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Worcester City crestWorcester City
v
Stratford Town crestStratford Town

FA Cup | Fri 18 Sep, 19:45

Worcester City v Stratford Town Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Worcester City face Stratford Town in FA Cup on Fri 18 Sep, 19:45. Worcester City come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Stratford Town have 3 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.7, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 59%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Worcester City and 0% for Stratford Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Stratford Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Worcester City at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Worcester City and 0% for Stratford Town show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 59% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Worcester City and 0% for Stratford Town, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 59% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Worcester City.Visible data support
Positive
Stratford Town are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Stratford Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Worcester City at 1. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Stratford Town are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Worcester City at 1.

BTTS rates of 50% for Worcester City and 0% for Stratford Town show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Worcester City1
Avg goals scored
Stratford Town2
Worcester City0.5
Avg goals conceded
Stratford Town0
Worcester City50%
BTTS rate
Stratford Town0%
Worcester City0%
Over 2.5 goals
Stratford Town0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 59% · edge +7.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Worcester City and 0% for Stratford Town, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Worcester City

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
08 Sep 2026H Knowle1-0
05 Sep 2026A Knowle1-1

Stratford Town

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
05 Sep 2026A Alfreton Town2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 56% · edge -1.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Stratford Town to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Worcester City to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionStratford Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 28% · edge +0.6 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
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Worcester City to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Stratford Town to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Worcester City wins
1Draws
1Stratford Town wins
08 Aug 2026Stratford Town v Worcester City1-1
31 Jan 2026Worcester City v Stratford Town1-0
14 Oct 2025Stratford Town v Worcester City1-0
Best odds for this sectionStratford Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 28% · edge +0.6 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Load more odds for this section
Worcester City to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for Stratford Town to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

FA Cup

Worcester City2
Played
Stratford Town1
Worcester City1
Avg goals for
Stratford Town2
Worcester City0.5
Avg goals against
Stratford Town0
Worcester City1
Clean sheets
Stratford Town1
Best odds for this sectionStratford Town to WinBet365 guide price · Model 28% vs implied 28% · edge +0.6 pts
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Load more odds for this section
Worcester City to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Stratford Town to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Worcester City Over 2.5
0%Stratford Town Over 2.5
1.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Worcester City sit at 0% and Stratford Town sit at 0% with the H2H average at 1.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.