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Lech Poznan crestLech Poznan

Ekstraklasa | Sun 30 Aug, 19:15

Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznan Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan meet in an Ekstraklasa clash where both sides have shown attacking intent and tactical openness early in the season. Lech Poznan, sitting fifth, boasts a strong defensive record but also generates significant offensive pressure, while Widzew Łódź, ranked tenth, plays with a high tempo and aggressive wing play. This match promises sustained territorial battles and repeated wide attacks, setting the stage for a high number of corner kicks as both teams seek to exploit flanks and create scoring chances.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Lech Poznan averages 7.33 corners per game, Widzew Łódź 5.0, combining for over 12 corners on average.
  • Both teams favor wide attacking play, increasing corner opportunities through crosses and set-piece pressure.
  • Recent matches show both sides engage in sustained pressure and frequent deliveries into the box.
  • High shot volumes and fouls won in advanced areas suggest active wing play and set-piece scenarios.
  • Model projects a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support for the market.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% probability for over 9.5 corners, driven by both teams' aggressive wing play and high average corners per game. Lech Poznan's 7.33 corners and Widzew Łódź's 5.0 reflect sustained pressure and frequent wide attacks. The match tempo and tactical openness support numerous set-piece opportunities. is high at 88%, and the price offers positive value with a 17.7% edge. No data limitations or price warnings reduce in this selection.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Implied Chance51.3%
Strong positive
Value Edge17.7%
Strong positive
Confidence88
Strong positive
Home Team Data QualityGood
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Over 9.5 Corners bet aligns with the tactical battle expected between two teams that rely heavily on wing play and set-piece deliveries. Lech Poznan's strong corner generation and Widzew Łódź's aggressive wide attacks create a fertile environment for numerous corners. The statistical backing and match context make this a compelling selection for bettors seeking a corners market.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“This fixture features two sides that consistently pressure opponents down the flanks, generating high corner counts. The combination of Lech Poznan's superior corner average and Widzew Łódź's attacking style makes Over 9.5 Corners a logical and data-supported choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Lech Poznan averages 7.33 corners per game, Widzew Łódź 5.0, combining for over 12 corners on average.

Both teams favor wide attacking play, increasing corner opportunities through crosses and set-piece pressure.

Recent matches show both sides engage in sustained pressure and frequent deliveries into the box.

High shot volumes and fouls won in advanced areas suggest active wing play and set-piece scenarios.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals stand at 3.11, indicating open games with attacking intent.
  • Although this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions that produce goals also tend to generate corners, supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Widzew Łódź5
Avg corners for
Lech Poznan7.33
Widzew Łódź10.8
Avg total corners
Lech Poznan11.67
Widzew Łódź3
Avg yellow cards
Lech Poznan1
Widzew Łódź15.8
Avg shots
Lech Poznan19.33
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Lech Poznan averages 7.33 corners and Widzew Łódź 5.0, reflecting sustained wing pressure and frequent deliveries into the box. Widzew Łódź's higher fouls won and Lech Poznan's disciplined card profile suggest a physical but controlled game, with corners arising from fouls and attacking transitions. Shot volumes also indicate active offensive phases conducive to corner creation.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Widzew Łódź1.6
Avg goals scored
Lech Poznan1.67
Widzew Łódź1.4
Avg goals conceded
Lech Poznan0.33
Widzew Łódź60%
BTTS rate
Lech Poznan33%
Widzew Łódź60%
Over 2.5 goals
Lech Poznan67%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 83% vs implied 85% · edge -1.7 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates but differing BTTS tendencies, with Widzew Łódź at 60% BTTS and Lech Poznan at 33%. While goals may be moderate, the attacking tempo and shot volumes suggest open play that often leads to corners from wide attacks and defensive clearances, supporting the corners market rather than goal totals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Lech Poznan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Lech Poznan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Widzew Łódź Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Widzew Łódź to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.95 with a of 69%, indicating clear value. The 17.7% reflects the market underestimating the frequency of corners given both teams' attacking patterns and set-piece tendencies. This price offers a strong betting opportunity without requiring movement.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Widzew Łódź

DLWDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Slask Wroclaw3-3
15 Aug 2026H Korona Kielce1-2
09 Aug 2026A Jagiellonia2-0
31 Jul 2026A Wisla Plock0-0
26 Jul 2026H Motor Lublin2-2

Lech Poznan

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
09 Aug 2026H Piast Gliwice3-0
01 Aug 2026A Wieczysta Kraków2-1
25 Jul 2026H Cracovia Krakow0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 74% · edge +4.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Lech Poznan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Lech Poznan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Widzew Łódź Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Widzew Łódź to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form shows both teams averaging over 5 corners per game, with Lech Poznan's 7.33 corners and Widzew Łódź's 5.0 reflecting consistent wing pressure. This trend underlines the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners as both sides maintain aggressive wide attacks and sustained offensive phases in their latest matches.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Widzew Łódź wins
1Draws
4Lech Poznan wins
07 Mar 2026Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznan2-1
31 Aug 2025Lech Poznan v Widzew Łódź2-1
31 Jan 2025Lech Poznan v Widzew Łódź4-1
27 Jul 2024Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznan2-1
19 May 2024Widzew Łódź v Lech Poznan1-1
26 Nov 2023Lech Poznan v Widzew Łódź1-3
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 61% · edge +4.4 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Lech Poznan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Widzew Łódź to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The nine previous meetings between Widzew Łódź and Lech Poznan have averaged 3.11 goals per game, reflecting open contests with attacking opportunities. While the sample is moderate, it suggests a pattern of offensive play that often leads to set-piece situations and corners, providing background support for the corners market.
Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Widzew Łódź5
Played
Lech Poznan3
Widzew Łódź1.6
Avg goals for
Lech Poznan1.7
Widzew Łódź1.4
Avg goals against
Lech Poznan0.3
Widzew Łódź2
Clean sheets
Lech Poznan2
Best odds for this sectionLech Poznan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 58% · edge +2.4 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Load more odds for this section
Lech Poznan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Widzew Łódź Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Widzew Łódź to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Season-long data confirms Lech Poznan's strong corner generation and Widzew Łódź's active wing play, combining for an average well above 9.5 corners per game. Defensive openness and tactical setups favor frequent set-piece situations, reinforcing the statistical basis for the corners market in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Lech Poznan732104
12Widzew Łódź651311
While Widzew Łódź sits tenth and Lech Poznan fifth, the league positions have limited direct impact on corner frequency. Both teams' tactical styles and match tempo are more decisive factors for corner accumulation than table pressure in this mid-season context.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Widzew Łódź Over 2.5
67%Lech Poznan Over 2.5
3.11H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals stand at 3.11, indicating open games with attacking intent. Although this panel focuses on Over 2.5 Goals trends, the attacking tempo and transitions that produce goals also tend to generate corners, supporting the expectation of a high corner count in this fixture.

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