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Bury crestBury
v
Workington crestWorkington

FA Cup | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Bury v Workington Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bury face Workington in FA Cup on Sat 19 Sep, 15:00. Bury come in with 3 recent points and 8 goals per match, while Workington have 3 points and 3 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Over 2.5 Goals is rated around 78% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bury and 100% for Workington, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bury are carrying more of the scoring load at 8 goals per match, with Workington at 3.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Bury and 0% for Workington show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals around 78% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bury and 100% for Workington, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bury and 100%.Visible data support
Positive
Bury are carrying more of the scoring load at 8.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bury and 100% for Workington, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Bury and 100% for Workington, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Bury are carrying more of the scoring load at 8 goals per match, with Workington at 3.

BTTS rates of 0% for Bury and 0% for Workington show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Bury8
Avg goals scored
Workington3
Bury0
Avg goals conceded
Workington0
Bury0%
BTTS rate
Workington0%
Bury100%
Over 2.5 goals
Workington100%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Bury

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Wythenshawe Amateurs8-0

Workington

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
05 Sep 2026H Marske United3-0

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Bury wins
0Draws
0Workington wins

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

FA Cup

Bury1
Played
Workington1
Bury8
Avg goals for
Workington3
Bury0
Avg goals against
Workington0
Bury1
Clean sheets
Workington1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Bury Over 2.5
100%Workington Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bury sit at 100% and Workington sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.