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Valladolid crestValladolid
v
Oviedo crestOviedo

Segunda División | Sun 13 Sep, 15:15

Valladolid v Oviedo Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Valladolid face Oviedo in Segunda División on Sun 13 Sep, 15:15. Valladolid come in with 4 recent points and 0.5 goals per match, while Oviedo have 5 points and 0.25 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Oviedo to Win

  • At 3.1, Oviedo to Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Oviedo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Valladolid.
  • Oviedo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Oviedo to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Valladolid sit 16 in the table, while Oviedo sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for Oviedo to Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Oviedo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Valladolid.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Positive
Oviedo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Oviedo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Oviedo Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Oviedo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Valladolid. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Oviedo to Win evidence

Oviedo have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 4 for Valladolid.

Oviedo have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.25 conceded per match, which helps the Oviedo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Valladolid sit 16 in the table, while Oviedo sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Oviedo to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Valladolid0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Oviedo0.25
    Valladolid1
    Avg goals conceded
    Oviedo0.25
    Valladolid25%
    BTTS rate
    Oviedo0%
    Valladolid0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Oviedo0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 62% · edge +6.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: Valladolid concede 1 on average and Oviedo score 0.25, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Valladolid

    WDLL
    Last 51W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 2L
    05 Sep 2026H FC Andorra1-0
    30 Aug 2026A Cadiz1-1
    23 Aug 2026A Eibar0-1
    15 Aug 2026A Mallorca0-2

    Oviedo

    DWLD
    Last 51W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 1L
    06 Sep 2026H Burgos0-0
    29 Aug 2026A Albacete1-0
    22 Aug 2026H Leganes0-1
    15 Aug 2026H Granada CF0-0
    Market aligned with main pickOviedo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +14.8 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Oviedo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    15Oviedo541210
    16Valladolid44112-2
    Valladolid sit in position 16, while Oviedo sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Oviedo to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOviedo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +14.8 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Oviedo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Oviedo to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Valladolid4
    Avg corners for
    Oviedo7
    Valladolid8
    Avg total corners
    Oviedo10.33
    Valladolid3
    Avg yellow cards
    Oviedo2.67
    Valladolid11.5
    Avg shots
    Oviedo18
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 55% · edge +6.7 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Valladolid wins
    0Draws
    2Oviedo wins
    23 Feb 2024Valladolid v Oviedo3-0
    24 Sep 2023Oviedo v Valladolid0-1
    13 Mar 2022Oviedo v Valladolid3-0
    12 Dec 2021Valladolid v Oviedo2-1
    20 Apr 2018Oviedo v Valladolid1-2
    18 Nov 2017Valladolid v Oviedo3-1
    Market aligned with main pickOviedo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +14.8 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Oviedo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Segunda División

    Valladolid4
    Played
    Oviedo4
    Valladolid0.5
    Avg goals for
    Oviedo0.3
    Valladolid1
    Avg goals against
    Oviedo0.3
    Valladolid1
    Clean sheets
    Oviedo3
    Market aligned with main pickOviedo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +14.8 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Oviedo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports Oviedo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Valladolid Over 2.5
    0%Oviedo Over 2.5
    2.38H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Valladolid sit at 0% and Oviedo sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.38 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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