Inter Turku II

KPV-j

Ykkönen | Sun 16 Aug, 14:00

Inter Turku II v KPV-j Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ykkönen fixture features Inter Turku II hosting KPV-j in a crucial relegation battle. Inter Turku II sits 10th with 20 points, while KPV-j is 11th with 12 points, both fighting to climb out of the lower table zone. Recent form shows Inter Turku II with 5 points from their last matches and a tighter defense conceding 1.2 goals per game, whereas KPV-j has struggled defensively, allowing 2.2 goals on average but boasts a higher attacking threat with 1.2 goals scored per match. The tactical battle will hinge on whether KPV-j can leverage their offensive edge to avoid defeat away from home.

BT4Y best bet

KPV-j or Draw

KPV-j or Draw offers a 15.7% versus implied at 2.21
KPV-j concedes more goals but scores slightly more, indicating attacking potential
Inter Turku II has steadier defense but less attacking output recently
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends are common
Recent form favors Inter Turku II slightly, but KPV-j’s resilience supports a double chance bet

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors KPV-j or Draw with a 60.9% chance, highlighting value at current of 2.21. Despite KPV-j’s defensive vulnerabilities, their offensive threat and ability to avoid defeat away from home underpin this selection. Inter Turku II’s modest goal-scoring and conceding rates suggest a tight contest where KPV-j’s resilience can secure at least a draw. No data limitations affect , and the price reflects a positive value opportunity with standard staking recommended.

Model Probability60.9% chance for KPV-j or Draw

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance45.2%

Strong positive

Value Edge+15.7%

Strong positive

Recent Defensive FormKPV-j concedes 2.2 goals per game

Neutral

Recent Offensive FormKPV-j scores 1.2 goals per game

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

KPV-j or Draw is a sensible choice given KPV-j’s attacking promise and ability to avoid defeat in recent matches. Inter Turku II’s defense is steadier but their limited scoring reduces the likelihood of a clear home win. The double chance covers the uncertainty while backing KPV-j’s resilience and offensive threat.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical resilience and attacking potential

“KPV-j’s offensive edge and resilience away from home make the double chance a pragmatic bet in a tight relegation clash where outright home control seems unlikely.”

Key Data Signals

KPV-j or Draw evidence

KPV-j or Draw offers a 15.7% versus implied at 2.21

KPV-j concedes more goals but scores slightly more, indicating attacking potential

Inter Turku II has steadier defense but less attacking output recently

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends are common

What To Watch In The Data

KPV-j or Draw notes

The last three head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 5.67 goals, indicating a high-scoring history.
KPV-j’s 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season further suggests attacking openness.
This trend points to a match with goal-scoring opportunities and tempo, though Inter Turku II’s defensive steadiness may temper the final tally, favoring a balanced game with chances for both sides.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Inter Turku II1

Avg goals scored

KPV-j1.2

Inter Turku II1.2

Avg goals conceded

KPV-j2.2

Inter Turku II60%

BTTS rate

KPV-j60%

Inter Turku II40%

Over 2.5 goals

KPV-j80%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 74% · edge -0.2 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%

1.08

Check odds @ 1.08

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%

Check odds @ 3

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, indicating goals at both ends are common. KPV-j’s higher over 2.5 goals rate (80%) versus Inter Turku II’s 40% suggests the match could see attacking moments, but Inter Turku II’s tighter defense may limit scoring. This balance supports a cautious expectation of goals from both sides without a high-scoring blowout.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 74% · edge -0.2 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

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KPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

KPV-j to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%

4.2

Check odds @ 4.2

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Inter Turku II Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

The of 2.21 for KPV-j or Draw present a clear value opportunity as the model estimates a 60.9% chance for this outcome. The market underestimates KPV-j’s ability to avoid defeat despite defensive weaknesses, making the double chance a price-sensitive but positive-value selection with no warnings required.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Inter Turku II

LWDDL

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 4D 4L

11 Aug 2026A PKKU0-1

07 Aug 2026A KuPS Akatemia1-0

31 Jul 2026H VJS1-1

24 Jul 2026A Tampere United2-2

18 Jul 2026H SalPa1-2

KPV-j

LLWLD

Last 51W 1D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 1D 7L

09 Aug 2026H VJS1-2

05 Aug 2026A Tampere United0-6

01 Aug 2026H SalPa3-0

26 Jul 2026A OLS1-2

20 Jul 2026H Rops1-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 78%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

KPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

KPV-j to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%

4.2

Check odds @ 4.2

Inter Turku II Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Inter Turku II to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Inter Turku II has collected 5 points recently with a modest goal output and a relatively solid defense conceding 1.2 goals per match. KPV-j’s recent form shows 4 points with a higher goals conceded average of 2.2 but a slightly better scoring rate. This contrast highlights KPV-j’s vulnerability but also their attacking threat, supporting the double chance as a hedge against defensive lapses.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Inter Turku II wins

0Draws

2KPV-j wins

29 May 2026KPV-j v Inter Turku II4-2

30 Aug 2025KPV-j v Inter Turku II2-1

28 Jun 2025Inter Turku II v KPV-j7-1

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 74% · edge -0.2 pts

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Load more odds for this section

KPV-j to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%

4.2

Check odds @ 4.2

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Inter Turku II to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The head-to-head sample is limited to three matches but shows a high average of 5.67 goals, indicating open and attacking encounters. While this supports the potential for goals, the small sample means current form and tactical setups carry more weight in predicting the outcome, making the double chance a prudent choice to cover variability.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Ykkönen

Inter Turku II20

Played

KPV-j19

Inter Turku II1.6

Avg goals for

KPV-j0.9

Inter Turku II2.4

Avg goals against

KPV-j3.1

Inter Turku II1

Clean sheets

KPV-j3

Best odds for this sectionKPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 35% · edge +7.8 pts

2.85

Check odds @ 2.85

Load more odds for this section

KPV-j to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%

4.1

Check odds @ 4.1

Inter Turku II Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Inter Turku II to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Season-long stats reveal KPV-j’s defensive struggles with 2.2 goals conceded per game but a decent attack scoring 1.2 goals. Inter Turku II’s more balanced profile with 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game suggests a tighter defensive setup. These season trends underpin the double chance pick, as KPV-j’s attack can challenge Inter Turku II’s defense while their own defense may be exposed.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
10	Inter Turku II	20	19	5	5	9	-15
11	KPV-j	12	19	3	3	13	-40

Both teams occupy the bottom of the Ykkönen table, with Inter Turku II 10th on 20 points and KPV-j 11th on 12 points. The standings highlight the fixture’s relegation significance, increasing the likelihood of cautious play and risk management. This context supports a double chance bet on KPV-j to avoid defeat as both sides seek to secure vital points.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Inter Turku II Over 2.5

80%KPV-j Over 2.5

5.67H2H avg goals

The last three head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 5.67 goals, indicating a high-scoring history. KPV-j’s 80% over 2.5 goals rate this season further suggests attacking openness. This trend points to a match with goal-scoring opportunities and tempo, though Inter Turku II’s defensive steadiness may temper the final tally, favoring a balanced game with chances for both sides.

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Betting context

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Football Stats Hub

Inter Turku II v KPV-j Stats

Match Report

KPV-j or Draw

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Inter Turku II v KPV-j Stats

Match Report

KPV-j or Draw

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Inter Turku II

KPV-j

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