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West Brom crestWest Brom
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QPR crestQPR

Championship | Sat 12 Sep, 12:30

West Brom v QPR Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

West Brom and QPR meet in a Championship clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive resilience. West Brom leads the table with 13 points, while QPR sits close behind in fourth with 11 points, indicating a competitive fixture. West Brom's average of 5 corners per game combined with QPR's 7.8 suggests a high likelihood of set-piece opportunities. Both sides have balanced recent form, making this a tactical battle with potential for sustained pressure and multiple corner situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • West Brom averages 5 corners per match, QPR 7.8, combining for a high corner count.
  • Model estimates a 67.9% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with positive value at 1.83 .
  • Both teams create significant shot volume, indicating attacking pressure leading to corners.
  • Recent form shows both sides maintain aggressive wing play and set-piece delivery.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners due to both teams' strong corner averages and attacking styles. West Brom's 5 corners per game and QPR's 7.8 combine for a high expected corner count. The match tempo and offensive pressure from both sides increase corner opportunities. The at 1.83 offer positive value against the implied 54.6% chance, supported by solid of 83%. No data limitations affect this prediction, making it a reliable corner market selection.

West Brom corner average5 per game
Strong positive
QPR corner average7.8 per game
Strong positive
Model corner chance67.9%
Strong positive
Market implied chance54.6%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture features two teams with strong attacking wing play and set-piece involvement, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice. West Brom's and QPR's combined corner averages and shot volumes suggest sustained pressure and frequent corner situations. The positive model value and recent form data reinforce this tactical expectation, supporting a confident corner market selection.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner market stands out here due to both teams' aggressive wide play and consistent delivery into the box, which naturally generates numerous corner kicks. This match is likely to see sustained territorial battles and set-piece opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

West Brom averages 5 corners per match, QPR 7.8, combining for a high corner count.

Model estimates a 67.9% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, with positive value at 1.83 .

Both teams create significant shot volume, indicating attacking pressure leading to corners.

Recent form shows both sides maintain aggressive wing play and set-piece delivery.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.7, suggesting open contests with attacking tempo.
  • This trend supports a match environment conducive to multiple attacking phases and transitions, which often lead to increased corner counts.
  • The tempo and chance quality in these fixtures align with the Over 2.5 Goals trend, indirectly supporting sustained pressure and corners.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

West Brom5
Avg corners for
QPR6.75
West Brom11
Avg total corners
QPR10.25
West Brom2.4
Avg yellow cards
QPR1.25
West Brom10.2
Avg shots
QPR18
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
West Brom averages 2.4 yellow cards per game, indicating a moderately physical style, while QPR averages 1.2. The combined average of 12.8 corners per game and high shot volumes (West Brom 10.2, QPR 17.6) reflect attacking pressure and wing play that typically result in numerous corners and fouls near the box, supporting the corner market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

West Brom1.4
Avg goals scored
QPR0.8
West Brom1
Avg goals conceded
QPR0.6
West Brom60%
BTTS rate
QPR40%
West Brom40%
Over 2.5 goals
QPR40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +4.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
While both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates, the focus here is on corner generation rather than goals. West Brom and QPR's attacking patterns create sustained pressure that leads to corners even if goals are limited. The 2.7 average goals in their last 10 meetings indicate open play, which often correlates with higher corner counts.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionWest Brom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +9.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
West Brom to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
QPR to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
QPR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.83 with a of 67.9%, indicating clear value. The implied market chance of 54.6% is significantly lower than the model's estimate, suggesting the offer a positive edge without warning flags. This pricing reflects market recognition of both teams' corner generation but leaves room for value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

West Brom

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
09 Sep 2026A Derby1-0
05 Sep 2026H Watford1-0
02 Sep 2026H Charlton1-1
29 Aug 2026A Middlesbrough1-3
23 Aug 2026H Burnley3-1

QPR

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
09 Sep 2026A Charlton0-0
05 Sep 2026H Middlesbrough0-1
02 Sep 2026H Cardiff2-1
29 Aug 2026A Blackburn2-1
22 Aug 2026H Bolton0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 81% vs implied 78% · edge +2.4 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
West Brom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
West Brom to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
QPR to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
QPR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form shows West Brom accumulating 10 points with an average of 1.4 goals per game and QPR with 8 points and 0.8 goals per game. Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open games. Their corner averages remain consistent, reflecting ongoing attacking intent and wing play that sustain corner counts above 9.5.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6West Brom wins
2Draws
2QPR wins
29 Dec 2025West Brom v QPR2-1
06 Dec 2025QPR v West Brom3-1
08 Mar 2025West Brom v QPR1-0
10 Aug 2024QPR v West Brom1-3
06 Mar 2024QPR v West Brom2-2
24 Oct 2023West Brom v QPR2-0
Best odds for this sectionWest Brom to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.1 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
QPR to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The 10 previous meetings between West Brom and QPR have averaged 2.7 goals per game, indicating open and competitive matches. While goal data is not directly linked to corners, the attacking nature of these encounters suggests frequent wing play and set-piece situations, providing background support for the corner market without being the primary driver.
Season team stats

Championship

West Brom6
Played
QPR6
West Brom1.5
Avg goals for
QPR1.2
West Brom1
Avg goals against
QPR0.7
West Brom2
Clean sheets
QPR2
Best odds for this sectionWest Brom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 54% · edge +9.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
West Brom to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
QPR to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
QPR Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season-long data confirms West Brom's average of 5 corners and QPR's 7.8, underscoring their attacking width and delivery. Both teams maintain balanced defensive records, allowing for open play and transitions that generate corner situations. Their combined corner average of 12.8 per game supports the Over 9.5 Corners market as a sustainable trend.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1West Brom1364113
4QPR1163213
West Brom leads the Championship with 13 points, while QPR is fourth with 11 points, indicating high stakes and motivation. Both teams' positions reflect strong form and attacking play, which typically results in aggressive wing attacks and set-piece opportunities, reinforcing the corner market relevance in this competitive fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%West Brom Over 2.5
40%QPR Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.7, suggesting open contests with attacking tempo. This trend supports a match environment conducive to multiple attacking phases and transitions, which often lead to increased corner counts. The tempo and chance quality in these fixtures align with the Over 2.5 Goals trend, indirectly supporting sustained pressure and corners.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.