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IFK Goteborg crestIFK Goteborg
v
IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg

Allsvenskan | Sun 23 Aug, 13:00

IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IFK Goteborg hosts IF Elfsborg in an Allsvenskan clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Goteborg, sitting 12th, have conceded 2 goals per game recently, while Elfsborg, 5th in the table, allow just 1 goal per match but maintain a solid attack. Both sides have earned 9 points in their last five matches, reflecting competitive form. The fixture promises open play with tactical emphasis on offense, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals in this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have recent Over 2.5 Goals rates of 80% (Goteborg) and 60% (Elfsborg).
  • Average goals in their last 10 head-to-head matches is 3.1, supporting a high-scoring game.
  • Goteborg averages 18.4 shots and 9.8 corners per match, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Elfsborg's top attackers like M. Sigurpálsson contribute consistent shots and goal threats.
  • Both teams have moderate BTTS rates, with Goteborg at 60% and Elfsborg at 40%, suggesting chances for goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 67.7% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, significantly above the implied market chance of 57.1%, indicating positive value. Both teams demonstrate attacking tendencies with Goteborg averaging 1.6 goals scored and Elfsborg 1.4, alongside defensive records that allow goals. The high shot volumes and recent head-to-head averages above 3 goals per game reinforce the expectation of multiple goals. No data limitations are present, supporting in this projection.

Model Chance67.7%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.1%
Neutral
Goal Averages (Recent Form)Goteborg 1.6, Elfsborg 1.4 goals per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.1 goals per match
Strong positive
Shot VolumeGoteborg 18.4, Elfsborg 16.6 shots per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with attacking intent from both IFK Goteborg and IF Elfsborg, as recent form and player profiles suggest multiple goal opportunities. The combination of Goteborg's offensive pressure and Elfsborg's capable attackers supports the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this Allsvenskan fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“This match features two teams with offensive strengths but defensive gaps, creating fertile ground for a high-scoring encounter. The statistical trends and player roles align well with an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have recent Over 2.5 Goals rates of 80% (Goteborg) and 60% (Elfsborg).

Average goals in their last 10 head-to-head matches is 3.1, supporting a high-scoring game.

Goteborg averages 18.4 shots and 9.8 corners per match, indicating offensive pressure.

Elfsborg's top attackers like M. Sigurpálsson contribute consistent shots and goal threats.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams historically contributing to goal-rich encounters.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IFK Goteborg1.6
Avg goals scored
IF Elfsborg1.4
IFK Goteborg2
Avg goals conceded
IF Elfsborg1
IFK Goteborg60%
BTTS rate
IF Elfsborg40%
IFK Goteborg80%
Over 2.5 goals
IF Elfsborg60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 57% · edge +10.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 36%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams show solid attacking output with Goteborg scoring 1.6 and Elfsborg 1.4 goals per game. Goteborg's 60% BTTS rate and Elfsborg's 40% suggest goals at both ends are possible but not guaranteed. The recent head-to-head average of 3.1 goals confirms a tendency for open, goal-rich matches between these sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 57% · edge +10.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
IF Elfsborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
IFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.75 with an implied chance of 57.1%, while the model estimates a 67.7% probability, indicating a clear value opportunity. This price sensitivity suggests bettors can confidently back the goals market given the attacking profiles and recent scoring trends of both teams.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

IFK Goteborg9.8
Avg corners for
IF Elfsborg4.8
IFK Goteborg13.6
Avg total corners
IF Elfsborg8.6
IFK Goteborg1.6
Avg yellow cards
IF Elfsborg0.8
IFK Goteborg18.4
Avg shots
IF Elfsborg16.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Goteborg's high average of 9.8 corners per game and 18.4 shots reflects sustained offensive pressure, while Elfsborg's 4.8 corners and 16.6 shots indicate a more measured attack. Card data shows Goteborg commits more fouls and receives more yellows, hinting at a physical contest that could disrupt rhythm but also create set-piece chances.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IFK Goteborg

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
16 Aug 2026A Degerfors IF0-3
09 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF3-2
02 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
26 Jul 2026A Sirius1-4
17 Jul 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-1

IF Elfsborg

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
14 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK3-0
08 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF1-0
26 Jul 2026A Malmo FF2-1
19 Jul 2026H Sirius1-3
12 Jul 2026A Gais0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +4 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
IF Elfsborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
IFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Both teams have earned 9 points in their last five matches, showing competitive momentum. Goteborg's 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent games contrasts with Elfsborg's 60%, reflecting Goteborg's more open style. The recent form data supports an expectation of multiple goals as both sides seek to capitalize on offensive strengths.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1IFK Goteborg wins
1Draws
8IF Elfsborg wins
06 Apr 2026IF Elfsborg v IFK Goteborg2-0
28 Jul 2025IF Elfsborg v IFK Goteborg4-3
12 Jul 2025IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg1-2
25 Aug 2024IF Elfsborg v IFK Goteborg3-1
01 Jun 2024IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg1-0
30 Oct 2023IFK Goteborg v IF Elfsborg1-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 57% · edge +10.6 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
IF Elfsborg to WinBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
IFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 10 previous meetings between these teams have averaged 3.1 goals per game, supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring match. While the sample is moderate, it provides a meaningful background that aligns with current attacking tendencies and recent form.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

IFK Goteborg17
Played
IF Elfsborg17
IFK Goteborg1.3
Avg goals for
IF Elfsborg1.4
IFK Goteborg2.2
Avg goals against
IF Elfsborg1.1
IFK Goteborg1
Clean sheets
IF Elfsborg5
Best odds for this sectionIF Elfsborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 39% · edge +6 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
IFK Goteborg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season-long statistics reveal Goteborg averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 2 per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Elfsborg scores 1.4 and concedes 1, showing a tighter defense but still prone to conceding. These attacking and defensive profiles align with a match likely to produce over 2.5 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5IF Elfsborg27177646
12IFK Goteborg1917548-16
Goteborg sits 12th with 19 points, while Elfsborg is 5th with 27 points, reflecting different league pressures. Goteborg may push for points to climb the table, encouraging attacking play. Elfsborg's higher rank suggests but also the need to maintain form, potentially leading to an open contest with goal-scoring opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%IFK Goteborg Over 2.5
60%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a trend toward high-scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both teams historically contributing to goal-rich encounters.

Related football research

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