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Serie C - Girone B | Sun 20 Sep, 13:30

Vado v Pescara Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 00:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vado and Pescara meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing cautious recent form. Vado sits 16th with 4 points, while Pescara is slightly ahead in 14th with 5 points. Both teams have struggled to find consistent attacking rhythm, averaging just over one goal scored per game and conceding around 1.4 to 1.8 goals. This suggests a tactical battle where defensive solidity may take precedence over open attacking play, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter with neither side likely to take excessive risks early on.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Vado and Pescara have low scoring averages around 1.0-1.4 goals per game.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating low frequency of high-scoring games.
  • Recent form shows modest points accumulation, reflecting cautious play styles.
  • No previous head-to-head data, increasing uncertainty but emphasizing current form importance.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 64% chance for Under 2.5 Goals, well above the implied market chance of 51.3%, indicating clear value. Both teams have shown limited goal output and a moderate rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring game. Defensive tendencies and recent form data align with a cautious tactical approach, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals pick as a sensible choice. No data limitations or price warnings reduce uncertainty, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Model Probability64% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance51.3%
Neutral
Value Edge+12.7%
Strong positive
Recent Goals DataLow scoring averages for both teams
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate40% for both teams, below average
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This Under 2.5 Goals selection reflects the tactical caution both Vado and Pescara have demonstrated so far this season. With limited goal-scoring output and defensive focus evident in recent matches, a low-scoring game is the most plausible outcome. The data supports a match where neither side is likely to open up significantly, making Under 2.5 Goals a solid tactical and statistical choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for Under 2.5 Goals

“Vado and Pescara’s recent matches show a clear defensive emphasis, with both sides struggling to break through consistently. This match is likely to follow suit, favoring a low-scoring outcome given their cautious approaches and modest attacking returns.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Vado and Pescara have low scoring averages around 1.0-1.4 goals per game.

Recent form shows modest points accumulation, reflecting cautious play styles.

No previous head-to-head data, increasing uncertainty but emphasizing current form importance.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • No head-to-head data exists, but recent trends show both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals in the current season.
  • This below-average rate suggests a tempo and style favoring fewer goals, with defensive organization likely limiting scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vado1
Avg goals scored
Pescara1.4
Vado1.4
Avg goals conceded
Pescara1.8
Vado40%
BTTS rate
Pescara60%
Vado40%
Over 2.5 goals
Pescara40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Both teams have averaged just over one goal per game and have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency toward lower scoring affairs. The moderate BTTS rates further suggest that both sides often fail to score simultaneously, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Vado Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Vado to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Pescara Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Pescara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively, with the model indicating a 64% chance versus a 51.3% implied market probability. This significant suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a low-scoring game, making the pick a positive-value opportunity without requiring caution on price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vado

LLLDW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
16 Sep 2026A Livorno2-3
12 Sep 2026H Campobasso FC0-1
06 Sep 2026A Reggiana1-3
28 Aug 2026A Pianese0-0
21 Aug 2026H Atalanta II2-0

Pescara

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
16 Sep 2026H Gubbio1-1
12 Sep 2026A Atalanta II1-2
06 Sep 2026H Ravenna0-0
29 Aug 2026A Forli3-6
22 Aug 2026H Vis Pesaro2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 59% · edge +7.4 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Vado Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Vado to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Pescara Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Pescara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form shows Vado and Pescara accumulating 4 and 5 points respectively, with both sides scoring and conceding around 1 to 1.8 goals per game. This balanced but cautious form indicates neither team is in prolific scoring form, aligning with an expectation of fewer goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Vado wins
0Draws
0Pescara wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Vado to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Pescara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
There are no previous meetings between Vado and Pescara to provide direct historical context. This absence increases reliance on current form and season statistics to assess likely match dynamics, emphasizing the importance of recent defensive and scoring trends in predicting a low-scoring game.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Vado6
Played
Pescara6
Vado0.8
Avg goals for
Pescara1.3
Vado1.3
Avg goals against
Pescara1.5
Vado2
Clean sheets
Pescara3
Best odds for this sectionVado Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +5.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Vado to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Pescara Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Pescara to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season-long statistics reveal both teams have struggled offensively, with low goals-for averages and moderate goals conceded. These figures highlight defensive solidity and limited attacking potency, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals market as a reflection of their season-long trends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Pescara86222-1
17Vado46114-3
The mid-to-lower table positions of Vado and Pescara reflect their inconsistent form and limited offensive output. While standings alone do not dictate match dynamics, the pressure to avoid defeat may encourage defensive caution, further supporting a low-scoring game scenario.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Vado Over 2.5
40%Pescara Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
No head-to-head data exists, but recent trends show both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals in the current season. This below-average rate suggests a tempo and style favoring fewer goals, with defensive organization likely limiting scoring opportunities in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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