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Worthing crestWorthing
v
FC Halifax Town crestFC Halifax Town

National League | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Worthing v FC Halifax Town Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League clash between Worthing and FC Halifax Town features two mid-table sides separated by just one point. Worthing has shown a tendency for higher-scoring games, while FC Halifax Town has been more defensively solid but less prolific in attack. Both teams will look to gain momentum in this early-season fixture, with Worthing's attacking intent contrasting FC Halifax Town's cautious approach. The match promises tactical intrigue as Worthing aims to leverage home advantage and offensive pressure against a disciplined Halifax side.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Worthing has an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.
  • FC Halifax Town's Over 2.5 Goals rate is only 20%, showing a more defensive style.
  • Worthing averages 1.6 goals conceded per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates: Worthing at 80% and Halifax at 20%, highlighting differing offensive and defensive tendencies.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 58.5% chance, driven mainly by Worthing's high-scoring matches and defensive openness. Although FC Halifax Town tends to keep games tighter, Worthing's offensive pressure and goal concession rate create a plausible route for multiple goals. The price is slightly short, reflecting market caution, so a reduced stake is advisable. The limited data quality is sufficient to support this view but means line-ups and tactical shifts could influence the outcome.

Worthing Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
FC Halifax Town Over 2.5 Rate20%
Negative
Worthing Goals Against1.6 per game
Positive
Model Probability58.5%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Worthing's attacking approach and defensive concessions suggest a lively game with multiple goals, while FC Halifax Town's solidity may temper scoring somewhat. The balance of offensive pressure and defensive vulnerability points to Over 2.5 Goals as a plausible outcome, supported by Worthing's recent scoring trends and Halifax's need to respond.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and statistical goal-scoring potential

“Worthing's aggressive style and higher goal concession rate create fertile ground for a goal-rich encounter, even against a defensively cautious FC Halifax Town. This dynamic makes Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle despite some price sensitivity.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Worthing has an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, indicating frequent high-scoring games.

FC Halifax Town's Over 2.5 Goals rate is only 20%, showing a more defensive style.

Worthing averages 1.6 goals conceded per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates: Worthing at 80% and Halifax at 20%, highlighting differing offensive and defensive tendencies.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the recent sample, Worthing's matches have featured a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes, driven by their attacking tempo and defensive openness.
  • FC Halifax Town's matches have been lower scoring.
  • This trend panel suggests the fixture could lean towards a higher goal count if Worthing's offensive style dominates early phases and exploits Halifax's defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Worthing2
Avg goals scored
FC Halifax Town1.2
Worthing1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Halifax Town0.4
Worthing80%
BTTS rate
FC Halifax Town20%
Worthing80%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Halifax Town20%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 63% · edge -4 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 77%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Worthing's recent matches show a strong tendency for games exceeding 2.5 goals and high BTTS rates, driven by their offensive style and defensive gaps. FC Halifax Town's lower Over 2.5 and BTTS rates indicate a contrasting defensive approach, setting up a clash of styles that could produce fluctuating goal-scoring opportunities.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 63% · edge -4 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
FC Halifax Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
FC Halifax Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Worthing Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Worthing to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced slightly short at 1.6, reflecting a market expectation of a higher-scoring game. The model's 58.5% chance is slightly lower than the implied 62.5%, suggesting cautious value. This price sensitivity advises a more conservative stake until clearer attacking signals emerge.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Worthing

WWDDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
19 Sep 2026A Hartlepool3-1
15 Sep 2026H AFC Hornchurch1-0
12 Sep 2026H Barrow2-2
05 Sep 2026A AFC Fylde2-2
31 Aug 2026H Boreham Wood2-3

FC Halifax Town

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 4L
19 Sep 2026H Sutton Utd1-1
15 Sep 2026A Wealdstone1-0
12 Sep 2026H AFC Hornchurch3-0
05 Sep 2026A Aldershot Town0-1
01 Sep 2026H Hartlepool1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
FC Halifax Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
FC Halifax Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Worthing Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Worthing to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data highlights Worthing's propensity for higher-scoring games with an 80% Over 2.5 rate, contrasting with FC Halifax Town's more defensive recent results and 20% Over 2.5 rate. This divergence suggests Worthing's matches tend to be more open and goal-rich, while Halifax's games are tighter, influencing the expected match tempo and scoring.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Worthing wins
0Draws
0FC Halifax Town wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 63% · edge -4 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
FC Halifax Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Worthing to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
No previous meetings exist between Worthing and FC Halifax Town, so historical head-to-head data offers no direct insight. The match outcome and goal trends will depend more on current form, tactical approaches, and player availability than on past encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

Worthing9
Played
FC Halifax Town9
Worthing1.9
Avg goals for
FC Halifax Town1.6
Worthing1.7
Avg goals against
FC Halifax Town1.2
Worthing2
Clean sheets
FC Halifax Town3
Best odds for this sectionFC Halifax Town Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 48% · edge +11.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
FC Halifax Town to WinBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Worthing Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Worthing to WinBetfred guide price · model 35%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season-long stats show Worthing averaging 1.6 goals conceded per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that can lead to higher-scoring matches. FC Halifax Town's lower goals against average reflects a more conservative defensive setup. These season trends underpin the likelihood of multiple goals, especially if Worthing's attack capitalizes on defensive lapses.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Worthing1494232
13FC Halifax Town1394143
Both teams sit mid-table with close points totals, indicating a balanced competition level without extreme pressure to attack or defend. This equilibrium suggests the match could be decided by tactical execution and momentary lapses, with neither side forced into overly cautious or reckless play, supporting a competitive and potentially open game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Worthing Over 2.5
20%FC Halifax Town Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent sample, Worthing's matches have featured a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes, driven by their attacking tempo and defensive openness. FC Halifax Town's matches have been lower scoring. This trend panel suggests the fixture could lean towards a higher goal count if Worthing's offensive style dominates early phases and exploits Halifax's defensive gaps.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.