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Žilina crestŽilina
v
HNK Hajduk Split crestHNK Hajduk Split

UEFA Europa League | Thu 16 Jul, 19:30

Žilina v HNK Hajduk Split Stats

Data last updated: Wed 02 Sep 2026, 20:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Žilina face HNK Hajduk Split in UEFA Europa League on Thu 16 Jul, 19:30. Žilina come in with 0 recent points and 0 goals per match, while HNK Hajduk Split have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

HNK Hajduk Split to Win

  • At 2.2, HNK Hajduk Split to Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • HNK Hajduk Split have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Žilina.
  • HNK Hajduk Split have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the HNK Hajduk Split to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for HNK Hajduk Split to Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. HNK Hajduk Split have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Žilina.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
HNK Hajduk Split have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
HNK Hajduk Split have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: HNK Hajduk Split Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers HNK Hajduk Split have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Žilina. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

HNK Hajduk Split to Win evidence

HNK Hajduk Split have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Žilina.

HNK Hajduk Split have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the HNK Hajduk Split Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

HNK Hajduk Split to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Žilina0
    Avg goals scored
    HNK Hajduk Split2
    Žilina2
    Avg goals conceded
    HNK Hajduk Split0
    Žilina0%
    BTTS rate
    HNK Hajduk Split0%
    Žilina0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    HNK Hajduk Split0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    more UEFA Europa League analysisplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Žilina

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    09 Jul 2026A HNK Hajduk Split0-2

    HNK Hajduk Split

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    09 Jul 2026H Žilina2-0
    Market aligned with main pickHNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    UEFA Europa League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    HNK Hajduk Split to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Žilina wins
    0Draws
    1HNK Hajduk Split wins
    09 Jul 2026HNK Hajduk Split v Žilina2-0
    Market aligned with main pickHNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for HNK Hajduk Split to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa League

    Žilina2
    Played
    HNK Hajduk Split4
    Žilina1
    Avg goals for
    HNK Hajduk Split1.3
    Žilina1.5
    Avg goals against
    HNK Hajduk Split1
    Žilina0
    Clean sheets
    HNK Hajduk Split2
    Market aligned with main pickHNK Hajduk Split to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Season data supports HNK Hajduk Split to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Žilina Over 2.5
    0%HNK Hajduk Split Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Žilina sit at 0% and HNK Hajduk Split sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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