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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF

Allsvenskan | Sun 23 Aug, 15:30

IF Brommapojkarna v Degerfors IF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Brommapojkarna visit Degerfors IF aiming to extend their recent winning streak in a tightly poised Allsvenskan clash. Brommapojkarna arrive with strong momentum after back-to-back victories, including a clinical 2-1 away win despite limited possession, showcasing their efficient attacking style. Degerfors, struggling for consistency at home with just one win in five matches, seek to halt their defensive vulnerabilities while leveraging their solid attacking output. Both teams typically operate in a 4-2-3-1 formation, setting up a tactical midfield battle where transitions and quick attacks could prove decisive in this high-stakes encounter.

BT4Y match pick

IF Brommapojkarna Win & Under 2.5 Goals

  • Brommapojkarna on a 2-match league winning streak with efficient attacking displays.
  • Degerfors have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.5 goals per game at home.
  • Both teams average around 1.3-1.4 goals scored per match, indicating a close attacking balance.
  • Brommapojkarna have only one clean sheet this season, suggesting goals conceded likely.
  • Recent head-to-head favors Degerfors but Brommapojkarna’s form and league position are stronger.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports IF Brommapojkarna to win under 2.5 goals based on their recent momentum and efficient attack despite limited possession. Both sides have similar goal-scoring averages but defensive frailties suggest a match with few goals but a likely Brommapojkarna victory. The price is slightly short, indicating cautious staking is advisable. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting .

Recent FormBrommapojkarna have won their last two league games
Positive
Goal AveragesBoth teams average around 1.3-1.4 goals per game
Neutral
Defensive StabilityBrommapojkarna have conceded 1.7 goals per game with only one clean sheet
Neutral
Price SensitivityOdds slightly short versus model chance, suggesting caution
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

IF Brommapojkarna’s recent form and clinical finishing on the counter give them a tactical edge over Degerfors, who struggle defensively at home. The data shows both teams score regularly but matches tend to stay tight, making a Brommapojkarna win with under 2.5 goals a logical outcome in this competitive Allsvenskan fixture.

Main risk

The Allsvenskan season is still young, but matches like this already carry extra weight.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical efficiency and match control

“Brommapojkarna’s ability to win matches without dominating possession highlights their tactical discipline and efficiency, making them a strong candidate for a narrow victory in a low-scoring game.”

Key Data Signals

IF Brommapojkarna Win & Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Brommapojkarna on a 2-match league winning streak with efficient attacking displays.

Degerfors have defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.5 goals per game at home.

Both teams average around 1.3-1.4 goals scored per match, indicating a close attacking balance.

Brommapojkarna have only one clean sheet this season, suggesting goals conceded likely.

What To Watch In The Data

IF Brommapojkarna Win & Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last nine meetings between these teams have averaged 3.33 goals per game, indicating a historically higher scoring trend.
  • However, recent tactical adjustments and defensive focus suggest this match may see fewer goals, supporting the under 2.5 goals angle despite the historical average.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Avg goals scored
Degerfors IF1
IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Avg goals conceded
Degerfors IF1.6
IF Brommapojkarna100%
BTTS rate
Degerfors IF20%
IF Brommapojkarna80%
Over 2.5 goals
Degerfors IF60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have similar attacking metrics but defensive weaknesses suggest goals at both ends are possible. However, Brommapojkarna’s tendency to keep matches tight and the under 2.5 goals angle indicate a controlled game with limited scoring, despite some likelihood of both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 63% · edge -9.5 pts
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
The for IF Brommapojkarna to win under 2.5 goals are slightly shorter than the model’s estimated chance, indicating the market views this as a likely outcome but with limited value. The price sensitivity suggests cautious stakes, with potential for better value if drift higher.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

IF Brommapojkarna4.75
Avg corners for
Degerfors IF3.33
IF Brommapojkarna12.75
Avg total corners
Degerfors IF12
IF Brommapojkarna1
Avg yellow cards
Degerfors IF1.33
IF Brommapojkarna10.5
Avg shots
Degerfors IF10
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both teams generate moderate shot volumes, with Brommapojkarna averaging 10.6 shots and Degerfors 9.2 per game. Corners are balanced around 4-5 per side, and card counts are low to moderate, reflecting a match with steady pressure but not excessive fouling or set-piece control.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

WDLDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
16 Aug 2026H Orgryte IS3-1
10 Aug 2026A Sirius2-2
02 Aug 2026H Malmo FF1-2
26 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF1-1
17 Jul 2026A IFK Goteborg1-2

Degerfors IF

WWLLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
16 Aug 2026H IFK Goteborg3-0
09 Aug 2026A Malmo FF2-1
02 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg0-2
25 Jul 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1
19 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF0-4
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 80% · edge -6.8 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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IF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Brommapojkarna’s recent form is strong, winning two consecutive league matches with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded, showing balance and momentum. Degerfors have a mixed form profile with 6 points from recent matches but defensive issues persist, conceding 1.6 goals per game, which may hinder their home performance against a confident opponent.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2IF Brommapojkarna wins
1Draws
6Degerfors IF wins
31 May 2026Degerfors IF v IF Brommapojkarna2-2
09 Nov 2025IF Brommapojkarna v Degerfors IF1-3
29 Jun 2025Degerfors IF v IF Brommapojkarna0-3
29 Jul 2023Degerfors IF v IF Brommapojkarna2-0
08 Jul 2023IF Brommapojkarna v Degerfors IF1-2
05 Oct 2019Degerfors IF v IF Brommapojkarna2-1
Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 50% · edge -6.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Degerfors have won three of the last four encounters, including a recent 3-1 victory, showing a strong head-to-head record. However, Brommapojkarna’s current form and league position provide a counterbalance, making the historical results a background factor rather than a decisive influence.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna17
Played
Degerfors IF17
IF Brommapojkarna1.5
Avg goals for
Degerfors IF1
IF Brommapojkarna1.6
Avg goals against
Degerfors IF1.6
IF Brommapojkarna1
Clean sheets
Degerfors IF2
Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 63% · edge -9.5 pts
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Load more odds for this section
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over the season, Brommapojkarna have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, reflecting a potent but somewhat leaky defense. Degerfors’ averages are slightly lower offensively at 1.3 goals but similar defensively at 1.5 conceded. These stats support a match with limited goals but competitive exchanges, aligning with the under 2.5 goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10IF Brommapojkarna2117566-2
14Degerfors IF1617449-10
Brommapojkarna sit 10th with 21 points, five points clear of 14th-placed Degerfors with 16 points, reflecting a moderate gap in league performance. This standing difference, combined with recent form, suggests Brommapojkarna have the upper hand but the fixture remains competitive due to the narrow points margin.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
60%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
3.33H2H avg goals
The last nine meetings between these teams have averaged 3.33 goals per game, indicating a historically higher scoring trend. However, recent tactical adjustments and defensive focus suggest this match may see fewer goals, supporting the under 2.5 goals angle despite the historical average.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

IF Brommapojkarna v Degerfors IF prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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