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VJS crestVJS
v
JJK crestJJK

Ykkönen | Sun 16 Aug, 15:00

VJS v JJK Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VJS hosts JJK in a crucial Ykkönen clash where both teams are fighting for valuable points in the mid-table battle. VJS arrives with stronger recent form, securing 9 points in their last five matches compared to JJK's 2 points. The tactical setup suggests VJS will leverage their home advantage to press high and control possession, while JJK may struggle defensively given their recent concessions. This fixture carries significant stakes for both sides aiming to climb the standings and avoid slipping further down the table.

BT4Y best bet

VJS to Win

  • VJS has earned 9 points from their last five matches, showing solid momentum.
  • JJK has managed only 2 points recently, indicating struggles in form.
  • VJS concedes fewer goals per game (1.0) compared to JJK's 2.6, highlighting defensive stability.
  • VJS's to win stands at 74%, with a positive of 14.1%.
  • The head-to-head average goals (4) suggest potential for open play but VJS's form favors a home win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors VJS to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive solidity. VJS's ability to limit goals against to just 1 per game contrasts with JJK's leaky defense conceding 2.6 goals per match. The positive of 14.1% indicates the offer attractive value. While JJK's higher over 2.5 goals rate suggests some attacking threat, VJS's home advantage and momentum underpin the in their victory. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick.

Recent FormVJS has 9 points from last 5 matches vs JJK's 2
Strong positive
Defensive RecordVJS concedes 1.0 goals per game; JJK concedes 2.6
Strong positive
Model Probability74% chance for VJS to win
Strong positive
Value Edge14.1% positive value on VJS win odds
Strong positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateJJK 80%, VJS 60%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

VJS's recent form and defensive strength make them the tactical and statistical favorite to win this match. Their ability to control games and limit opposition chances contrasts with JJK's struggles, positioning VJS well to secure three points in this important fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“VJS's consistent defensive discipline and superior recent results set a clear foundation for victory, especially given JJK's defensive vulnerabilities and lack of recent points.”

Key Data Signals

VJS to Win evidence

VJS has earned 9 points from their last five matches, showing solid momentum.

JJK has managed only 2 points recently, indicating struggles in form.

VJS concedes fewer goals per game (1.0) compared to JJK's 2.6, highlighting defensive stability.

VJS's to win stands at 74%, with a positive of 14.1%.

What To Watch In The Data

VJS to Win notes

  • The single head-to-head meeting between these teams averaged 4 goals, indicating potential for an open game.
  • Recent trends show JJK's matches often exceed 2.5 goals (80%), while VJS's games do so 60% of the time, suggesting a moderately high-tempo match with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VJS1.6
Avg goals scored
JJK1.2
VJS1
Avg goals conceded
JJK2.6
VJS80%
BTTS rate
JJK60%
VJS60%
Over 2.5 goals
JJK80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 88% vs implied 91% · edge -2.9 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
While JJK's 80% over 2.5 goals rate indicates a propensity for open, high-scoring matches, VJS's more balanced approach and 60% rate suggest a moderately attacking game. Both teams have decent BTTS rates, but VJS's defensive record points to a controlled game with goals likely but not necessarily a shootout.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVJS to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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VJS Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The for VJS to win reflect a strong model at 74%, with the current price offering a positive of 14.1%. This suggests the market underestimates VJS's chances slightly, making the home win a compelling bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VJS

WDDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
09 Aug 2026A KPV-j2-1
05 Aug 2026H PKKU0-0
31 Jul 2026A Inter Turku II1-1
26 Jul 2026A KuPS Akatemia2-2
22 Jul 2026A PKKU3-1

JJK

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
11 Aug 2026H Tampere United0-0
05 Aug 2026A SalPa1-2
25 Jul 2026A Rops0-4
18 Jul 2026H FC jazz1-3
11 Jul 2026H KuPS Akatemia4-4
Market aligned with main pickVJS to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
VJS Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
VJS's recent accumulation of 9 points from their last five matches contrasts sharply with JJK's 2 points, highlighting a momentum advantage. This form difference reflects VJS's ability to secure results and maintain defensive solidity, while JJK struggles to convert chances and prevent goals, influencing the expected match outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0VJS wins
1Draws
0JJK wins
02 Jun 2026JJK v VJS2-2
Market aligned with main pickVJS to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
With only one previous meeting, the head-to-head sample is limited but notable for its high goal count averaging 4 goals. This suggests that while VJS is favored, the fixture could see multiple goals, reflecting both teams' attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

VJS19
Played
JJK19
VJS1.7
Avg goals for
JJK2.2
VJS1.3
Avg goals against
JJK1.8
VJS4
Clean sheets
JJK3
Market aligned with main pickVJS to WinBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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VJS Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over the season, VJS has maintained a solid defensive record conceding only 1 goal per game while scoring 1.6, supporting their capacity to control matches. JJK's higher concession rate of 2.6 goals per game exposes defensive vulnerabilities, making it difficult for them to contain VJS's attack and secure points.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6VJS29197849
8JJK26197576
Currently ranked 6th, VJS sits just above JJK in 7th place, with a slight points advantage (29 vs 26). This proximity in the table adds competitive tension, but VJS's better form and defensive stats suggest they are more likely to capitalize on this fixture to strengthen their position.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%VJS Over 2.5
80%JJK Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The single head-to-head meeting between these teams averaged 4 goals, indicating potential for an open game. Recent trends show JJK's matches often exceed 2.5 goals (80%), while VJS's games do so 60% of the time, suggesting a moderately high-tempo match with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.