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Yeovil Town crestYeovil Town
v
AFC Fylde crestAFC Fylde

National League | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Yeovil Town v AFC Fylde Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Yeovil Town face AFC Fylde in National League on Sat 12 Sep, 15:00. Yeovil Town come in with 10 recent points and 2.2 goals per match, while AFC Fylde have 10 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.67, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for AFC Fylde, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Yeovil Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with AFC Fylde at 2.2.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for AFC Fylde show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for AFC Fylde, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Yeovil Town.Visible data support
Positive
Yeovil Town are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for AFC Fylde, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for AFC Fylde, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Yeovil Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with AFC Fylde at 2.2.

BTTS rates of 80% for Yeovil Town and 80% for AFC Fylde show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Yeovil Town2.2
Avg goals scored
AFC Fylde2.2
Yeovil Town1.4
Avg goals conceded
AFC Fylde1.4
Yeovil Town80%
BTTS rate
AFC Fylde80%
Yeovil Town80%
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Fylde80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
AFC Fylde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Yeovil Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Yeovil Town

LWWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
05 Sep 2026A Southend2-3
31 Aug 2026H Tamworth3-2
28 Aug 2026A Barrow2-1
22 Aug 2026H Gateshead3-0
15 Aug 2026H Carlisle1-1

AFC Fylde

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
05 Sep 2026H Worthing2-2
31 Aug 2026A Solihull Moors3-1
28 Aug 2026H Forest Green2-0
22 Aug 2026A Woking2-3
15 Aug 2026A Tamworth2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
AFC Fylde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Yeovil Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Yeovil Town wins
1Draws
0AFC Fylde wins
29 Mar 2025Yeovil Town v AFC Fylde1-0
07 Sep 2024AFC Fylde v Yeovil Town3-4
21 Dec 2019AFC Fylde v Yeovil Town2-2
14 Sep 2019Yeovil Town v AFC Fylde3-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Yeovil Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

National League

Yeovil Town6
Played
AFC Fylde6
Yeovil Town2
Avg goals for
AFC Fylde2.2
Yeovil Town1.3
Avg goals against
AFC Fylde1.5
Yeovil Town1
Clean sheets
AFC Fylde1
Best odds for this sectionAFC Fylde Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 51% · edge +1 pts
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Load more odds for this section
Yeovil Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
AFC Fylde to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Yeovil Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Season data supports AFC Fylde Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6AFC Fylde1163214
7Yeovil Town1163214
Yeovil Town sit in position 7, while AFC Fylde sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Yeovil Town Over 2.5
80%AFC Fylde Over 2.5
4.25H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Yeovil Town sit at 80% and AFC Fylde sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

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Betting context

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