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Can Samsunspor’s home control tame Eyüpspor’s cup ambition in Group B? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Samsunspor boast a strong recent record against Eyüpspor at home, winning the last two encounters at Stadyum Samsun by scores of 1–0 and 3–0. While their overall form has been shaky, their scoring frequency (76%) is far superior to Eyüpspor's (44%). Eyüpspor have been particularly poor on their travels, losing five of their last six away games and frequently failing to score. Samsunspor's higher shot volume and better defensive concession rate (1.12 per game) make them a balanced choice to edge out an opponent that struggles significantly outside of their own stadium.
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Eyüpspor have failed to score in five of their last six away matches, highlighting a severe lack of attacking threat on the road. Samsunspor have kept clean sheets in their most recent home victories against this opponent and average 1.32 goals scored per match. Given that Eyüpspor concede an average of 1.39 goals per game, Samsunspor are likely to find the net at least twice. This scoreline accounts for Eyüpspor’s offensive struggles and Samsunspor’s efficiency in generating chances from within the box, where they take nearly 60% of their shots.
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Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor Predictions and Best Bets
Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor — bet365 Market Snapshot
Explore key markets with illustrative pricing based on recent competitive data.
Samsunspor enter as favorites at the Stadyum Samsun, where they have historically controlled the head-to-head narrative against the visitors.
Market snapshots suggest a structured home performance, reflecting the historical trend of Samsunspor finding the net at home against a traveling Eyüpspor.
- Home edge with recent proof: Samsunspor have beaten Eyüpspor 1–0 (09/11/2025) and 3–0 (04/05/2025) at Stadyum Samsun, both featuring controlled scorelines.
- Chance volume vs output: Samsunspor have 308 total shots (12.32 per game) and have scored in 19 of their last 25 matches (76%), suggesting pressure tends to translate into goals.
- Away pain for Eyüpspor: in the listed away run they have 1 win and 5 losses (17% wins, 83% losses), including defeats at Rizespor (0–3) and Samsunspor (0–1).
Attacking Reliability: Games Scored In
A comparison of how frequently each team manages to find the net, highlighting Samsunspor’s consistency in front of goal.
Scoring in 19 out of 25 fixtures demonstrates a reliable offensive output across the campaign.
Finding the net in 8 out of 18 games reflects a struggle to maintain a consistent scoring threat.
Offensive Volume: Average Shots per Match
Shooting volume often indicates which side is more effective at controlling territory and creating final-third opportunities.
High volume of attempts, with a majority coming from inside the box, suggests a proactive approach to chance creation.
A lower shot frequency aligns with a tendency to struggle for control during away fixtures.
Samsunspor and Eyüpspor meet at Stadyum Samsun in Group B of the Türkiye Kupası, with a late-night kick-off listed for 25/12/2025 at 0:30 and a temperature reading of 12°. It’s cup football with a clean slate in the group table: both sides are shown on zero points and zero games played, meaning the opening swing matters straight away.
There’s also recent familiarity. Samsunspor beat Eyüpspor 1–0 at home on 09/11/2025, and earlier in 2025 they also won the same fixture 3–0 on 04/05/2025. Eyüpspor do have their own recent memory to lean on, beating Samsunspor 3–0 on 08/12/2024, so the head-to-head isn’t a one-way street. But it does point to a theme: when these two collide, game-state control and timing of the first goal can decide everything.
Context from the league table positions adds another edge. Eyüpspor are listed 6th in the Süper Lig, while Samsunspor are listed 17th. Yet cup nights have a habit of ignoring neat hierarchies, and the more interesting question here is how each side chooses to manage risk: Eyüpspor’s away record in the listed run is grim reading, while Samsunspor’s recent results show a team desperate to turn performances into outcomes.
If this one becomes scruffy, it’ll suit the side that keeps their heads. If it becomes open, it’ll suit the side that arrives in the box with numbers, not just hope.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Samsunspor’s squad list points to a familiar spine: Okan Kocuk has played 17 and sits as the clear goalkeeper option, with Rick van Drongelen also on 17 appearances and chipping in with 2 goals from defence. Around them, Zeki Yavru (16 appearances) and Logi Tómasson (15(2)) offer experience and flexibility across the back line, while Carlo Holse (5 goals, 1 assist) and Anthony Musaba (4 goals, 1 assist) look like the most consistent sources of end-product from midfield/attack roles. Cherif Ndiaye has 4 goals in 8(2), hinting at a forward option who doesn’t need a mountain of minutes to be a threat.
There are, however, listed injury concerns: B. Çetin is noted with a cruciate ligament tear, A. De Pinho Sousa with a torn lateral ankle ligament, J. Ntcham with an unknown injury, and T. Coulibaly with a knee medial ligament tear. If those absences bite, they don’t just remove bodies; they alter the balance of how Samsunspor can circulate the ball and carry threat from wide and half-space areas.
Eyüpspor’s minutes leaders suggest a settled core. Robin Yalçin has 17 appearances and 1,530 minutes, Marcos Felipe has 16 starts in goal, and the defensive unit includes Luccas Claro (10 apps) and Nihad Mujakic (16 apps). In midfield, Kerem Demirbay has 16 appearances and 1,416 minutes, and in the forward line Mame Thiam (14 apps, 1,183 mins) and Denis Dragus (12 apps, 879 mins) look like key reference points. Calegari’s profile (D(R), M(R)) gives them a natural right-sided connector who can help them switch between a deeper full-back and a higher wing role depending on game state.
Neither side is presented with an explicit formation, so the more grounded read is role-based: Samsunspor have multiple players listed across wide attacking positions, and Eyüpspor have several who can operate between midfield and the front line. That typically means the game is decided in the channels and the half-spaces — the awkward areas where you either arrive early with support or you’re left taking hopeful shots through bodies.
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How the Match Could Be Played
At home, Samsunspor have tended to keep matches within touching distance early. In their home results listed, they beat Eyüpspor 1–0 with a 0–0 half-time, and they drew 1–1 with Alanyaspor after leading 1–0 at the break. Even in defeats at home — 0–2 against Basaksehir and 1–2 against AEK — they were level at half-time in both. That pattern hints at a side capable of building a platform before the game opens up.
If Samsunspor can reproduce that rhythm, the first task will be to keep their build-up tidy enough to avoid feeding Eyüpspor transitions. The passing numbers suggest Samsunspor are comfortable having the ball: 10,446 total passes at 82% accuracy and 51% possession. That’s not sterile keep-ball for the sake of it; it’s a base that allows wide attackers like Musaba to receive with the pitch in front of them and gives Holse enough touches to become a repeated problem rather than a one-off spark.
Eyüpspor, though, are no strangers to possession either: 52% possession, 6,650 total passes, and the same 82% accuracy. The difference is volume. Samsunspor average 417.84 passes per game to Eyüpspor’s 369.44, which can matter in a cup tie because it shapes where the game is played. If Samsunspor can keep Eyüpspor defending longer phases, they can pile up territory and set-piece pressure; if Eyüpspor can disrupt that early and turn it into a broken match, they can lean on direct running and second-ball moments around players like Thiam and Dragus.
The away results for Eyüpspor point to the danger zone: they’ve lost 0–3 at Rizespor, 0–2 at Trabzonspor, 0–1 at Kocaelispor, 0–1 at Genclerbirligi, and 0–1 at Samsunspor, with just one away win in the listed run (2–1 at Gaziantep). That suggests their margins have been thin, and when they concede first, chasing games away from home becomes a slog. The tactical implication is straightforward: Eyüpspor’s best version here is compact without the ball, patient in their press, and ruthless when Samsunspor over-commit bodies forward.
This is where Samsunspor’s attacking profile becomes important. Their shot output is slightly higher — 308 total shots, 12.32 per game — and they take a majority from inside the box (59% inside, 41% outside). That balance can be a headache for a defence: step out to block the edge-of-box efforts and you leave gaps behind; drop off and you invite repeated shooting. But it also demands good shot selection. If Samsunspor get impatient and start launching from range too early, they’ll hand Eyüpspor the exact transition moments they crave.
Set-piece tone could matter as well. Samsunspor average 5.44 corners per game (136 total), while Eyüpspor average 4.11 (74 total). Corners aren’t goals, but they’re pressure, territory, and a way to keep an opponent pinned — especially if the match is tight and open-play chances are scarce.
The Numbers That Support the Story
Samsunspor’s overall goals record across the listed matches is healthier than Eyüpspor’s: 33 scored in 25 (1.32 per game) and 28 conceded (1.12 per game). Eyüpspor have scored 16 in 18 (0.89 per game) and conceded 25 (1.39 per game). That difference suggests Samsunspor are more likely to land punches over time, while Eyüpspor can be pulled into games where they’re defending deeper for longer and conceding more frequently.
The “scored a goal” frequency also leans Samsunspor’s way: they’ve scored in 19 of their last 25 (76%), while Eyüpspor have scored in 8 of their last 18 (44%). In practical terms, that can shape how the first 30 minutes feel. Samsunspor can believe that a goal will come if they keep stacking attacks; Eyüpspor may need to be more deliberate about how they create their best chances, because volume alone hasn’t guaranteed output.
Yet the recent match runs complicate the picture. Samsunspor’s last six show 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, including losses to Göztepe Izmir (0–2), Mainz (0–2), Basaksehir (0–2), AEK (1–2), and Galatasaray (2–3). Eyüpspor’s last six are more mixed: a 6–1 win over Çankaya FK in the cup, a 2–1 away win at Gaziantep, two draws, and two losses, including 0–3 at home to Fenerbahçe. The lesson isn’t that form “decides” anything; it’s that Samsunspor’s confidence might need an early positive moment, while Eyüpspor may feel they can stay in it and grow into the tie.
Head-to-head adds a final nudge. In the last six listed meetings, Samsunspor have three wins, there have been two draws, and Eyüpspor have one win — with Samsunspor winning the two most recent games at Stadyum Samsun by 1–0 and 3–0.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first swing moment is whether Samsunspor can turn possession into clean chances rather than just shots. With 12.32 shots per game and 59% of attempts coming from inside the box, the temptation will be to keep feeding the area. The quality of the final ball — and whether runners arrive on time rather than on hope — will decide if that pressure becomes goals or just noise.
The second is Eyüpspor’s away-game psychology. Their listed away run contains five defeats in six, and several of those are 1–0 or 2–0 type games that hinge on a single lapse. If they can get through the first phase without conceding cheap territory and corners, they give themselves a chance to nick moments through Thiam, Dragus, or a midfield runner arriving late.
The third is the half-time scoreline. Samsunspor’s recent home matches show a habit of being level or ahead at the break — including the 0–0 half-time before beating Eyüpspor 1–0. If that pattern repeats, the second half becomes a test of patience and decision-making: do Samsunspor keep control and squeeze, or do they force it and invite the counter?
What could go wrong with this read? A cup tie can pivot on one misjudged pass, one deflection, one early card that changes how aggressively a team can defend. And head-to-head history can be a comfort blanket right up until it isn’t. If either side scores early, the match could flip into a completely different shape than the slower-burn script suggests.
Best Bet for Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor
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Samsunspor to win
Samsunspor enter this cup tie with a distinct psychological and statistical advantage at the Stadyum Samsun. Recent history between these two sides has seen the home advantage play a decisive role, particularly in Samsunspor’s favour. They have secured victories in their last two home meetings against Eyüpspor, winning 1–0 in November 2025 and 3–0 in May 2025. This pattern of home dominance is reinforced by Eyüpspor’s significant struggles on the road; they have suffered five defeats in their last six away fixtures, including recent losses at Rizespor and Trabzonspor where they failed to find the back of the net.
The underlying numbers further support a home victory. Samsunspor average 1.32 goals scored per match across their broader run of results, significantly higher than Eyüpspor’s 0.89. Defensively, the hosts are also sturdier, conceding 1.12 per game compared to Eyüpspor’s 1.39. While Eyüpspor sit higher in the league table, their scoring reliability has been a major concern away from home, as they have scored in only 44% of their last 18 matches. In contrast, Samsunspor have found the net in 76% of their last 25 outings.
The shot profile of the two teams also suggests Samsunspor will be the more dangerous side. They average 12.32 shots per game, with 59% of those efforts coming from inside the penalty area. This high-percentage approach to chance creation is likely to put immense pressure on an Eyüpspor defence that has been breached 25 times in their last 18 matches. Furthermore, Samsunspor’s ability to control territory is evidenced by their average of 5.44 corners per game, allowing them to keep opponents pinned back. Given Eyüpspor’s poor traveling record and Samsunspor’s efficiency at home in this specific matchup, the hosts are well-positioned to take all three points.
What could go wrong Samsunspor have faced a difficult run of results lately, losing five of their last six matches in all competitions. If this lack of recent winning momentum translates into a lack of confidence, Eyüpspor could capitalise on any early frustration from the home crowd. Additionally, Samsunspor have several notable injuries, including ankle and ligament issues for key squad members, which could limit their depth if the match goes deep into the second half.
Correct score lean
Samsunspor 2–0 Eyüpspor
A 2–0 victory for Samsunspor is highly consistent with the defensive and offensive trends of both clubs. Eyüpspor have struggled significantly in front of goal during their travels, failing to score in five of their last six away games. Samsunspor have a strong recent history of shutting out Eyüpspor at home, including their 3–0 win earlier this year. With Samsunspor averaging over 1.3 goals per game and Eyüpspor conceding nearly 1.4, a two-goal margin for the hosts reflects their superior shot volume and Eyüpspor’s consistent inability to respond on the road.
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