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Carlisle crestCarlisle
v
Woking crestWoking

National League | Sat 26 Sep, 15:00

Carlisle v Woking Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Carlisle and Woking meet in a National League clash where both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score regularly this season. Carlisle, positioned 16th, have averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, reflecting an open style that often leads to goals at both ends. Woking, just below in 18th, have a slightly more conservative defense but still concede 0.8 goals per match and score 1.4 on average. Recent form indicates both sides have found the net consistently, setting up a contest likely to feature goals from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Carlisle have an 80% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.
  • Woking have seen both teams score in 60% of their games.
  • The average goals per game in their two recent meetings is 3, indicating open play.
  • Carlisle’s matches go over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, supporting attacking intent.
  • Woking’s defense concedes less but their scoring rate suggests they can find the net.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model gives a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 61.7%, indicating strong value. Carlisle’s high BTTS rate of 80% combined with Woking’s 60% supports this selection. The recent head-to-head average of 3 goals per game also points to open matches with goals at both ends. Neither side has limited data, so the statistical signals are reliable. This bet aligns well with the teams’ attacking and defensive profiles, making it a compelling choice.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Carlisle BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Woking BTTS Rate60%
Positive
H2H Average Goals3 goals per match
Positive
Price Value Edge+14.3%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a clear pattern of scoring and conceding this season, with Carlisle’s open play style and Woking’s ability to find the net making both teams to score a logical pick. The data supports a match where defensive vulnerabilities and attacking intent combine to produce goals at both ends.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with attacking tendencies and defensive lapses, making both teams to score a strong tactical and statistical call. Carlisle’s high BTTS rate and Woking’s consistent goal scoring underpin this selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Carlisle have an 80% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.

Woking have seen both teams score in 60% of their games.

The average goals per game in their two recent meetings is 3, indicating open play.

Carlisle’s matches go over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, supporting attacking intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was three per match, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich games.
  • Carlisle’s 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season further supports a match tempo that favors multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Carlisle1.6
Avg goals scored
Woking1.4
Carlisle1.6
Avg goals conceded
Woking0.8
Carlisle80%
BTTS rate
Woking60%
Carlisle60%
Over 2.5 goals
Woking20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring and conceding patterns, with Carlisle’s 80% BTTS rate and Woking’s 60% suggesting goals at both ends. Their recent head-to-head matches averaged three goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game with both sides finding the net.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Woking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Woking to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Carlisle Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Carlisle to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The current for both teams to score reflect a market-implied chance of 61.7%, which is significantly lower than the model’s 76% estimate. This indicates good value in backing BTTS, as the model’s is supported by strong recent form and historical data. The price is attractive and justifies a standard stake without caution.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Carlisle

LDDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 3L
19 Sep 2026A Eastleigh0-1
15 Sep 2026H Forest Green1-1
12 Sep 2026H Southend2-2
05 Sep 2026A Boreham Wood1-2
31 Aug 2026H Scunthorpe4-2

Woking

DDWLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 4L
19 Sep 2026H Kidderminster Harriers0-0
15 Sep 2026A Boston United1-1
12 Sep 2026H Altrincham5-1
05 Sep 2026A Hartlepool0-1
31 Aug 2026H Southend1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Woking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Woking to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Carlisle Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Carlisle to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent form shows Carlisle averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded per game, with an 80% BTTS rate, indicating open matches. Woking’s form includes 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, with 60% BTTS matches. Both teams’ recent performances underline their tendency to both score and concede.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Carlisle wins
0Draws
1Woking wins
10 Dec 2025Carlisle v Woking1-3
09 Aug 2025Woking v Carlisle0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Woking to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Carlisle to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The two recent meetings between Carlisle and Woking have averaged three goals per game, showing a pattern of open contests with scoring from both sides. Although the sample is small, this trend aligns well with the BTTS pick and suggests a continuation of attacking play in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

National League

Carlisle9
Played
Woking9
Carlisle1.8
Avg goals for
Woking1.1
Carlisle1.6
Avg goals against
Woking1.3
Carlisle0
Clean sheets
Woking1
Best odds for this sectionWoking Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Woking to WinBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Carlisle Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Carlisle to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Season-long data reveals Carlisle’s attack and defense both average 1.6 goals per game, reflecting an open style conducive to BTTS outcomes. Woking’s lower goals conceded rate of 0.8 is offset by their ability to score 1.4 goals per match, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Carlisle1092432
18Woking99234-2
Carlisle and Woking sit close in the National League standings, 16th and 18th respectively, with similar points totals. This proximity suggests a balanced contest where both teams have motivation to attack and secure points, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Carlisle Over 2.5
20%Woking Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was three per match, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich games. Carlisle’s 60% over 2.5 goals rate this season further supports a match tempo that favors multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.

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