Southampton
MiddlesbroughChampionship | Fri 27 Nov, 20:00
Southampton v Middlesbrough Stats
Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 20:09 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Southampton face Middlesbrough in Championship on Fri 27 Nov, 20:00. Middlesbrough's propensity for 2-2 draws away from home aligns with Southampton's recent high-scoring stalemates at St Mary's stadium.
A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full
- A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full is rated around 60% by the current BT4Y model.
- Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.
- Southampton show a 60% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
- Southampton average 1.6 goals scored and Middlesbrough average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full around 60% on the latest available numbers. Southampton show a 60% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws. Southampton show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Middlesbrough show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The absence of Hayden Hackney remains significant, because he normally gives Middlesbrough more rhythm and progression from deeper areas, but Riley McGree and Aidan Morris compensated impressively in the first leg.
The absence of Hayden Hackney remains significant, because he normally gives Middlesbrough more rhythm and progression from deeper areas, but Riley McGree and Aidan Morris compensated impressively in the first leg.
Key Data Signals
A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full evidence
Both teams have a consistent pattern of high-scoring draws.
Southampton show a 60% BTTS rate and Middlesbrough show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Southampton average 1.6 goals scored and Middlesbrough average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.
What To Watch In The Data
A team and they win, you receive your payout; if the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned in full notes
- Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Southampton
Middlesbrough
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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