Vasteras SK FK

Kalmar FF

Allsvenskan | Sun 23 Aug, 13:00

Vasteras SK FK v Kalmar FF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF meet in an Allsvenskan clash where both sides have shown contrasting offensive and defensive tendencies this season. Vasteras SK FK, positioned mid-table, have struggled defensively but maintain a moderate attacking threat, while Kalmar FF, lower in the standings, have been more prolific upfront but also concede frequently. This match presents an intriguing tactical battle with potential for open play and goal-scoring opportunities, given both teams' recent form and attacking inclinations. The fixture's timing and stakes suggest an engaging contest with a likelihood of multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Kalmar FF has an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season, indicating strong attacking output.
Vasteras SK FK concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities.
The head-to-head average goals over the last five meetings is 3, supporting a higher-scoring encounter.
Both teams average over 8 shots per game, suggesting active offensive play and chances created.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 61.8% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by Kalmar FF's high over 2.5 rate of 80% and Vasteras SK FK's defensive concessions. Both teams generate significant shot volumes, with Vasteras SK FK averaging 9.2 shots and Kalmar FF 8.2 per game, increasing the likelihood of goals. The head-to-head average of 3 goals per game further reinforces the potential for a high-scoring match. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on solid attacking and defensive data.

Kalmar FF Over 2.5 Rate80%

Strong positive

Vasteras SK FK Goals Against1.8 per game

Positive

Average Shots per GameVasteras 9.2, Kalmar 8.2

Positive

Head-to-Head Average Goals3 goals in last 5 matches

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, especially Kalmar FF who have shown a strong attacking presence despite defensive lapses. Vasteras SK FK's defensive fragility combined with Kalmar's goal threat sets the stage for a match likely to surpass 2.5 goals, aligning with recent form and tactical tendencies.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical matchup

“Kalmar's offensive dynamism paired with Vasteras SK FK's defensive struggles creates a fertile ground for goals. Their contrasting styles and recent scoring trends make Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Kalmar FF has an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season, indicating strong attacking output.

Vasteras SK FK concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities.

The head-to-head average goals over the last five meetings is 3, supporting a higher-scoring encounter.

Both teams average over 8 shots per game, suggesting active offensive play and chances created.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Over the last five matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3, supporting a trend towards higher-scoring encounters.
This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides historically contributing to goal-rich games.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vasteras SK FK0.6

Avg goals scored

Kalmar FF1.4

Vasteras SK FK1.8

Avg goals conceded

Kalmar FF2.2

Vasteras SK FK0%

BTTS rate

Kalmar FF80%

Vasteras SK FK40%

Over 2.5 goals

Kalmar FF80%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 57% · edge +4.7 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Kalmar FF's 80% over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS rate indicate frequent high-scoring games with goals from both sides. Vasteras SK FK's lower scoring but higher conceding profile suggests they often allow goals, making a goals and BTTS scenario plausible in this match.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 57% · edge +4.7 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Vasteras SK FK to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Kalmar FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.88

Check odds @ 1.88

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.75 with an implied chance of 57.1%, slightly below the model's 61.8% probability. This small positive supports a standard stake, reflecting a balanced risk-reward scenario based on attacking and defensive data.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vasteras SK FK2.4

Avg corners for

Kalmar FF3.2

Vasteras SK FK8.8

Avg total corners

Kalmar FF10

Vasteras SK FK2

Avg yellow cards

Kalmar FF0.6

Vasteras SK FK9.2

Avg shots

Kalmar FF8.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 56% · edge -3.7 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Both teams average a combined 5.6 corners per game, with Vasteras SK FK taking 2.4 and Kalmar FF 3.2, indicating moderate territorial pressure and set-piece opportunities. Vasteras SK FK's higher average yellow cards (2 per game) compared to Kalmar FF (0.6) suggests a more physical approach, potentially disrupting rhythm and creating chances from fouls.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vasteras SK FK

LWLWD

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 2D 3L

14 Aug 2026A IF Elfsborg0-3

10 Aug 2026H Djurgardens IF1-0

03 Aug 2026A Djurgardens IF0-6

24 Jul 2026H Orgryte IS2-0

17 Jul 2026A Mjallby AIF0-0

Kalmar FF

LLDWD

Last 51W 2D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 2D 5L

16 Aug 2026H Hammarby FF0-4

09 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg2-3

01 Aug 2026A BK Hacken1-1

25 Jul 2026H Mjallby AIF2-1

20 Jul 2026H Malmo FF2-2

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Vasteras SK FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Vasteras SK FK to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 65%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Kalmar FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.88

Check odds @ 1.88

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Kalmar FF's recent form shows a strong inclination towards matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with an 80% rate, while Vasteras SK FK's form is more conservative at 40%. However, Vasteras SK FK's defensive frailties and Kalmar's attacking consistency suggest the match could still produce multiple goals.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Vasteras SK FK wins

1Draws

1Kalmar FF wins

05 Apr 2026Kalmar FF v Vasteras SK FK0-1

14 Sep 2025Kalmar FF v Vasteras SK FK2-1

06 May 2025Vasteras SK FK v Kalmar FF2-2

17 Aug 2024Vasteras SK FK v Kalmar FF2-1

02 Jun 2024Kalmar FF v Vasteras SK FK0-4

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 57% · edge +4.7 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Vasteras SK FK to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Kalmar FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

The five recent meetings between Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF have averaged 3 goals per game, indicating a history of open and attacking fixtures. This trend provides a meaningful background supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in the upcoming match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Vasteras SK FK17

Played

Kalmar FF17

Vasteras SK FK1.5

Avg goals for

Kalmar FF1.2

Vasteras SK FK1.9

Avg goals against

Kalmar FF1.6

Vasteras SK FK5

Clean sheets

Kalmar FF2

Best odds for this sectionVasteras SK FK Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +5.3 pts

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

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Vasteras SK FK to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Kalmar FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.88

Check odds @ 1.88

Season-long data reveals Kalmar FF as a high-scoring but defensively vulnerable side, conceding 2.2 goals per game. Vasteras SK FK scores less but concedes 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive weaknesses on both sides that contribute to a higher likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
8	Vasteras SK FK	25	17	7	4	6	-7
13	Kalmar FF	18	17	5	3	9	-7

Vasteras SK FK sits 8th with 25 points, while Kalmar FF is 13th with 18 points, reflecting differing stakes. Kalmar FF's need to climb the table may encourage attacking play, increasing goal chances, whereas Vasteras SK FK's mid-table position allows for a more open game without excessive defensive caution.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Vasteras SK FK Over 2.5

80%Kalmar FF Over 2.5

3H2H avg goals

Over the last five matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3, supporting a trend towards higher-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides historically contributing to goal-rich games.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Vasteras SK FK v Kalmar FF Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Vasteras SK FK

Kalmar FF

Next step

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Football Stats Hub

Vasteras SK FK v Kalmar FF Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Vasteras SK FK

Kalmar FF

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