Football Stats Hub

Yate Town crestYate Town
v
Chippenham Town crestChippenham Town

FA Cup | Fri 18 Sep, 19:45

Yate Town v Chippenham Town Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Yate Town face Chippenham Town in FA Cup on Fri 18 Sep, 19:45. Yate Town come in with 3 recent points and 3 goals per match, while Chippenham Town have 4 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.62, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Yate Town and 50% for Chippenham Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Yate Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Chippenham Town at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Yate Town and 100% for Chippenham Town show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Yate Town and 50% for Chippenham Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Yate Town.Visible data support
Positive
Yate Town are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Yate Town and 50% for Chippenham Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Yate Town and 50% for Chippenham Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Yate Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Chippenham Town at 2.

BTTS rates of 0% for Yate Town and 100% for Chippenham Town show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Yate Town3
Avg goals scored
Chippenham Town2
Yate Town0
Avg goals conceded
Chippenham Town1
Yate Town0%
BTTS rate
Chippenham Town100%
Yate Town100%
Over 2.5 goals
Chippenham Town50%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Yate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Yate Town to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more FA Cup analysisplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Yate Town

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Devizes Town3-0

Chippenham Town

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
08 Sep 2026A Havant & Wville3-1
05 Sep 2026H Havant & Wville1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 77% · edge -7.3 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Yate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Yate Town to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Yate Town wins
1Draws
1Chippenham Town wins
11 Aug 2026Chippenham Town v Yate Town1-1
10 Jul 2023Yate Town v Chippenham Town0-1
14 Sep 2013Yate Town v Chippenham Town3-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 62% · edge +8.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Yate Town to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

FA Cup

Yate Town1
Played
Chippenham Town2
Yate Town3
Avg goals for
Chippenham Town2
Yate Town0
Avg goals against
Chippenham Town1
Yate Town1
Clean sheets
Chippenham Town0
Best odds for this sectionYate Town Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 59% · edge -6.4 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Yate Town to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Chippenham Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Season data supports Yate Town Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Yate Town Over 2.5
50%Chippenham Town Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Yate Town sit at 100% and Chippenham Town sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Worcester City v Stratford TownFA Cup · Fri 18 Sep 19:45Redcar Town v Darlington 1883FA Cup · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Bury v WorkingtonFA Cup · Sat 19 Sep 15:00Morecambe v SouthportFA Cup · Sat 19 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

FA Cup hubmore FA Cup analysisplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre