high-pressure scenarios. His recent performances, especially the semi-final, where he maintained a sky-high average, indicate a player in peak physical and mental condition.

Given these factors, betting on the match to exceed 10.5 and even 11.5 sets seems judicious. This prediction not only recognises the players’ abilities but also anticipates a titanic struggle where each set could swing either way, leading to a protracted and thrilling contest.

2. Scoring Prowess: A Battle of 180s

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The scoring prowess of both Luke Littler and Luke Humphries has been a highlight of the tournament, and it’s expected to be a defining feature of the final.

• Consistent Maximums: The identical tally of 50 maximums (180s) each by Littler and Humphries throughout the tournament underscores their scoring prowess. Both players have shown they can hit the treble 20 with remarkable consistency, crucial in building big scores and applying pressure on the opponent.
• Implications of a Long Match: The prediction of a long match further bolsters the likelihood of a high number of maximums. More sets and legs mean more opportunities for both players to hit 180s. Considering their form, surpassing the over 33.5 180s line is a reasonable expectation.

Title Prediction: A Close Call

Predicting the winner of this final is akin to walking a tightrope. Both players have strengths that could tilt the match in their favour.

• Humphries’ Edge: Humphries, with his recent string of major successes and an 18-game winning run, brings experience and a high level of confidence to the table. His ability to perform under pressure and his impressive averages in the latter stages of the tournament make him a marginal favourite.
• Littler’s Fearlessness: Conversely, Littler’s journey is akin to a fairytale. His fearlessness and astounding averages, especially for a 16-year-old, are indicative of a player unfazed by the grandeur of the occasion. His youthful exuberance and lack of fear could very well compensate for his relative inexperience.

Given these dynamics, the final is expected to be fiercely competitive, with the outcome potentially swinging on a few crucial moments. While Humphries might have the edge in experience, Littler’s remarkable talent and unflappable nature make it a genuinely open contest. For this reason, it is a too close to call scenario for us and we suggest you take advantage of the two tips we gave on the length of the final, which will also make the viewing more interesting!

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