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Southampton crestSouthampton
v
Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough

Championship | Fri 27 Nov, 20:00

Southampton v Middlesbrough Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 23:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Southampton face Middlesbrough in Championship on Fri 27 Nov, 20:00. Middlesbrough's propensity for 2-2 draws away from home aligns with Southampton's recent high-scoring stalemates at St Mary's stadium.

BT4Y best bet

A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full

  • A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full is rated around 76% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.
  • Southampton show a 100% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Southampton average 2 goals scored and Middlesbrough average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full around 76% on the latest available numbers. Southampton show a 100% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.

Southampton show a 100% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a.Visible data support
Positive
Southampton average 2 goals scored and Middlesbrough average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws. Southampton show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Middlesbrough show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The absence of Hayden Hackney remains significant, because he normally gives Middlesbrough more rhythm and progression from deeper areas, but Riley McGree and Aidan Morris compensated impressively in the first leg.

Main risk

The absence of Hayden Hackney remains significant, because he normally gives Middlesbrough more rhythm and progression from deeper areas, but Riley McGree and Aidan Morris compensated impressively in the first leg.

Key Data Signals

A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full evidence

Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.

Southampton show a 100% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Southampton average 2 goals scored and Middlesbrough average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Southampton2
Avg goals scored
Middlesbrough2
Southampton1.2
Avg goals conceded
Middlesbrough1.6
Southampton100%
BTTS rate
Middlesbrough80%
Southampton60%
Over 2.5 goals
Middlesbrough60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Southampton

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
19 Sep 2026A Wrexham1-2
12 Sep 2026H Bristol City4-1
08 Sep 2026H Swansea3-1
05 Sep 2026A Lincoln1-1
01 Sep 2026A Birmingham1-1

Middlesbrough

DDWWD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 1L
19 Sep 2026A Birmingham2-2
15 Sep 2026H Millwall2-2
12 Sep 2026H Norwich4-3
05 Sep 2026A QPR1-0
02 Sep 2026A Burnley1-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Southampton Over 2.5
60%Middlesbrough Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Southampton sit at 60% and Middlesbrough sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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