The DP World Tour returns to the Spanish capital for the Open de Espana. Jon Rahm heads the betting, but read on to find the full preview made by our golf guru, John Pentin, and also find out what bets he is suggesting to make. Don’t forget to make the most of the selected bookmaker offers listed below.
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The Open de Espana Betting
The Open de Espana Betting Tips | Thursday 12th October to Sunday 15th October 2023
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Main Bet: Thriston Lawrence To Win
The Open de Espana has made Club de Campo Villa de Madrid its home for four consecutive years, always marking its presence in October. This scheduling hasn’t been arbitrary; the timing significantly impacts the careers of many players in the short, medium, and long term. It’s a reflection of the sport’s volatility and the role of time and place in shaping careers.
A Rollercoaster of Fortunes
Reflecting on past winners and contenders, the unpredictability of the sport becomes evident. Jon Rahm’s journey stands out, with his glorious victory at Centro Nacional in 2018. He further solidified his reputation by clinching titles at Club de Campo Villa de Madrid in subsequent years. Rahm’s trajectory has been mostly upward, a true testament to his skill and determination.
Contrastingly, Rafa Cabrera Bello, the titleholder between Rahm’s wins, offers a cautionary tale. Despite this being his fourth DP World Tour victory, he anticipated a renewed trajectory for his career. Yet, fate had other plans. Since that significant win, he’s found himself in the top 10 merely four times. His title win was also marred by a fortuitous ruling on the last hole, overshadowing his triumph over Adri Arnaus – a budding talent with an incredible form.
Arnaus himself faced a somewhat tumultuous journey. While he won his first tour shortly after Bello’s win, his subsequent year, which began with a potential Ryder Cup debut, ended in disappointment.
Another tale of ephemeral success is that of Samuel Del Val. Although he consistently made the cut in his initial DP World Tour participations, he has since faced a series of missed opportunities. Similarly, JB Hansen, who secured a fourth-place finish in 2019, displayed a promising talent but fell short with just three cuts in 30 starts post his Madrid stint.
The take-home message is clear: golf is an unpredictable sport where fortunes can swing dramatically.
A Closer Look at Club de Campo Villa de Madrid
Situated 650m above sea level, Club de Campo Villa de Madrid boasts a traditional par-71 design, spanning 7,112 yards. The altitude gives it a unique play, making it feel shorter. The course is characterised by its fast play, with balls often sprinting down the fairways. However, the course requires strategic play due to its peculiar angles, challenging even seasoned players to maintain their trajectory.
Influencing Factors: The Role of Altitude
The altitude factor in Club de Campo Villa de Madrid isn’t just a trivia tidbit; it has profound implications on gameplay. Notably, players like Retief Goosen, Richard Sterne, Charl Schwartzel, Ricardo Gonzalez, and Raphael Jacquelin have emerged victorious on such high-altitude courses in the past. Rahm’s impressive record, including his three Madrid wins and two third-place finishes in Mexico City, further underlines the significance of altitude in shaping outcomes.
Main Bet Spotlight: Thriston Lawrence
When discussing high-altitude performance, Thriston Lawrence invariably finds a mention. With notable wins in Johannesburg, Crans, and Munich, Lawrence has exhibited a penchant for high-altitude courses. His top 10 finishes in diverse locations like Kenya, Prague, and South Africa also make him a compelling contender for the Open de Espana.
Predictions for the Tournament
Considering the history, the venue, and the influencing factors, Rahm emerges as the clear favourite, given his track record and adaptation to the venue. However, the unpredictability of the sport, as highlighted by the varied trajectories of Cabrera Bello, Arnaus, and others, suggests that an underdog might emerge.
Thriston Lawrence, with his impressive high-altitude performance, appears as a strong dark horse. His trajectory, though briefly interrupted last year, combined with his stellar high-altitude record, hints at a promising run in this year’s Open de Espana.
