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Atalanta II crestAtalanta II
v
Ravenna crestRavenna

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 20 Sep, 11:30

Atalanta II v Ravenna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ravenna visits Atalanta II in a Serie C - Girone B clash with both sides showing solid early-season form. Ravenna currently sits third with 11 points, edging Atalanta II who are seventh with 9 points. Ravenna's defensive solidity stands out, conceding just 0.4 goals per game compared to Atalanta II's 1.4. While Atalanta II have a higher rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, Ravenna's tighter defense and recent consistency suggest they can secure a valuable away win in this competitive fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Ravenna to Win

  • Ravenna holds a higher league position and points tally early in the season.
  • Ravenna concedes significantly fewer goals per game (0.4) than Atalanta II (1.4).
  • Atalanta II have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Ravenna's matches are less goal-heavy (40%).
  • Ravenna's BTTS rate is lower (40%), indicating stronger defensive control.
  • No head-to-head data, so current form and defensive stats are key indicators.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Ravenna to win based on their superior defensive record and current league standing. Despite Atalanta II's tendency for higher-scoring games, Ravenna's ability to limit goals against and maintain consistent form provides a solid foundation for an away victory. The at 1.95 offer a small positive , reflecting a balanced but confident expectation for Ravenna to capitalize on their defensive strengths and secure three points.

Model Chance56%
Positive
Implied Chance51.3%
Positive
Value Edge4.7%
Positive
Ravenna Defensive Record0.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Atalanta II Goals Conceded1.4 goals per game
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ravenna's disciplined defensive approach and higher league standing make them the tactical favorite to win this match. Their ability to restrict opponents' scoring chances contrasts with Atalanta II's more open style, giving Ravenna a clear edge supported by recent form and defensive statistics.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Ravenna's defensive resilience and consistent point accumulation position them well to overcome Atalanta II's attacking tendencies in this Serie C encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Ravenna to Win evidence

Ravenna holds a higher league position and points tally early in the season.

Ravenna concedes significantly fewer goals per game (0.4) than Atalanta II (1.4).

Atalanta II have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Ravenna's matches are less goal-heavy (40%).

Ravenna's BTTS rate is lower (40%), indicating stronger defensive control.

What To Watch In The Data

Ravenna to Win notes

  • The Over 2.5 Goals trend shows Atalanta II's matches frequently exceed this threshold, with a 60% rate over recent games.
  • Ravenna's lower rate of 40% suggests a more cautious approach.
  • This trend indicates a potential for a moderately paced game where defensive discipline could limit goal-scoring opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atalanta II1.4
Avg goals scored
Ravenna1.6
Atalanta II1.4
Avg goals conceded
Ravenna0.4
Atalanta II60%
BTTS rate
Ravenna40%
Atalanta II60%
Over 2.5 goals
Ravenna40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Atalanta II's matches have a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating a more open and attacking style. In contrast, Ravenna's games see fewer goals and a 40% BTTS rate, highlighting their defensive discipline. This contrast suggests a tactical battle where Ravenna aims to contain Atalanta II's offense, potentially limiting the total goals scored.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atalanta II

WWLWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 2L
16 Sep 2026A Sambenedettese3-2
12 Sep 2026H Pescara2-1
06 Sep 2026A Livorno0-1
30 Aug 2026H Guidonia Montecelio 19372-1
21 Aug 2026A Vado0-2

Ravenna

WWDWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
16 Sep 2026A Ostia Mare1-0
13 Sep 2026H Perugia3-0
06 Sep 2026A Pescara0-0
29 Aug 2026H Latina3-1
24 Aug 2026A Reggiana1-1
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 51% · edge +4.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 81%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Ravenna's accumulation of 11 points compared to Atalanta II's 9 points reflects slightly better recent form. Coupled with their superior defensive record, this form suggests Ravenna is in a strong position to secure a win, maintaining momentum and on the road.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Ravenna1153206
8Atalanta II953020
Ravenna's third place in the Serie C - Girone B table, ahead of Atalanta II in seventh, indicates stronger overall performance and consistency. While early in the season, this standing provides context for Ravenna's and tactical approach to secure points away from home.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 51% · edge +4.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
The for Ravenna to win at 1.95 reflect a market that slightly underestimates their chances compared to the model's 56% probability. This small positive suggests the price is reasonable and worth considering, given Ravenna's defensive strengths and current form.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Atalanta II wins
0Draws
0Ravenna wins
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 51% · edge +4.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
No historical head-to-head data exists between Atalanta II and Ravenna, so this fixture's outcome relies more heavily on current form and season statistics rather than past meetings.
Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Atalanta II5
Played
Ravenna5
Atalanta II1.4
Avg goals for
Ravenna1.6
Atalanta II1.4
Avg goals against
Ravenna0.4
Atalanta II0
Clean sheets
Ravenna3
Market aligned with main pickRavenna to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 51% · edge +4.7 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Ravenna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Ravenna's season-long defensive numbers, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, contrast sharply with Atalanta II's 1.4 goals conceded. This defensive strength underpins Ravenna's winning chances and suggests they can absorb pressure effectively while exploiting counter-attacking opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Atalanta II Over 2.5
40%Ravenna Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 Goals trend shows Atalanta II's matches frequently exceed this threshold, with a 60% rate over recent games. Ravenna's lower rate of 40% suggests a more cautious approach. This trend indicates a potential for a moderately paced game where defensive discipline could limit goal-scoring opportunities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.